NBFC — small business loansHistorical case study · data as of 29 Jul 2026 · published 01 Nov 2026 (95 days later)
Five-Star Business Finance — 100-point case study
How Five-Star Business Finance looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 29 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
6 bullish · 33 neutral · 5 caution · 5 bearish — the picture was mixed.
Price chart
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Five-Star is a non-deposit-taking NBFC, so lender points are used: asset quality is Gross/Net Stage 3 as reported, NIM is on average AUM and loan growth is AUM growth. CASA and deposit growth do not apply. Financials use Screener's standalone figures (consolidated page empty).
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 29 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope +0.07%/day
Neutral
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.07% a day — a flat, sideways phase.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return +13.6%
Bullish
The 100-session trend line was up (+0.40%/day) and the stock was +13.6% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return -12.4%
Bearish
Compared with a year earlier the price was -12.4%. A weak year for the stock.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 509.57 / 30W 464.08
Bullish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 565.00→575.60; lows 415.35→481.05
Bullish
The two most recent swing points showed higher swing highs and higher swing lows — classic uptrend structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
33.2
Bullish
ADX at 33.2 shows a strong trend in force. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 30.6 / –DI 16.3
Bullish
+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
549.67 (+3.4%)
Bullish
Close of 568.55 was 3.4% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
497.67 (+14.2%)
Bullish
Close of 568.55 was 14.2% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
499.36 (+13.9%)
Bullish
Close of 568.55 was 13.9% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 552.04 / 21E 540.49
Bullish
The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 17 Jun 2026.
The 50-day average was 0.3% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
+5.9% in 20 sessions
Bullish
The 50-day average rose 5.9% over the past month — rising.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
550 / 498 / 461 / 499
Neutral
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range.
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
548.13 (+3.7%)
Bullish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 548.13; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
64.5
Bullish
RSI at 64.5 showed positive momentum without being overbought.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD 15.01 / signal 17.09
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
-3.10 → -2.09
Bullish
The histogram rose over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was improving.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.95 (bands 528.79–570.56)
Neutral
%B of 0.95 — inside the bands, upper half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 7.6% (0th pct of 6M)
Caution
Band width was at the 0th percentile of the last six months. A squeeze like this often precedes a larger move (direction unknown).
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹20.31 (3.6% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹20.31, or 3.6% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
38.2% vs 1Y 40.1%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 38.2%, close to the one-year level of 40.1%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
500.53–582.71
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
1.30
Neutral
A beta of 1.30 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.99× / 5-day 1.56×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.99× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.56× — heavier than usual participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 1.87
Bullish
Average volume on up days was 1.87× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV rising
Bullish
OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹52 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
553.92 / 522.29 / 500.05
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 553.92, 2.6% below the close, then 522.29, 500.05.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
604.45 / 624.40 / 634.85
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 604.45, 6.3% above the close, then 624.40, 634.85.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 550.72 | R1 593.43 | S1 525.83
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 550.72; the close was above it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 520 | 38.2% 485 | 50.0% 457 | 61.8% 429
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month rise from 338.15 to 575.60, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 519.56.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 732.00 / L 338.15
Neutral
The close was 22.3% below the 52-week high and 68.1% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
3 open; latest gap-up 27 Jul at 538.00
Neutral
There were 3 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 27 Jul 2026, left an open level at 538.00 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
rising channel
Bullish
Rule-based pattern scan: rising channel — successive higher highs and lows. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 508.00–575.60
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 508.00–575.60.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Inside bar
Neutral
On 29 Jul the candle opened 561.40, ranged 556.40–572.25 and closed 568.55: Inside bar — range contraction. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 441.25–471.15; Tenkan 548.05 / Kijun 528.33
Bullish
Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M +11.0% / 3M +12.5%
Bullish
The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 12.5 points over three months and outperformed by 11.0 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M +13.5%
Bullish
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 13.5 points ahead of the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
25 bullish · 3 bearish · 18 neutral · 3 caution
Bullish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 553.92, resistance 604.45. This is a description of the chart on 29 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 29 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 29 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
15.3×
Neutral
At ₹568.55 the market valued the company at about ₹16,777 crore, or 15.3× the ₹1,098 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a moderate multiple.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
2.27×
Neutral
Market cap was 2.27× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹7,381 crore. For a bank, P/B is the main valuation yardstick.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Revenue (interest earned)
5.21×
Neutral
Market cap was 5.21× trailing-12-month revenue (mainly interest earned) of ₹3,218 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
Profit / Book (earnings power)
14.9%
Neutral
Trailing profit was 14.9% of book value — the return the bank was generating on the equity investors were paying 2.27× for.
