Auto & building glassHistorical case study · data as of 23 Jul 2026 · published 26 Oct 2026 (95 days later)
Asahi India Glass — 100-point case study
How Asahi India Glass looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 23 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 23 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope +0.19%/day
Bullish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.19% a day — a short-term uptrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return +1.3%
Bullish
The 100-session trend line was up (+0.05%/day) and the stock was +1.3% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return +2.2%
Neutral
Compared with a year earlier the price was +2.2%. Little net progress over twelve months.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 883.16 / 30W 886.78
Bearish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close below the 10-week average, which sat below the 30-week.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 917.00→940.10; lows 857.35→830.20
Neutral
The two most recent swing points showed a higher high but a lower low — mixed structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
20.0
Neutral
ADX at 20.0 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 22.7 / –DI 22.8
Bearish
–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
885.87 (-1.5%)
Bearish
Close of 872.45 was 1.5% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
874.92 (-0.3%)
Bearish
Close of 872.45 was 0.3% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
912.82 (-4.4%)
Bearish
Close of 872.45 was 4.4% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 889.23 / 21E 886.71
Bullish
The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 07 Jul 2026.
The 50-day average was 4.2% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
+1.9% in 20 sessions
Bullish
The 50-day average rose 1.9% over the past month — rising.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
886 / 875 / 861 / 913
Neutral
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range.
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
898.26 (-2.9%)
Bearish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 898.26; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
46.3
Neutral
RSI at 46.3 was in the neutral 45–55 zone.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
bearish divergence
Caution
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: bearish divergence: price made a higher high but RSI made a lower high.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD 4.54 / signal 7.02
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
1.58 → -2.48
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.36 (bands 839.04–932.70)
Neutral
%B of 0.36 — inside the bands, lower half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 10.6% (43rd pct of 6M)
Neutral
Band width was at the 43rd percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹26.30 (3.0% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹26.30, or 3.0% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
34.8% vs 1Y 34.7%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 34.8%, close to the one-year level of 34.7%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
836.28–937.88
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
0.96
Neutral
A beta of 0.96 means the stock tended to move roughly in line with the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.37× / 5-day 0.34×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.37× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.34× — lighter than usual participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 0.94
Neutral
Average volume on up days was 0.94× that on down days — balanced.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV falling
Bearish
OBV fell over the month while price rose — volume diverged from price.
About ₹15 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — moderately liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
869.29 / 815.27 / 775.10
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 869.29, 0.4% below the close, then 815.27, 775.10.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
910.21 / 990.00 / 1,018.27
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 910.21, 4.3% above the close, then 990.00, 1,018.27.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 887.72 | R1 924.83 | S1 835.33
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 887.72; the close was below it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 834 | 38.2% 870 | 50.0% 899 | 61.8% 928
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month fall from 1,023.00 to 775.10, the close was nearest the 38.2% retracement at 869.80.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 1,074.00 / L 775.10
Neutral
The close was 18.8% below the 52-week high and 12.6% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
1 open; latest gap-down 13 Feb at 965.20
Neutral
There was 1 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-down on 13 Feb 2026, left an open level at 965.20 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
rising channel
Bullish
Rule-based pattern scan: rising channel — successive higher highs and lows. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 830.20–940.10
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 830.20–940.10.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Ordinary red candle
Neutral
On 23 Jul the candle opened 879.00, ranged 866.60–886.25 and closed 872.45: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 863.17–876.90; Tenkan 903.35 / Kijun 885.15
Neutral
Price was inside the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — an undecided Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M +0.6% / 3M +3.4%
Bullish
The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 3.4 points over three months and outperformed by 0.6 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M -1.3%
Neutral
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 1.3 points behind the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
8 bullish · 14 bearish · 26 neutral · 1 caution
Bearish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned negative. Levels that mattered: support 869.29, resistance 910.21. This is a description of the chart on 23 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 23 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 23 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
64.5×
Neutral
At ₹872.45 the market valued the company at about ₹22,248 crore, or 64.5× the ₹345 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
5.66×
Neutral
Market cap was 5.66× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹3,932 crore.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Sales
4.46×
Neutral
The company was valued at 4.46× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹4,990 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
EV / EBITDA (approx.)
26.7×
Neutral
Enterprise value (market cap + ₹2,198 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 26.7× trailing operating profit of ₹917 crore.
How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5
Earnings yield
1.6%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹1.6 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
n/m
Neutral
PEG is not meaningful because 3-year profit growth was -1.6%. Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹46 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
0.23%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹2 a share, a 0.23% yield on the ₹872.45 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹22,248 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.22 lakh crore the company was a small-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹216.64 vs ₹872.45
Neutral
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹216.64; the price was 303% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+8.4%
Neutral
Revenue for FY26 was ₹4,982 crore, +8.4% versus FY25.
