Graphite electrodesHistorical case study · data as of 30 Jul 2026 · published 02 Nov 2026 (95 days later)
Graphite India — 100-point case study
How Graphite India looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 30 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 30 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope +0.57%/day
Bullish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.57% a day — a short-term uptrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return -10.1%
Neutral
The 100-session trend line was down (-0.02%/day) and the stock was -10.1% over three months, so the medium-term picture was neutral.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return +20.0%
Bullish
Compared with a year earlier the price was +20.0%. A strong positive year.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 654.64 / 30W 663.43
Neutral
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close tangled between the 10-week and 30-week averages.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 772.90→645.00; lows 570.00→618.60
Neutral
The two most recent swing points showed a lower high but a higher low — mixed structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
22.8
Bullish
ADX at 22.8 shows a trend of moderate strength. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 28.9 / –DI 16.0
Bullish
+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
633.68 (+5.1%)
Bullish
Close of 665.70 was 5.1% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
658.86 (+1.0%)
Bullish
Close of 665.70 was 1.0% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
634.99 (+4.8%)
Bullish
Close of 665.70 was 4.8% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 654.20 / 21E 645.13
Bullish
The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 23 Jul 2026.
The 50-day average was 3.8% above the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
-5.8% in 20 sessions
Bearish
The 50-day average fell 5.8% over the past month — declining.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
634 / 659 / 668 / 635
Neutral
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range.
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
641.14 (+3.8%)
Bullish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 641.14; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
56.5
Bullish
RSI at 56.5 showed positive momentum without being overbought.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
bullish divergence
Bullish
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI made a higher low — selling momentum was fading.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD 4.91 / signal -1.38
Bullish
MACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
8.26 → 6.29
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.80 (bands 580.41–686.95)
Neutral
%B of 0.80 — inside the bands, upper half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 16.8% (55th pct of 6M)
Neutral
Band width was at the 55th percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹24.76 (3.7% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹24.76, or 3.7% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
36.4% vs 1Y 40.0%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 36.4%, close to the one-year level of 40.0%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
595.52–695.03
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
1.36
Neutral
A beta of 1.36 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.90× / 5-day 1.14×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.90× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.14× — normal participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 3.47
Bullish
Average volume on up days was 3.47× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV rising
Bullish
OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹89 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
622.49 / 597.47 / 572.38
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 622.49, 6.9% below the close, then 597.47, 572.38.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
682.24 / 705.00 / 760.32
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 682.24, 2.5% above the close, then 705.00, 760.32.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 641.07 | R1 712.13 | S1 594.63
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 641.07; the close was above it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 745 | 38.2% 709 | 50.0% 680 | 61.8% 651
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month rise from 558.05 to 802.40, the close was nearest the 61.8% retracement at 651.39.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 802.40 / L 505.80
Neutral
The close was 17.0% below the 52-week high and 31.6% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
1 open; latest gap-down 08 Jun at 701.55
Neutral
There was 1 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-down on 08 Jun 2026, left an open level at 701.55 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
broad sideways range
Neutral
Rule-based pattern scan: broad sideways range. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 570.00–687.50
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 570.00–687.50.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Doji
Neutral
On 30 Jul the candle opened 666.95, ranged 658.20–675.90 and closed 665.70: Doji — indecision. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 676.20–709.70; Tenkan 653.05 / Kijun 628.75
Bearish
Price was below the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bearish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M +7.5% / 3M -10.7%
Bearish
The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 10.7 points over three months and outperformed by 7.5 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M +8.5%
Bullish
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 8.5 points ahead of the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
20 bullish · 5 bearish · 23 neutral · 1 caution
Bullish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 622.49, resistance 682.24. This is a description of the chart on 30 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 30 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 30 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
76.0×
Neutral
At ₹665.70 the market valued the company at about ₹13,003 crore, or 76.0× the ₹171 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
2.22×
Neutral
Market cap was 2.22× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹5,859 crore.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Sales
4.56×
Neutral
The company was valued at 4.56× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹2,852 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
EV / EBITDA (approx.)
-1,215.6×
Neutral
Enterprise value (market cap + ₹368 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was -1215.6× trailing operating profit of ₹-11 crore.
