Auto componentsHistorical case study · data as of 24 Jul 2026 · published 27 Oct 2026 (95 days later)
Belrise Industries — 100-point case study
How Belrise Industries looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 24 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Belrise Industries listed on 28 May 2025, so the price history starts at listing (about 14 months before the snapshot) and annual financials on Screener begin in FY22. A Rs 1,700 crore QIP completed in Aug 2026, after the snapshot, increased the share count.
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 24 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope -0.11%/day
Bearish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was falling about 0.11% a day — a short-term downtrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return +4.9%
Bullish
The 100-session trend line was up (+0.27%/day) and the stock was +4.9% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return +72.5%
Bullish
Compared with a year earlier the price was +72.5%. A strong positive year.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 228.12 / 30W 203.34
Bullish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 252.00→239.70; lows 210.51→219.81
Neutral
The two most recent swing points showed a lower high but a higher low — mixed structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
11.6
Neutral
ADX at 11.6 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 18.0 / –DI 21.9
Bearish
–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
232.28 (-1.7%)
Bearish
Close of 228.26 was 1.7% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
227.34 (+0.4%)
Bullish
Close of 228.26 was 0.4% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
189.77 (+20.3%)
Bullish
Close of 228.26 was 20.3% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 231.31 / 21E 231.77
Bearish
The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 23 Jul 2026.
The 50-day average was 19.8% above the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
+3.0% in 20 sessions
Bullish
The 50-day average rose 3.0% over the past month — rising.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
232 / 227 / 214 / 190
Bullish
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bullish (20 > 50 > 100 > 200).
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
231.75 (-1.5%)
Bearish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 231.75; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
47.1
Neutral
RSI at 47.1 was in the neutral 45–55 zone.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD 0.29 / signal 1.12
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
-0.92 → -0.83
Bullish
The histogram rose over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was improving.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.29 (bands 222.76–241.80)
Neutral
%B of 0.29 — inside the bands, lower half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 8.2% (5th pct of 6M)
Caution
Band width was at the 5th percentile of the last six months. A squeeze like this often precedes a larger move (direction unknown).
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹7.85 (3.4% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹7.85, or 3.4% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
32.8% vs 1Y 38.3%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 32.8%, close to the one-year level of 38.3%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
216.52–247.11
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
1.08
Neutral
A beta of 1.08 means the stock tended to move roughly in line with the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.57× / 5-day 0.70×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.57× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.70× — lighter than usual participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 1.31
Bullish
Average volume on up days was 1.31× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV falling
Bearish
OBV fell over the month while price fell — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹122 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
225.81 / 219.81 / 207.28
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 225.81, 1.1% below the close, then 219.81, 207.28.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
238.10 / 252.00
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 238.10, 4.3% above the close, then 252.00.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 230.36 | R1 240.90 | S1 217.71
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 230.36; the close was below it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 229 | 38.2% 215 | 50.0% 204 | 61.8% 192
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month rise from 155.25 to 252.00, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 229.17.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 252.00 / L 121.60
Neutral
The close was 9.4% below the 52-week high and 87.7% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
2 open; latest gap-up 08 Apr at 191.15
Neutral
There were 2 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 08 Apr 2026, left an open level at 191.15 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
pullback inside a larger uptrend
Neutral
Rule-based pattern scan: pullback inside a larger uptrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 219.81–252.00
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 219.81–252.00.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Ordinary green candle
Neutral
On 24 Jul the candle opened 227.00, ranged 224.00–230.32 and closed 228.26: Ordinary green candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 214.91–226.06; Tenkan 231.85 / Kijun 235.91
Bullish
Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was below the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M -5.6% / 3M +6.6%
Bullish
The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 6.6 points over three months and underperformed by 5.6 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M +41.2%
Bullish
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 41.2 points ahead of the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
15 bullish · 10 bearish · 23 neutral · 1 caution
Bullish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 225.81, resistance 238.10. This is a description of the chart on 24 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 24 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 24 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
44.4×
Neutral
At ₹228.26 the market valued the company at about ₹22,083 crore, or 44.4× the ₹497 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
4.23×
Neutral
Market cap was 4.23× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹5,226 crore.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Sales
2.32×
Neutral
The company was valued at 2.32× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹9,510 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
EV / EBITDA (approx.)
20.5×
Neutral
Enterprise value (market cap + ₹1,521 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 20.5× trailing operating profit of ₹1,154 crore.