FY26 net profit was ₹345 crore, -6.0% on FY25's ₹367 crore. Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹46 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13
Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)
+44.6%
Caution
Quarterly profit was ₹133 crore versus ₹92 crore a year earlier (+44.6%). Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹46 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Revenue compounded at 7.4% a year from FY23 to FY26.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15
Profit CAGR (3 years)
-1.6%
Caution
Net profit compounded at -1.6% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹46 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16
Revenue CAGR (5 years)
15.5%
Bullish
Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 15.5% a year.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17
EPS growth FY26 (reported)
-11.5%
Caution
Reported EPS went from ₹15.27 to ₹13.52 (-11.5%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹46 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
0 strength(s) · 3 weakness(es)
Neutral
No strengths flagged. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 5.80 times its book value; Company has a low return on equity of 12.3% over last 3 years; Dividend payout has been low at 14.2% of profits over last 3 years. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
8 bullish · 3 bearish · 33 neutral · 5 caution
Bullish
On the numbers published by 23 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 64.5×, P/B 5.66×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 23 Apr 2026 – 23 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
04 May 2026Asahi India Glass reports partial chimney breakdown at Soniyana float glass plant — Reg. 30 filing: exhaust chimney at the Soniyana (Rajasthan) float plant partially collapsed in a local squall; no injuries, furnace and machinery functional, no risk to OEM/project supplies; damage insured, loss not yet quantified. source
09 May 2026Maruti Suzuki discloses no encumbrance on its 10.59% stake in Asahi India Glass for FY26 — Promoter Maruti Suzuki (2.70 crore shares, 10.59%) reported no pledges or encumbrances created/released during FY26 under SAST Reg. 31(4). source
27 May 2026Asahi India Glass Q4 FY26 net profit jumps ~41% YoY to about Rs 130 crore — Q4 FY26 consolidated revenue Rs 1,354 crore (+14.8% YoY), EBITDA margin ~21.2% (+449 bps); debt-equity down to 0.52x from 0.96x helped by QIP proceeds; FY26 consolidated PAT ~Rs 345 crore. source
27 May 2026Board recommends Rs 2 final dividend for FY26; subsidiaries amalgamated — With FY26 results the board recommended a final dividend of Rs 2/share (FV Re 1); results also reflected amalgamation of subsidiaries into AIS Consumer Glass Solutions and an exceptional charge tied to new labour codes. source
09 Jul 2026CARE Ratings reaffirms Asahi India Glass at CARE AA-/Stable — CARE reaffirmed AA-/Stable and A1+ on ~Rs 2,717 crore of bank facilities, citing Rs 1,000 crore QIP that cut gearing to 0.57x, F3 float plant savings, ~79% passenger-car glass share; flags >Rs 2,000 crore capex over FY27-28. source
What happened next (23 Jul 2026 → 23 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹872.45 to ₹894.30 by 23 Oct 2026 (+2.5%) while the Nifty 50 moved -5.3% — outperforming by 7.8 points.
Highest ₹995.00 on 15 Sep 2026; lowest ₹862.50 on 29 Jul 2026.
S1 869.29: held on a closing basis.
S2 815.27: held on a closing basis.
R1 910.21: cleared on a closing basis on 05 Aug 2026.
R2 990.00: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and crossed above on 05 Aug 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 05 Aug 2026): revenue ₹1,413 crore (+15.0% YoY), net profit ₹149 crore (+170.9% YoY), operating margin 23% vs 16% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Later news
05 Aug 2026Asahi India Glass Q1 FY27 consolidated net profit rises 165% to Rs 149 crore — Q1 FY27 consolidated revenue Rs 1,413 crore (+15% YoY), EBITDA Rs 325 crore (+69%), margin 23% vs 15.7%; net profit Rs 149.1 crore vs Rs 56.2 crore. source
05 Aug 2026Asahi India Glass fixes Sept 11 record date for Rs 2 dividend; AGM on Sept 18 — Record date 2026-09-11 for FY26 dividend of Rs 2/share; 41st AGM on 2026-09-18 via VC; board approved re-appointment of Masao Fukami as Dy. MD & CTO (Auto) from Jan 2027. source
18 Aug 2026Government sets Rs 34,000/tonne minimum import price on clear float glass — DGFT imposed a one-year MIP of Rs 34,000/MT on clear float glass (imports previously landed ~Rs 25,000/t), seen as positive for domestic float makers like Asahi India Glass; shares rose on heavy volume. source
Educational summary. On 23 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned negative and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved +2.5% against -5.3% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Asahi India Glass today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 26 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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