Electric two-wheelersHistorical case study · data as of 23 Jul 2026 · published 26 Oct 2026 (95 days later)
Ather Energy — 100-point case study
How Ather Energy looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 23 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
8 bullish · 32 neutral · 4 caution · 5 bearish — the picture was mixed.
Price chart
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Ather Energy listed on 6 May 2025, so it has a shorter price history than most stocks here. Financials are from Screener's standalone page because the consolidated page had only three quarters; the overlapping numbers match. The company was loss-making, so P/E is not meaningful.
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 23 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope +1.02%/day
Bullish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 1.02% a day — a short-term uptrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return +36.2%
Bullish
The 100-session trend line was up (+0.59%/day) and the stock was +36.2% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return +267.6%
Bullish
Compared with a year earlier the price was +267.6%. A strong positive year.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 1,075.18 / 30W 864.15
Bullish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 1,069.00→1,345.00; lows 873.60→950.35
Bullish
The two most recent swing points showed higher swing highs and higher swing lows — classic uptrend structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
57.4
Bullish
ADX at 57.4 shows a strong trend in force. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 32.1 / –DI 12.1
Bullish
+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
1,192.76 (+3.4%)
Bullish
Close of 1,233.20 was 3.4% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
1,059.36 (+16.4%)
Bullish
Close of 1,233.20 was 16.4% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
803.21 (+53.5%)
Bullish
Close of 1,233.20 was 53.5% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 1,248.88 / 21E 1,190.60
Bullish
The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 12 Mar 2026.
The 50-day average was 31.9% above the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
+12.0% in 20 sessions
Bullish
The 50-day average rose 12.0% over the past month — rising.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
1,193 / 1,059 / 933 / 803
Bullish
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bullish (20 > 50 > 100 > 200).
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
1,232.90 (+0.0%)
Bullish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 1,232.90; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
60.3
Bullish
RSI at 60.3 showed positive momentum without being overbought.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD 66.29 / signal 66.73
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
11.18 → -0.43
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.63 (bands 1,031.64–1,353.88)
Neutral
%B of 0.63 — inside the bands, upper half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 27.0% (71st pct of 6M)
Neutral
Band width was at the 71st percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹56.47 (4.6% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹56.47, or 4.6% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
46.6% vs 1Y 49.3%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 46.6%, close to the one-year level of 49.3%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
1,079.01–1,311.52
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
0.65
Neutral
A beta of 0.65 means the stock tended to move less than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.48× / 5-day 0.68×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.48× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.68× — lighter than usual participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 1.58
Bullish
Average volume on up days was 1.58× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV rising
Bullish
OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹660 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — highly liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
1,158.00 / 950.35 / 927.60
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 1,158.00, 6.5% below the close, then 950.35, 927.60.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
1,345.00
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 1,345.00, 9.1% above the close.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 1,231.47 | R1 1,346.73 | S1 1,117.93
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 1,231.47; the close was above it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 1,167 | 38.2% 1,056 | 50.0% 967 | 61.8% 878
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month rise from 589.00 to 1,345.00, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 1,166.58.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 1,345.00 / L 329.20
Neutral
The close was 8.3% below the 52-week high and 274.6% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
2 open; latest gap-up 15 Jul at 1,207.90
Neutral
There were 2 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 15 Jul 2026, left an open level at 1,207.90 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
rising channel
Bullish
Rule-based pattern scan: rising channel — successive higher highs and lows. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 981.00–1,345.00
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 981.00–1,345.00.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Ordinary red candle
Neutral
On 23 Jul the candle opened 1,268.20, ranged 1,221.20–1,271.50 and closed 1,233.20: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M +22.3% / 3M +38.3%
Bullish
The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 38.3 points over three months and outperformed by 22.3 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M +97.7%
Bullish
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 97.7 points ahead of the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
26 bullish · 3 bearish · 20 neutral · 0 caution
Bullish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 1,158.00, resistance 1,345.00. This is a description of the chart on 23 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 23 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 23 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
-94.6×
Neutral
At ₹1,233.20 the market valued the company at about ₹48,923 crore, or -94.6× the ₹-517 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a low multiple in absolute terms.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
19.02×
Neutral
Market cap was 19.02× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹2,572 crore.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Sales
13.32×
Neutral
The company was valued at 13.32× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹3,673 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
EV / EBITDA (approx.)
-121.5×
Neutral
Enterprise value (market cap + ₹664 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was -121.5× trailing operating profit of ₹-408 crore.
How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5
Earnings yield
-1.1%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹-1.1 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
n/m
Neutral
PEG is not meaningful because 3-year profit growth was not available. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, Mar 2026, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
n/a
Neutral
Dividend history in our data window was not available.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹48,923 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.49 lakh crore the company was a mid-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
n/m
Neutral
Not meaningful with negative earnings or book value.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+62.8%
Bullish
Revenue for FY26 was ₹3,672 crore, +62.8% versus FY25.
