IT servicesHistorical case study · data as of 24 Jul 2026 · published 27 Oct 2026 (95 days later)
Birlasoft — 100-point case study
How Birlasoft looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 24 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 24 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope +0.01%/day
Neutral
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.01% a day — a flat, sideways phase.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return -26.6%
Bearish
The 100-session trend line was down (-0.32%/day) and the stock was -26.6% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bearish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return -28.7%
Bearish
Compared with a year earlier the price was -28.7%. A weak year for the stock.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 306.16 / 30W 358.14
Bearish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close below the 10-week average, which sat below the 30-week.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 331.80→304.60; lows 306.90→270.20
Bearish
The two most recent swing points showed lower swing highs and lower swing lows — classic downtrend structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
13.4
Neutral
ADX at 13.4 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 21.4 / –DI 22.2
Bearish
–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
284.89 (-0.9%)
Bearish
Close of 282.40 was 0.9% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
306.43 (-7.8%)
Bearish
Close of 282.40 was 7.8% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
369.02 (-23.5%)
Bearish
Close of 282.40 was 23.5% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 284.77 / 21E 290.21
Bearish
The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 04 May 2026.
The 50-day average was 17.0% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
-10.0% in 20 sessions
Bearish
The 50-day average fell 10.0% over the past month — declining.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
285 / 306 / 337 / 369
Bearish
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bearish (20 < 50 < 100 < 200).
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
285.25 (-1.0%)
Bearish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 285.25; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
41.5
Bearish
RSI at 41.5 reflected soft, below-average momentum.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD -7.31 / signal -8.46
Bullish
MACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
2.23 → 1.15
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.41 (bands 270.61–299.17)
Neutral
%B of 0.41 — inside the bands, lower half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 10.0% (10th pct of 6M)
Caution
Band width was at the 10th percentile of the last six months. A squeeze like this often precedes a larger move (direction unknown).
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹9.94 (3.5% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹9.94, or 3.5% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
35.5% vs 1Y 37.8%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 35.5%, close to the one-year level of 37.8%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
270.88–308.42
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
1.12
Neutral
A beta of 1.12 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.47× / 5-day 0.37×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.47× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.37× — lighter than usual participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 2.21
Bullish
Average volume on up days was 2.21× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV rising
Bullish
OBV rose over the month while price fell — volume diverged from price.
About ₹70 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
275.00 / 270.20
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 275.00, 2.7% below the close, then 270.20.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
304.60 / 331.80 / 337.25
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 304.60, 7.9% above the close, then 331.80, 337.25.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 285.73 | R1 301.27 | S1 266.87
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 285.73; the close was below it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 318 | 38.2% 348 | 50.0% 372 | 61.8% 396
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month fall from 474.00 to 270.20, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 318.30.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 474.00 / L 270.20
Bearish
The close was 40.4% below the 52-week high and 4.5% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
3 open; latest gap-up 10 Jul at 276.25
Neutral
There were 3 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 10 Jul 2026, left an open level at 276.25 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend
Neutral
Rule-based pattern scan: counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 270.20–313.45
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 270.20–313.45.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Bullish engulfing
Bullish
On 24 Jul the candle opened 277.45, ranged 277.25–286.00 and closed 282.40: Bullish engulfing. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 326.89–353.12; Tenkan 290.75 / Kijun 300.35
Bearish
Price was below the cloud and the Tenkan line was below the Kijun line — a bearish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M -7.2% / 3M -25.0%
Bearish
The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 25.0 points over three months and underperformed by 7.2 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty IT
3M -22.1%
Bearish
Against its sector index (Nifty IT) the stock was 22.1 points behind over three months.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
5 bullish · 24 bearish · 19 neutral · 1 caution
Bearish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned negative. Levels that mattered: support 275.00, resistance 304.60. This is a description of the chart on 24 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 24 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 24 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
15.2×
Neutral
At ₹282.40 the market valued the company at about ₹7,888 crore, or 15.2× the ₹518 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a moderate multiple.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
1.92×
Neutral
Market cap was 1.92× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹4,113 crore.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Sales
1.49×
Neutral
The company was valued at 1.49× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹5,311 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
EV / EBITDA (approx.)
