Private-sector bankHistorical case study · data as of 24 Jul 2026 · published 27 Oct 2026 (95 days later)
Bandhan Bank — 100-point case study
How Bandhan Bank looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 24 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Screener's consolidated page was empty, so standalone figures are used. Bandhan Bank reported its Apr–Jun 2026 (Q1 FY27) results on 21 Jul 2026, three days before the snapshot, and the share fell about 17% the next day; the 50-point fundamental scorecard is built on the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and annual FY26 data, so the Q1 FY27 numbers appear only in the 'what happened next' section.
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 24 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope -0.52%/day
Bearish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was falling about 0.52% a day — a short-term downtrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return -4.6%
Bullish
The 100-session trend line was up (+0.25%/day) and the stock was -4.6% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return -9.9%
Neutral
Compared with a year earlier the price was -9.9%. Little net progress over twelve months.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 201.30 / 30W 178.59
Neutral
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close tangled between the 10-week and 30-week averages.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 218.13→220.76; lows 197.50→194.82
Neutral
The two most recent swing points showed a higher high but a lower low — mixed structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
20.9
Bearish
ADX at 20.9 shows a trend of moderate strength. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 15.3 / –DI 42.2
Bearish
–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
201.31 (-17.6%)
Bearish
Close of 165.93 was 17.6% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
202.48 (-18.1%)
Bearish
Close of 165.93 was 18.1% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
171.91 (-3.5%)
Bearish
Close of 165.93 was 3.5% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 189.54 / 21E 198.17
Bearish
The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 22 Jul 2026.
The 50-day average was 17.8% above the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
+2.4% in 20 sessions
Bullish
The 50-day average rose 2.4% over the past month — rising.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
201 / 202 / 189 / 172
Neutral
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range.
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
188.03 (-11.8%)
Bearish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 188.03; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
28.0
Caution
RSI at 28.0 was oversold (≤30) — weak but stretched to the downside, where bounces often occur.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD -6.05 / signal -0.89
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
0.61 → -5.16
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B -0.08 (bands 171.00–231.63)
Caution
%B of -0.08 — close below the lower band, an overextended drop.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 30.1% (82nd pct of 6M)
Neutral
Band width was at the 82nd percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹9.42 (5.7% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹9.42, or 5.7% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
68.3% vs 1Y 41.9%
Caution
Annualised 30-day volatility was 68.3%, well above the one-year level of 41.9%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
177.66–218.06
Bearish
The close was below the lower channel — a strong trending push.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
1.65
Neutral
A beta of 1.65 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 1.47× / 5-day 2.49×
Neutral
The final session traded 1.47× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 2.49× — heavier than usual participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 0.50
Bearish
Average volume on up days was 0.50× that on down days — distribution-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV falling
Bearish
OBV fell over the month while price fell — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹377 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
161.38 / 154.24 / 148.71
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 161.38, 2.8% below the close, then 154.24, 148.71.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
168.61 / 177.22 / 185.37
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 168.61, 1.6% above the close, then 177.22, 185.37.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 182.88 | R1 203.81 | S1 145.00
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 182.88; the close was below it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 201 | 38.2% 189 | 50.0% 179 | 61.8% 169
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month rise from 136.90 to 220.76, the close was nearest the 61.8% retracement at 168.93.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 220.76 / L 134.25
Neutral
The close was 24.8% below the 52-week high and 23.6% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
2 open; latest gap-down 22 Jul at 206.60
Neutral
There were 2 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-down on 22 Jul 2026, left an open level at 206.60 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
pullback inside a larger uptrend
Neutral
Rule-based pattern scan: pullback inside a larger uptrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 164.85–220.76
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 164.85–220.76.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Doji
Neutral
On 24 Jul the candle opened 165.50, ranged 161.95–167.71 and closed 165.93: Doji — indecision. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 179.41–204.08; Tenkan 191.35 / Kijun 191.35
Bearish
Price was below the cloud and the Tenkan line was below the Kijun line — a bearish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M -20.6% / 3M -2.9%
Bearish
The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 2.9 points over three months and underperformed by 20.6 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty Bank
3M -5.3%
Bearish
Against its sector index (Nifty Bank) the stock was 5.3 points behind over three months.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
3 bullish · 22 bearish · 19 neutral · 5 caution
Bearish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned negative. Levels that mattered: support 161.38, resistance 168.61. This is a description of the chart on 24 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 24 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 24 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
21.6×
Neutral
At ₹165.93 the market valued the company at about ₹26,433 crore, or 21.6× the ₹1,224 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a moderate multiple.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
1.03×
Neutral
Market cap was 1.03× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹25,575 crore. For a bank, P/B is the main valuation yardstick.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Revenue (interest earned)
1.22×
Neutral
Market cap was 1.22× trailing-12-month revenue (mainly interest earned) of ₹21,689 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
Profit / Book (earnings power)
4.8%
Neutral
Trailing profit was 4.8% of book value — the return the bank was generating on the equity investors were paying 1.03× for.
