10 new case studies · 14 news items · updated 03 Oct 2026ContactEducation only · not investment advice
Manage Our FinanceIndian stock case studies · every morning

Today › Telecom › Bharti Airtel

Telecom Historical case study · data as of 30 Jun 2026 · published 03 Oct 2026 (95 days later)

Bharti Airtel — 100-point case study

How Bharti Airtel looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 30 Jun 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

CodesNSE: BHARTIARTL · BSE: 532454
Close on 30 Jun 2026₹1,852.00
Market cap then₹11,56,014 crore
ValuationP/E 34.2× · P/B 7.76×
MomentumRSI (14) 50 · 1-year return -7.8%
Next 3 months-6.0% vs Nifty 50 -6.0% (to 01 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

13 bullish · 28 neutral · 0 caution · 8 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Fundamental — 50 points

14 bullish · 27 neutral · 6 caution · 2 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Price chart

1,6991,8251,9502,0762,201Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26R2 2,046R1 1,918S1 1,828S2 1,740Snapshot 30 JunWhat happened next →
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Screener's 'Net Profit' line includes minority interest, so it is higher than the profit Airtel reports for its own shareholders. On 22 Jun 2026 Airtel allotted 14.68 crore new shares to ICIL in the Airtel Africa share swap.

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 30 Jun 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

A. Trend

#PointReadingTagCommentary
1Short-term trend (20 days)slope +0.25%/dayBullishOver the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.25% a day — a short-term uptrend.
2Medium-term trend (~5 months)3M return +2.8%BearishThe 100-session trend line was down (-0.07%/day) and the stock was +2.8% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bearish.
3Long-term trend (1 year)1Y return -7.8%NeutralCompared with a year earlier the price was -7.8%. Little net progress over twelve months.
4Weekly chart trend10W 1,856.13 / 30W 1,917.87BearishOn the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close below the 10-week average, which sat below the 30-week.
5Swing structure (highs/lows)last highs 1,906.00→1,953.80; lows 1,740.50→1,768.60BullishThe two most recent swing points showed higher swing highs and higher swing lows — classic uptrend structure.
6ADX (14) — trend strength15.4NeutralADX at 15.4 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
7+DI vs –DI+DI 26.8 / –DI 23.8Bullish+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure.

B. Moving averages

#PointReadingTagCommentary
8Price vs 20-day SMA1,842.14 (+0.5%)BullishClose of 1,852.00 was 0.5% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive.
9Price vs 50-day SMA1,845.27 (+0.4%)BullishClose of 1,852.00 was 0.4% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive.
10Price vs 200-day SMA1,951.11 (-5.1%)BearishClose of 1,852.00 was 5.1% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative.
119 / 21 EMA crossover9E 1,861.87 / 21E 1,854.45BullishThe 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 17 Jun 2026.
12Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)no cross in data windowBearishThe 50-day average was 5.4% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
1350-day SMA slope+0.3% in 20 sessionsNeutralThe 50-day average rose 0.3% over the past month — flattening.
14MA ribbon alignment1,842 / 1,845 / 1,873 / 1,951BearishThe 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bearish (20 < 50 < 100 < 200).
15Monthly anchored VWAP1,841.65 (+0.6%)BullishAnchored to the start of June, the volume-weighted average price was 1,841.65; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit.

C. Momentum

#PointReadingTagCommentary
16RSI (14)49.9NeutralRSI at 49.9 was in the neutral 45–55 zone.
17RSI divergence (last 40 days)noneNeutralComparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
18MACD line vs signalMACD 7.35 / signal 6.70BullishMACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive.
19MACD histogram (5-day change)11.80 → 0.65BearishThe histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
20MACD vs zero line7.35BullishMACD above zero means the 12-day EMA was above the 26-day EMA — a positive momentum regime.
21Stochastic (14,3,3)%K 49.9 / %D 57.6BearishSlow stochastic at 49.9 was mid-range with %K below %D.
22Williams %R (14)-47.6Neutral%R of -47.6 put the close in the middle of its 14-day range.
23CCI (20)32NeutralCCI at 32 was within the normal ±100 band.
24Rate of change (10-day)+0.6%NeutralPrice changed +0.6% over ten sessions.