How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5
Earnings yield
1.3%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹1.3 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
n/m
Neutral
PEG is not meaningful because 3-year profit growth was -4.9%.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
1.05%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹7 a share, a 1.05% yield on the ₹665.70 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹13,003 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.13 lakh crore the company was a small-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹243.07 vs ₹665.70
Neutral
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹243.07; the price was 174% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+11.4%
Bullish
Revenue for FY26 was ₹2,852 crore, +11.4% versus FY25.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
3 strength(s) · 3 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Company is almost debt free; Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 50.4%; Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 88.2 days to 62.4 days. Weaknesses: The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.81% over past five years; Company has a low return on equity of 4.12% over last 3 years; Earnings include an other income of Rs.322 Cr. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
7 bullish · 11 bearish · 28 neutral · 3 caution
Bearish
On the numbers published by 30 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned negative. Valuation: P/E 76.0×, P/B 2.22×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 30 Apr 2026 – 30 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
12 May 2026Graphite India raises stake in GrafTech International to 9.79% — Graphite India acquired an additional 2.97% of NYSE-listed GrafTech International via secondary market purchases for about Rs 62.25 crore, lifting its stake from 6.82% to 9.79%; total investment in GrafTech is about Rs 230 crore. source
28 May 2026Graphite India posts Q4 FY26 consolidated net loss of about Rs 104 crore despite revenue growth — For the March 2026 quarter, consolidated revenue rose about 22% year on year to Rs 816 crore, but the company reported an EBITDA loss of about Rs 140 crore and a net loss of about Rs 104 crore. Results were approved at the board meeting on 28 May 2026. source
28 May 2026Board of Graphite India recommends final dividend — Alongside FY26 results the board recommended a final dividend; per Trendlyne the final dividend is Rs 7 per share with ex/record date 20 July 2026 (Rs 11 the previous year). source
09 Jun 2026Graphite India fixes record date for dividend — The company fixed 20 July 2026 as the record date for the final dividend for FY26; the AGM was scheduled shortly after (announced 10 June 2026). source
24 Jul 2026Graphite India shares rise about 5% on a weak market day; company discloses small GST order — The stock rose nearly 5% intraday to Rs 687.85 while the Sensex fell over 900 points. The company disclosed an appellate state-tax order on input tax credit with a total demand of under Rs 1 crore including interest and penalty, which it said would have no material impact and which it plans to appeal. source
29 Jul 2026Graphite India announces board meeting date for Q1 FY27 results — The company intimated that its board would meet on 4 August 2026 to consider unaudited results for the quarter ended 30 June 2026. source
What happened next (30 Jul 2026 → 30 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹665.70 to ₹725.85 by 30 Oct 2026 (+9.0%) while the Nifty 50 moved -5.2% — outperforming by 14.2 points.
Highest ₹874.35 on 09 Sep 2026; lowest ₹654.35 on 03 Aug 2026.
S1 622.49: held on a closing basis.
S2 597.47: held on a closing basis.
R1 682.24: cleared on a closing basis on 04 Aug 2026.
R2 705.00: cleared on a closing basis on 04 Aug 2026.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and crossed below on 23 Oct 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 04 Aug 2026): revenue ₹842 crore (+26.6% YoY), net profit ₹171 crore (+28.6% YoY), operating margin 17% vs 6% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Later news
04 Aug 2026Graphite India Q1 FY27 net profit rises about 29% to Rs 171 crore — Consolidated revenue for the June 2026 quarter rose about 27% year on year to Rs 842 crore and net profit rose to Rs 171 crore from Rs 133 crore. Operating margin was about 17% per Screener data. source
09 Sep 2026Graphite India shares jump up to 18% after GrafTech announces 30% electrode price hike — GrafTech International announced a minimum 30% increase in graphite electrode prices for open negotiations, building on a March 2026 pricing action and a 51kt capacity cut. Graphite India shares hit a 52-week high near Rs 865 intraday; the stock closed about 15% higher on NSE. source
09 Sep 2026Upstox: Graphite India in focus after GrafTech price hike; listed HEG entity may not benefit directly — The report notes higher electrode prices could improve realisations for Indian makers, while HEG's electrode business has been moved to a separately listed entity under its demerger. source
27 Oct 2026Graphite India to review Q2 FY27 financial results at board meeting on November 3, 2026 — The company intimated that its board will meet on 3 November 2026 to consider results for the quarter ended 30 September 2026. source
Educational summary. On 30 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned negative. Over the next three months the stock moved +9.0% against -5.2% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message lined up with what followed. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Graphite India today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 02 Nov 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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