How to read: Information only.
5
Earnings yield
4.6%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹4.6 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
n/m
Neutral
PEG is not meaningful because 3-year profit growth was -17.7%.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
0.90%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹1.5 a share, a 0.90% yield on the ₹165.93 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹26,433 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.26 lakh crore the company was a small-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹166.59 vs ₹165.93
Bullish
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹166.59; the price was 0% below it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
-1.2%
Bearish
Revenue (interest earned) for FY26 was ₹21,689 crore, -1.2% versus FY25.
NIM — the spread between what the bank earns on loans and pays on deposits — was 6.20% in Jan–Mar 2026 (as reported). Above ~3.5% is strong for an Indian bank.
Bullish 3.5% or more · Bearish below 3.0% · Neutral 3.0–3.5%.
19
Net interest income growth (Q4 FY26)
+1.4%
Bearish
Core interest income after interest expense was ₹2,796 crore, +1.4% year on year (standalone, as reported).
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
2 strength(s) · 6 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Stock is trading at 0.95 times its book value; Company has reduced working capital requirements from 71.8 days to 38.5 days. Weaknesses: Company has a low interest coverage ratio; Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -0.54%; The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.6% over past five years; Company has a low return on equity of 9.01% over last 3 years; Contingent liabilities of Rs.28,896 Cr; Dividend payout has been low at 13.1% of profits over last 3 years. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
7 bullish · 12 bearish · 30 neutral · 0 caution
Bearish
On the numbers published by 24 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned negative. Valuation: P/E 21.6×, P/B 1.03×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 24 Apr 2026 – 24 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
28 Apr 2026Bandhan Bank Q4 FY26 Results: Profit Jumps 68% To Rs 534 crore — Q4 FY26 net profit Rs 534 crore vs Rs 318 crore a year earlier; NII Rs 2,796 crore (+1.4% YoY); GNPA 3.3%, NNPA 1.0%; NIM 6.2%; Board recommended dividend of Rs 1.50 per share. source
29 Apr 2026Why Bandhan Bank share price surged 10% — Shares rose about 10% after Q4 profit beat estimates on lower provisioning; management guided 10-20 bps further NIM expansion and 14-15% loan growth; several brokerages raised targets. source
20 May 2026SBI Mutual Fund raises Bandhan Bank stake to 5.04% via market purchases — SBI Mutual Fund schemes bought 16,98,478 shares in the open market on May 20, 2026, taking holding to 5.0432% of paid-up capital. source
21 Jul 2026Bandhan Bank's Q1FY27 net profit jumps 35 pc to Rs 502 cr — Q1 FY27 net profit Rs 502 crore vs Rs 372 crore; NII Rs 2,921 crore (+5.9%); gross advances +16.4% YoY; GNPA 3.1%, NNPA 0.9%; provisions down 40% YoY; CRAR 18.2%. source
22 Jul 2026Bandhan Bank shares fall 16% despite 35% rise in Q1 FY27 net profit — Shares fell about 16% intraday the day after Q1 FY27 results despite profit growth and improved asset quality; deposits grew 6.6% YoY. source
What happened next (24 Jul 2026 → 26 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹165.93 to ₹150.86 by 26 Oct 2026 (-9.1%) while the Nifty 50 moved -4.3% — underperforming by 4.8 points.
Highest ₹193.00 on 23 Sep 2026; lowest ₹143.69 on 26 Oct 2026.
S1 161.38: broken on a closing basis on 08 Oct 2026.
S2 154.24: broken on a closing basis on 23 Oct 2026.
R1 168.61: cleared on a closing basis on 27 Jul 2026.
R2 177.22: cleared on a closing basis on 21 Sep 2026.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and crossed above on 29 Jul 2026.
08 Sep 2026Bandhan Bank clarifies news on credit card launch and share price rise — Bank launched a credit card portfolio with Mastercard on Sept 7, 2026 and told exchanges the share price rise was market-driven and the launch was not a material event. source
04 Oct 2026Bandhan Bank Q2 FY27: Loans rise 13% to Rs 1.58 lakh crore, deposits up 9% — Provisional Sept 30, 2026 figures: loans Rs 1,58,335 crore (+13.1% YoY), deposits Rs 1,72,689 crore (+9.2% YoY); CASA ratio 26.71% vs 29.40% in June. source
13 Oct 2026Bandhan Bank shares jump 9% as IHC explores buying promoter stake; bank says unaware of talks — Report said Abu Dhabi's IHC and others were in early talks to buy a stake in promoter Bandhan Financial Services; the bank told exchanges it was not aware of any such development. source
Educational summary. On 24 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned negative and the fundamental picture leaned negative. Over the next three months the stock moved -9.1% against -4.3% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message lined up with what followed. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Bandhan Bank today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 27 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50, Nifty Bank via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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