D. Volatility

#PointReadingTagCommentary
25Bollinger Band position (%B)%B 0.56 (bands 1,759.81–1,924.47)Neutral%B of 0.56 — inside the bands, upper half.
26Bollinger width / squeezewidth 8.9% (62nd pct of 6M)NeutralBand width was at the 62nd percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
27ATR (14)₹34.75 (1.9% of price)NeutralA typical day's range was about ₹34.75, or 1.9% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
28Historical volatility (30-day)16.8% vs 1Y 19.8%NeutralAnnualised 30-day volatility was 16.8%, close to the one-year level of 19.8%.
29Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)1,787.96–1,921.89NeutralThe close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
30Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)0.70NeutralA beta of 0.70 means the stock tended to move less than the Nifty 50 day to day.

E. Volume & money flow

#PointReadingTagCommentary
31Volume vs 20-day averagelast day 0.99× / 5-day 1.11×NeutralThe final session traded 0.99× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.11× — normal participation.
32Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)ratio 0.98NeutralAverage volume on up days was 0.98× that on down days — balanced.
33On-Balance Volume (20d)OBV risingBullishOBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move.
34Accumulation/Distribution linerising (20d)BullishThe A/D line rose, meaning closes tended to be in the upper part of daily ranges on meaningful volume.
35Chaikin Money Flow (20)0.07BullishCMF at +0.07 indicated net inflows.
36Money Flow Index (14)54.9NeutralMFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 54.9.
37Liquidity (avg daily turnover)₹1,352 cr/dayNeutralAbout ₹1,352 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — highly liquid.

F. Price levels

#PointReadingTagCommentary
38Support levels (S1/S2/S3)1,828.46 / 1,740.50NeutralNearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 1,828.46, 1.3% below the close, then 1,740.50.
39Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)1,917.90 / 2,046.40 / 2,137.32NeutralNearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 1,917.90, 3.6% above the close, then 2,046.40, 2,137.32.
40Monthly pivot points (for next month)P 1,849.43 | R1 1,930.27 | S1 1,771.17NeutralClassic pivots from June's high/low/close gave a pivot of 1,849.43; the close was above it.
41Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)23.6% 1,840 | 38.2% 1,902 | 50.0% 1,952 | 61.8% 2,002NeutralMeasuring the 6-month fall from 2,164.00 to 1,740.50, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 1,840.45.
4252-week high / lowH 2,174.50 / L 1,740.50NeutralThe close was 14.8% below the 52-week high and 6.4% above the 52-week low.
43Unfilled price gaps (6M)1 open; latest gap-down 24 Jun at 1,896.70NeutralThere was 1 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-down on 24 Jun 2026, left an open level at 1,896.70 that price had not revisited.

G. Patterns

#PointReadingTagCommentary
44Price structure / chart patterncounter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrendNeutralRule-based pattern scan: counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
45Breakout / breakdown (20-day)range 1,768.60–1,927.70NeutralThe close was inside the prior 20-day range of 1,768.60–1,927.70.
46Latest candlestickDojiNeutralOn 30 Jun the candle opened 1,853.00, ranged 1,843.20–1,876.60 and closed 1,852.00: Doji — indecision. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
47Ichimoku Cloudcloud 1,847.15–1,847.15; Tenkan 1,880.40 / Kijun 1,848.15BullishPrice was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup.

H. Relative strength & summary

#PointReadingTagCommentary
48Relative strength vs Nifty 501M -0.1% / 3M -1.4%NeutralThe stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 1.4 points over three months and underperformed by 0.1 points over one month.
49Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)6M -3.6%BearishNo sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 3.6 points behind the Nifty 50.
50Technical summary13 bullish · 8 bearish · 28 neutral · 0 cautionBullishAcross the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 1,828.46, resistance 1,917.90. This is a description of the chart on 30 Jun 2026, not a forecast.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 30 Jun 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 30 Jun 2026 close.