9.3×
Neutral
Enterprise value (market cap + ₹141 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 9.3× trailing operating profit of ₹866 crore.
How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5
Earnings yield
6.6%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹6.6 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
0.95
Bullish
P/E of 15.2 divided by 3-year profit growth of 16.0% a year gives a PEG of 0.95. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
2.30%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹6.5 a share, a 2.30% yield on the ₹282.40 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹7,888 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.08 lakh crore the company was a small-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹247.88 vs ₹282.40
Neutral
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹247.88; the price was 14% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
-1.2%
Bearish
Revenue for FY26 was ₹5,310 crore, -1.2% versus FY25.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
2 strength(s) · 1 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Company is almost debt free; Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 32.9%. Weaknesses: The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.35% over past five years. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
13 bullish · 3 bearish · 32 neutral · 1 caution
Bullish
On the numbers published by 24 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 15.2×, P/B 1.92×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 24 Apr 2026 – 24 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
29 Apr 2026Birlasoft reschedules Q4 FY26 earnings call to 6:00 pm on May 6 — In a filing to BSE/NSE, Birlasoft said Q4 and FY2025-26 results would be announced on May 6, 2026, and moved its earnings conference call that day from 5:30 pm to 6:00 pm IST. source
06 May 2026Birlasoft Q4 FY26: revenue Rs 13,486 million, PAT up 44.1% YoY; Rs 4 final dividend recommended — Q4 FY26 revenue rose 2.4% YoY and 0.1% QoQ in rupee terms (down 3.7% QoQ in USD). EBITDA margin was 18.5%, PAT Rs 1,759 million (adjusted PAT Rs 2,019 million excluding a one-time tax charge), deal TCV USD 208 million. The board recommended a final dividend of Rs 4 per share. source
13 May 2026Birlasoft shares hit 52-week low after five straight losing sessions — The stock fell for a fifth consecutive session to a new 52-week low around Rs 320, trading below its 5- to 200-day moving averages; one-year return was about -24% versus about -8% for the Sensex. source
24 Jun 2026Birlasoft fixes July 10 as record date for Rs 4 final dividend — Birlasoft set July 10, 2026 as the record date for the FY26 final dividend of Rs 4 per share (200% of face value), subject to shareholder approval at the 35th AGM scheduled for July 27, 2026 via video conference. source
What happened next (24 Jul 2026 → 26 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹282.40 to ₹306.60 by 26 Oct 2026 (+8.6%) while the Nifty 50 moved -4.3% — outperforming by 12.8 points.
Highest ₹331.00 on 06 Aug 2026; lowest ₹267.05 on 01 Oct 2026.
S1 275.00: broken on a closing basis on 25 Sep 2026.
S2 270.20: broken on a closing basis on 29 Sep 2026.
R1 304.60: cleared on a closing basis on 29 Jul 2026.
R2 331.80: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and stayed on the same side through the period.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 28 Jul 2026): revenue ₹1,379 crore (+7.3% YoY), net profit ₹161 crore (+51.9% YoY), operating margin 16% vs 12% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Later news
28 Jul 2026Birlasoft Q1 FY27: PAT up 51.3% YoY to Rs 1,610 million; revenue up 7.4% YoY — Q1 FY27 revenue was Rs 13,794 million (up 2.3% QoQ, 7.4% YoY; USD revenue down 0.1% QoQ). EBITDA margin 16.1%, PAT Rs 1,610 million, deal TCV USD 169 million (up 20% YoY), headcount 11,057. source
01 Aug 2026Birlasoft gains 7% in week after Q1 results — Shares rose about 7% in the week of July 27-31, 2026, from about Rs 282.5 to Rs 302.4, versus a 2.4% gain in the Sensex, following the Q1 FY27 results. source
08 Oct 2026Birlasoft named an OpenAI Select Partner — Birlasoft joined OpenAI's partner network to build and deploy AI solutions for enterprise clients, focusing on manufacturing, life sciences and energy and utilities. source
21 Oct 2026Birlasoft to announce Q2 FY27 results on October 28; board to consider interim dividend — The board will meet on October 28, 2026 to approve results for the quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2026, and will also consider an interim dividend. source
Educational summary. On 24 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned negative and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved +8.6% against -4.3% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Birlasoft today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 27 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50, Nifty IT via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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