Revenue compounded at 27.3% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, Mar 2026, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15
Profit CAGR (3 years)
n/a
Neutral
Not available. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, Mar 2026, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16
Revenue CAGR (5 years)
115.0%
Caution
Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 115.0% a year. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, Mar 2026, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
2 strength(s) · 4 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Company is expected to give good quarter; Promoter holding has increased by 1.61% over last quarter. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 20.5 times its book value; Company has low interest coverage ratio; Company has a low return on equity of -84.0% over last 3 years; Working capital days have increased from -43.8 days to 60.1 days. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
8 bullish · 5 bearish · 32 neutral · 4 caution
Neutral
On the numbers published by 23 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture was mixed. Valuation: P/E -94.6×, P/B 19.02×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 23 Apr 2026 – 23 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
04 May 2026Ather Energy Q4 loss narrows on strong volume growth, revenue rises sharply — Q4 FY26 net loss fell ~57% YoY to Rs 100 cr and revenue rose ~74% to Rs 1,175 cr; FY26 loss narrowed to Rs 517 cr on operating revenue of Rs 3,672 cr. source
05 May 2026Ather Energy jumps 5% to hit 52-week high; analysts see up to 14% upside — Shares hit a 52-week high the day after Q4 results as analysts flagged further upside. source
11 May 2026Ather Energy soars 8% on huge volumes; stock up 64% from February low — Stock rallied 8% intraday on heavy volumes, extending a 64% rise from its February low. source
13 Jun 2026Ather Energy in talks for post-IPO Rs 2,500 crore fundraise: Report — Report said Ather was in talks to raise about Rs 2,500 crore in its first post-IPO fundraise. source
30 Jun 2026Delhi EV Policy impact: Auto stocks skid; Eicher dips 7%, Ather at new high — Delhi's new EV policy hit conventional auto stocks while Ather hit a new high. source
14 Jul 2026TVS, Bajaj, Hero and Ather corner 96% of H1 e2W growth as Ola loses ground — Registration data showed TVS, Bajaj, Hero and Ather captured almost all electric two-wheeler growth in H1 2026 as Ola lost share. source
15 Jul 2026Ather Energy surges 9%, market-cap crosses Rs 50,000 crore; here's why — Shares hit a record ahead of a board meeting on fundraising, after Hero MotoCorp's board approved investing up to Rs 1,000 crore in Ather on 14 July. source
What happened next (23 Jul 2026 → 23 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹1,233.20 to ₹1,380.00 by 23 Oct 2026 (+11.9%) while the Nifty 50 moved -5.3% — outperforming by 17.2 points.
Highest ₹1,744.00 on 01 Sep 2026; lowest ₹1,188.10 on 24 Jul 2026.
S1 1,158.00: held on a closing basis.
S2 950.35: held on a closing basis.
R1 1,345.00: cleared on a closing basis on 04 Aug 2026.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and stayed on the same side through the period.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 03 Aug 2026): revenue ₹1,217 crore (+88.7% YoY), net profit ₹-51 crore (n/m — loss or no profit a year earlier YoY), operating margin -3% vs -21% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Later news
03 Aug 2026Ather Energy Q1FY27 result: Net loss narrows to Rs 51 crore, sales jump 81% — Q1 FY27 net loss fell ~71% YoY to Rs 51 cr, operating revenue rose ~89% to Rs 1,217 cr, EBITDA turned positive (~Rs 9 cr) and scooter deliveries rose 81% to 83,173 units. source
04 Aug 2026Ather Energy jumps 18% to new peak on lower Q1 loss; Nomura sees 35% upside — Stock surged to a record intraday (high Rs 1,500) after Q1 results; Nomura saw 35% upside. source
04 Aug 2026Ather Energy to enter Rs 1-1.25 lakh e2W space with new EL platform — Ather plans to enter the mass-market Rs 1-1.25 lakh electric scooter segment with its new EL platform. source
28 Aug 2026Block deal: Ather Energy shares jump 7% as Hero MotoCorp ups stake — Hero MotoCorp raised its stake in Ather to 32.8% (from 29.88%) via a block deal, a day after announcing it would buy up to Rs 1,758 crore of additional shares. source
25 Sep 2026Ather Energy plans aggressive push into overseas markets: CBO Phokela — Chief business officer said Ather plans an aggressive overseas expansion and to restart dealership expansion in Nov-Dec. source
Educational summary. On 23 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture was mixed. Over the next three months the stock moved +11.9% against -5.3% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message lined up with what followed. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Ather Energy today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 26 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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