A. Valuation

#PointReadingTagCommentary
1P/E (trailing 12 months)34.2×NeutralAt ₹1,852.00 the market valued the company at about ₹11,56,014 crore, or 34.2× the ₹33,823 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth.
2Price / Book7.76×NeutralMarket cap was 7.76× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹1,49,057 crore.
3Price / Sales5.48×NeutralThe company was valued at 5.48× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹2,10,973 crore.
4EV / EBITDA (approx.)11.3×NeutralEnterprise value (market cap + ₹1,95,412 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 11.3× trailing operating profit of ₹1,19,675 crore.
5Earnings yield2.9%NeutralThe inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹2.9 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)0.85CautionP/E of 34.2 divided by 3-year profit growth of 40.1% a year gives a PEG of 0.85. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹9,675 crore; the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-2,198 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
7Dividend yield (trailing 12M)0.86%NeutralDividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹16 a share, a 0.86% yield on the ₹1,852.00 price.
8Market capitalisation₹11,56,014 crNeutralAt about ₹11.56 lakh crore the company was a large-cap, among the largest listed companies in India.
9Graham number vs price₹539.57 vs ₹1,852.00NeutralBenjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹539.57; the price was 243% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.

B. Growth

#PointReadingTagCommentary
10Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)+22.0%BullishRevenue for FY26 was ₹2,10,973 crore, +22.0% versus FY25.
11Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)+15.7%BullishThe Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹55,383 crore of revenue, +15.7% on the same quarter a year earlier.
12Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)-9.8%CautionFY26 net profit was ₹33,823 crore, -9.8% on FY25's ₹37,481 crore. Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹9,675 crore; the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-2,198 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
13Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)-25.9%CautionQuarterly profit was ₹9,247 crore versus ₹12,476 crore a year earlier (-25.9%). Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹9,675 crore; the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-2,198 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
14Revenue CAGR (3 years)14.9%BullishRevenue compounded at 14.9% a year from FY23 to FY26.
15Profit CAGR (3 years)40.1%CautionNet profit compounded at 40.1% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹9,675 crore; the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-2,198 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
16Revenue CAGR (5 years)16.0%BullishOver five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 16.0% a year.
17EPS growth FY26 (reported)-25.6%CautionReported EPS went from ₹58.85 to ₹43.81 (-25.6%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Note: the Dec 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹9,675 crore; the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-2,198 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.

C. Profitability

#PointReadingTagCommentary
18Operating margin FY2655%NeutralOperating profit (EBITDA) was 55% of sales in FY26 versus 49% in FY25.
19Operating margin trend (4 quarters)56% → 57% → 57% → 57%NeutralQuarterly margins moved from 56% to 57% over the last four quarters — broadly stable.
20Net profit margin FY2616.0%Neutral₹16.0 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26.
21Return on equity FY2625.7%BullishFY26 profit was 25.7% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak.
22ROCE FY2618%NeutralReturn on capital employed (debt + equity) was 18% in FY26.
23Return on assets FY266.20%NeutralNet profit was 6.20% of total assets.
24Effective tax rate FY2625%NeutralThe company paid about 25% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%.
25Other income share of pre-tax profit6%NeutralNon-operating 'other income' of ₹2,925 crore made up 6% of pre-tax profit.

D. Balance sheet

#PointReadingTagCommentary
26Debt / equity1.31BearishBorrowings of ₹1,95,412 crore were 1.31× equity — high leverage.
27Debt / EBITDA1.68×NeutralDebt equalled 1.68 years of FY26 operating profit.
28Interest coverage3.1×NeutralEarnings before interest and tax covered interest cost 3.1 times.
29Book value growth+31.1%BullishShareholders' equity grew +31.1% from ₹1,13,672 crore to ₹1,49,057 crore in FY26.
30Capital work in progress₹12,938 cr (3% of fixed assets)NeutralProjects under construction (CWIP) were 3% of fixed assets — a modest pipeline.
31Working capital days-222 daysNeutralWorking capital tied up equalled -222 days of sales (FY25: -277). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations.
32Cash conversion cycle14 daysNeutralIt took 14 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit.
33Debtor days14 (FY25 16)NeutralCustomers took 14 days on average to pay, versus 16 a year earlier.