How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5
Earnings yield
2.3%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹2.3 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
2.69
Bearish
P/E of 44.4 divided by 3-year profit growth of 16.5% a year gives a PEG of 2.69. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
0.24%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹0.55 a share, a 0.24% yield on the ₹228.26 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹22,083 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.22 lakh crore the company was a small-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹79.02 vs ₹228.26
Neutral
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹79.02; the price was 189% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+14.7%
Bullish
Revenue for FY26 was ₹9,509 crore, +14.7% versus FY25.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
1 strength(s) · 3 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Company has reduced debt. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 3.47 times its book value; Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -5.32%; Company has a low return on equity of 13.3% over last 3 years. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
14 bullish · 2 bearish · 32 neutral · 1 caution
Bullish
On the numbers published by 24 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 44.4×, P/B 4.23×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 24 Apr 2026 – 24 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
25 May 2026Belrise Industries reports Q4 FY26 results: net profit up 18% to Rs 130.2 crore — For the quarter ended 31 March 2026, consolidated revenue was Rs 2,552.8 crore (up 12% from Rs 2,274.3 crore) and net profit Rs 130.2 crore (up 18% from Rs 110.0 crore). FY26 revenue was Rs 9,509 crore. A final dividend of Rs 0.55 per share was proposed, subject to AGM approval. source
25 May 2026Belrise board approves plan to raise up to Rs 2,000 crore via QIP — At its meeting on 24 May 2026 the board approved raising up to Rs 2,000 crore through a qualified institutions placement, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals. source
25 May 2026Q4 FY26 earnings call: Rs 220 crore Japanese two-wheeler OEM order, mid-teens FY27 revenue growth guided — On the 24 May 2026 earnings call, management cited an order from a Japanese two-wheeler OEM for exhaust systems and metal components (about Rs 220 crore peak annual revenue, production from Q4 FY27) and guided mid-teens FY27 revenue growth with broadly stable EBITDA margins. source
04 Jul 2026Belrise gets NSE and BSE 'no adverse observations' for merger of Badve Autocomps and Eximius Infra Tech — The exchanges' observation letters dated 3 July 2026 clear the scheme of amalgamation (approved by the board on 31 January 2026) to be filed with the NCLT within six months. source
15 Jul 2026Belrise opens QIP at floor price of Rs 230.79 per share — The QIP opened on 14 July 2026 at a floor price of Rs 230.79 per share (face value Rs 5), with a discount of up to 5% permitted; shareholders approved the fundraise by postal ballot in June 2026. source
What happened next (24 Jul 2026 → 26 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹228.26 to ₹202.44 by 26 Oct 2026 (-11.3%) while the Nifty 50 moved -4.3% — underperforming by 7.0 points.
Highest ₹268.20 on 12 Aug 2026; lowest ₹194.19 on 26 Oct 2026.
S1 225.81: broken on a closing basis on 21 Oct 2026.
S2 219.81: broken on a closing basis on 21 Oct 2026.
R1 238.10: cleared on a closing basis on 03 Aug 2026.
R2 252.00: cleared on a closing basis on 10 Aug 2026.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and crossed below on 23 Oct 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 14 Aug 2026): revenue ₹2,546 crore (+12.6% YoY), net profit ₹122 crore (+8.9% YoY), operating margin 12% vs 12% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Later news
04 Aug 2026Belrise to acquire Hyva India's tipper body business for about USD 5.65 million — Belrise signed a business transfer agreement to buy the Tipper Body Division of Hyva India (a JOST Werke subsidiary), including three Indian plants, at about 3.6x EV/EBITDA. source
12 Aug 2026Belrise QIP upsized to Rs 1,700 crore — The QIP, launched at Rs 1,200 crore, was upsized by over 40% to Rs 1,700 crore (about USD 175 million) on investor demand, per law firm Sidley, which advised placement agent Jefferies. source
14 Aug 2026Belrise Q1 FY27: revenue up 12.6% to Rs 2,546.5 crore, PAT up 8.9% — Results announced 14 August 2026: consolidated revenue Rs 2,546.47 crore (+12.57% YoY), PAT Rs 121.67 crore (+8.94%), EBITDA Rs 293.26 crore with margin 11.5% vs 12.4% a year earlier. Earnings call held 17 August. source
30 Sep 2026Belrise holds 30th AGM; Rs 0.55 final dividend record date 15 September — The 30th AGM was held on 30 September 2026 (voting results filed 1 October). Record date for the Rs 0.55 per share final dividend for FY26 was 15 September 2026. source
Educational summary. On 24 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -11.3% against -4.3% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Belrise Industries today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 27 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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