How to read: Information only.
5
Earnings yield
6.5%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹6.5 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
0.69
Caution
P/E of 15.3 divided by 3-year profit growth of 22.1% a year gives a PEG of 0.69. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
0.35%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹2 a share, a 0.35% yield on the ₹568.55 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹16,777 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.17 lakh crore the company was a small-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹457.61 vs ₹568.55
Neutral
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹457.61; the price was 24% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+13.0%
Bullish
Revenue (interest earned) for FY26 was ₹3,218 crore, +13.0% versus FY25.
Revenue compounded at 28.4% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15
Profit CAGR (3 years)
22.1%
Caution
Net profit compounded at 22.1% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16
Revenue CAGR (5 years)
25.1%
Caution
Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 25.1% a year. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17
EPS growth FY26 (reported)
+2.2%
Neutral
Reported EPS went from ₹36.43 to ₹37.22 (+2.2%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues).
NIM — the spread between what the bank earns on loans and pays on deposits — was 20.07% in Jan–Mar 2026 (as reported). Above ~3.5% is strong for an Indian bank.
Bullish 3.5% or more · Bearish below 3.0% · Neutral 3.0–3.5%.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
1 strength(s) · 2 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Company has delivered good profit growth of 25.1% CAGR over last 5 years. Weaknesses: Promoter holding is low: 18.6%; Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -12.7%. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
6 bullish · 5 bearish · 33 neutral · 5 caution
Neutral
On the numbers published by 29 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture was mixed. Valuation: P/E 15.3×, P/B 2.27×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 29 Apr 2026 – 29 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
29 Apr 2026Five-Star Business Finance standalone net profit declines 3.53% in the March 2026 quarter — Q4 FY26 net profit fell to Rs 269.27 crore from Rs 279.12 crore while quarterly sales rose 8.6% to Rs 816.95 crore. FY26 net profit grew 2.45% to Rs 1,098.75 crore. source
30 Apr 2026Five-Star Business Finance targets Rs 7,000 crore disbursement and 8.5% ROA for FY2027 — Management guided to FY27 disbursements of Rs 6,500-7,000 crore and ROA of 8.25-8.5%, with 60-75 new branches focused on Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh. source
02 Jul 2026CARE Ratings reaffirms Five-Star Business Finance at CARE AA-; Positive — CARE reaffirmed the company's long-term bank facilities at CARE AA- with a Positive outlook and its commercial paper at CARE A1+. source
25 Jul 2026Five-Star Business Finance reports Q1 FY27 net profit of Rs 271 crore; AUM up 10% YoY to Rs 13,722 crore — Q1 FY27 PAT rose 1.9% YoY to Rs 271.41 crore; Gross Stage 3 rose to 3.46% and CRAR stood at 51.25%. source
What happened next (29 Jul 2026 → 30 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹568.55 to ₹396.85 by 30 Oct 2026 (-30.2%) while the Nifty 50 moved -4.9% — underperforming by 25.3 points.
Highest ₹569.00 on 31 Jul 2026; lowest ₹392.55 on 30 Oct 2026.
S1 553.92: broken on a closing basis on 30 Jul 2026.
S2 522.29: broken on a closing basis on 19 Aug 2026.
R1 604.45: not cleared on a closing basis.
R2 624.40: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and crossed below on 21 Oct 2026.
31 Jul 2026Five-Star Business Finance: Q1 FY27 disbursements hit Rs 1,496 crore, AUM rises 4% — Q1 FY27 disbursements rose 16% YoY to Rs 1,496 crore and collection efficiency was 97.9%; credit cost eased to 1.85%. source
26 Oct 2026Five-Star Business Finance Q2 FY27: record disbursements of Rs 2,078 crore, AUM up 14% — Q2 FY27 PAT rose 5% YoY to Rs 299 crore and AUM rose 14% to Rs 14,640 crore; Gross Stage 3 was 3.48% versus 2.64% a year earlier. source
26 Oct 2026Five-Star Business Finance appoints Shankar Subramanian as Chief Risk Officer — The board appointed Shankar Subramanian as CRO for three years effective October 26, 2026, succeeding Jayaraman S, who stays with the company in another role. source
27 Oct 2026Five-Star Business Finance standalone net profit rises 4.61% in the September 2026 quarter — Q2 FY27 net profit rose 4.61% YoY to about Rs 299.32 crore while revenue rose about 7.39% to Rs 858.48 crore. source
Educational summary. On 29 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture was mixed. Over the next three months the stock moved -30.2% against -4.9% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Five-Star Business Finance today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 01 Nov 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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