E. Cash flow

#PointReadingTagCommentary
34Operating cash flow FY26₹1,22,230 crBullishThe business generated ₹1,22,230 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹98,332 crore in FY25.
35Free cash flow FY26₹76,683 crBullishAfter capital spending, free cash flow was ₹76,683 crore.
36Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)3.61×BullishOperating cash flow was 3.61× reported profit — profits were well backed by cash.
37Free-cash-flow yield6.6%BullishFY26 free cash flow was 6.6% of the snapshot market cap.
38Free cash flow — 3-year total₹1,74,643 crBullishFree cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹1,74,643 crore.
39Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)₹45,547 crNeutralImplied capital expenditure was about ₹45,547 crore, 21.6% of sales.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#PointReadingTagCommentary
40Dividend payout ratio FY2655%NeutralThe company paid out about 55% of FY26 profit as dividends.
41Dividend consistency (3 years)62% / 28% / 55%BullishPayout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year.
42Share capital change (FY25→FY26)+5.1%CautionPaid-up equity capital changed +5.1% (₹2,900 cr → ₹3,047 cr). A fall indicates a buyback; a rise indicates new shares were issued.

G. Ownership

#PointReadingTagCommentary
43Promoter holding48.87% (-3.55 pts YoY)BearishPromoters owned 48.87% at Mar 2026 versus 52.42% a year earlier.
44Foreign institutional holding27.79% (+2.38 pts YoY)BullishFIIs held 27.79% at Mar 2026, up from 25.41% a year before.
45Domestic institutional holding20.53% (+1.30 pts YoY)BullishMutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 20.53%, up from 19.23%.
46Number of shareholders9.0 lakh (+8.1% YoY)NeutralThe shareholder count moved from 8.3 lakh to 9.0 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47Promoter pledgenone reportedNeutralOur source showed no pledged promoter shares.

H. Quality & summary

#PointReadingTagCommentary
48Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)6/8NeutralPassed: positive profit, positive operating cash flow, CFO > net profit, leverage fell, operating margin improved, asset turnover improved. Failed: ROA improved, no meaningful dilution (<3%).
49Automated screen flags3 strength(s) · 2 weakness(es)NeutralStrengths: Company has delivered good profit growth of 22.1% CAGR over last 5 years; Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 48.0%; Promoter holding has increased by 1.20% over last quarter. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 7.12 times its book value; Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -4.68%. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
50Fundamental summary14 bullish · 2 bearish · 27 neutral · 6 cautionBullishOn the numbers published by 30 Jun 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 34.2×, P/B 7.76×. This describes the data, not a recommendation.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 1 Apr – 30 Jun 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

What happened next (30 Jun 2026 → 01 Oct 2026)

Later news

Educational summary. On 30 Jun 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -6.0% against -6.0% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Bharti Airtel today.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 03 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

More case studies today

₹1,293.90close 30 Jun
Oil, gas, retail & telecomNSE: RELIANCEData as of 30 Jun 2026

Reliance Industries — 100-point case study

Technical
Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -9.8% vs Nifty 50 -6.0%

Technical: negativeFundamental: positiveP/E 18.3×P/B 1.94×RSI 431Y -13.8%
₹797.95close 30 Jun
Private-sector bankNSE: HDFCBANKData as of 30 Jun 2026

HDFC Bank — 100-point case study

Technical
Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -9.6% vs Nifty 50 -6.0%

Technical: positiveFundamental: positiveP/E 15.5×P/B 2.10×RSI 601Y -20.3%
₹1,375.20close 30 Jun
Private-sector bankNSE: ICICIBANKData as of 30 Jun 2026

ICICI Bank — 100-point case study

Technical
Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -4.7% vs Nifty 50 -6.0%

Technical: positiveFundamental: positiveP/E 17.0×P/B 2.72×RSI 661Y -4.9%