Housing financeHistorical case study · data as of 24 Jul 2026 · published 28 Oct 2026 (96 days later)
Can Fin Homes — 100-point case study
How Can Fin Homes looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 24 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Screener's consolidated view is empty for Can Fin Homes, so all financial figures here are standalone. Lender metrics (NII, NPA, NIM, capital adequacy) come from the company's results releases.
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 24 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope -0.31%/day
Bearish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was falling about 0.31% a day — a short-term downtrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return -9.5%
Neutral
The 100-session trend line was up (+0.05%/day) and the stock was -9.5% over three months, so the medium-term picture was neutral.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return +5.4%
Neutral
Compared with a year earlier the price was +5.4%. Little net progress over twelve months.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 864.90 / 30W 869.99
Bearish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close below the 10-week average, which sat below the 30-week.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 898.75→940.85; lows 792.90→823.65
Bullish
The two most recent swing points showed higher swing highs and higher swing lows — classic uptrend structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
24.2
Bearish
ADX at 24.2 shows a trend of moderate strength. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 9.4 / –DI 32.4
Bearish
–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
880.03 (-7.5%)
Bearish
Close of 813.90 was 7.5% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
861.95 (-5.6%)
Bearish
Close of 813.90 was 5.6% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
871.93 (-6.7%)
Bearish
Close of 813.90 was 6.7% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 849.81 / 21E 867.59
Bearish
The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 21 Jul 2026.
The 50-day average was 1.1% below the 200-day. The most recent signal was a death cross on 30 Jun 2026.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
+0.1% in 20 sessions
Neutral
The 50-day average rose 0.1% over the past month — flattening.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
880 / 862 / 857 / 872
Neutral
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range.
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
879.74 (-7.5%)
Bearish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 879.74; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
33.8
Bearish
RSI at 33.8 reflected soft, below-average momentum.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
bearish divergence
Caution
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: bearish divergence: price made a higher high but RSI made a lower high.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD -11.06 / signal 1.43
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
-4.78 → -12.48
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.06 (bands 804.68–955.38)
Neutral
%B of 0.06 — inside the bands, lower half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 17.1% (97th pct of 6M)
Neutral
Band width was at the 97th percentile of the last six months, so volatility was elevated.
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹26.93 (3.3% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹26.93, or 3.3% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
32.2% vs 1Y 27.3%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 32.2%, close to the one-year level of 27.3%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
812.68–921.54
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
0.92
Neutral
A beta of 0.92 means the stock tended to move roughly in line with the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.77× / 5-day 1.00×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.77× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.00× — normal participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 1.19
Bullish
Average volume on up days was 1.19× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV falling
Bearish
OBV fell over the month while price fell — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹36 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — moderately liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
788.77 / 732.74 / 708.60
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 788.77, 3.2% below the close, then 732.74, 708.60.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
859.45 / 930.96
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 859.45, 5.6% above the close, then 930.96.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 851.25 | R1 903.50 | S1 761.65
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 851.25; the close was below it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 817 | 38.2% 845 | 50.0% 868 | 61.8% 891
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month fall from 963.80 to 772.00, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 817.26.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 971.50 / L 708.60
Neutral
The close was 16.2% below the 52-week high and 14.9% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
none
Neutral
No unfilled price gaps in the last six months.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
broad sideways range
Neutral
Rule-based pattern scan: broad sideways range. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 807.20–940.85
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 807.20–940.85.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Hammer-type candle
Bullish
On 24 Jul the candle opened 819.00, ranged 799.00–819.50 and closed 813.90: Hammer-type candle — buyers rejected lower prices. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 839.58–867.97; Tenkan 865.10 / Kijun 869.92
Bearish
Price was below the cloud and the Tenkan line was below the Kijun line — a bearish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M -7.0% / 3M -7.9%
Bearish
The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 7.9 points over three months and underperformed by 7.0 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M -4.0%
Bearish
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 4.0 points behind the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
3 bullish · 23 bearish · 20 neutral · 3 caution
Bearish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned negative. Levels that mattered: support 788.77, resistance 859.45. This is a description of the chart on 24 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 24 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Jun 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 24 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
10.0×
Neutral
At ₹813.90 the market valued the company at about ₹10,831 crore, or 10.0× the ₹1,086 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a low multiple in absolute terms.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
1.81×
Neutral
Market cap was 1.81× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹5,981 crore. For a bank, P/B is the main valuation yardstick.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Revenue (interest earned)
2.57×
Neutral
Market cap was 2.57× trailing-12-month revenue (mainly interest earned) of ₹4,216 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
Profit / Book (earnings power)
18.2%
Neutral
Trailing profit was 18.2% of book value — the return the bank was generating on the equity investors were paying 1.81× for.
How to read: Information only.
5
Earnings yield
10.0%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹10.0 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
0.49
Bullish
P/E of 10.0 divided by 3-year profit growth of 20.5% a year gives a PEG of 0.49. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
1.84%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹15 a share, a 1.84% yield on the ₹813.90 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹10,831 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.11 lakh crore the company was a small-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹908.48 vs ₹813.90
Bullish
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹908.48; the price was 10% below it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+8.7%
Neutral
Revenue (interest earned) for FY26 was ₹4,217 crore, +8.7% versus FY25.
NIM — the spread between what the bank earns on loans and pays on deposits — was 4.19% in Jan–Mar 2026 (as reported). Above ~3.5% is strong for an Indian bank.
Bullish 3.5% or more · Bearish below 3.0% · Neutral 3.0–3.5%.
19
Net interest income growth (Q4 FY26)
+21.2%
Bullish
Core interest income after interest expense was ₹422 crore, +21.2% year on year (standalone, as reported).
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
1 strength(s) · 3 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Company has delivered good profit growth of 18.9% CAGR over last 5 years. Weaknesses: Company has low interest coverage ratio; Promoter holding is low: 30.0%; Company might be capitalizing the interest cost. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
20 bullish · 0 bearish · 29 neutral · 0 caution
Bullish
On the numbers published by 24 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 10.0×, P/B 1.81×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 24 Apr 2026 – 24 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
24 Apr 2026Can Fin Homes Q4 FY26 net profit rises 47% YoY to about Rs 345 crore — Board approved Q4 FY26 results on 24 April 2026; quarterly profit was about Rs 345 crore vs Rs 234 crore a year earlier, revenue up 9%, gross NPA 0.85% and net NPA 0.37%. source
25 Apr 2026Can Fin Homes press release: FY26 loan book Rs 42,209 crore, disbursements up 23% — Company release reported Q4 NIM of 4.19%, loan book up 10% YoY to Rs 42,209 crore and FY26 disbursements of Rs 10,531 crore. source
28 Apr 2026PL Capital result update: loan book grew 10.5% YoY in Q4; FY27 loan growth seen at 14% — Brokerage note said core markets stabilised and guided credit cost of about 15 bps for FY27, with cost/income elevated at about 18%. source
08 Jun 2026Board approves raising up to Rs 5,000 crore via debt; Rs 8 final dividend recommended — Board approved fundraising through NCDs, subordinated debt and RMBS, made leadership appointments and fixed 3 July 2026 as the record date for the Rs 8 final dividend. source
07 Jul 2026Can Fin Homes schedules 39th AGM for 29 July; FY26 record profit of Rs 1,085.75 crore — Annual report notice set the AGM for 29 July 2026 and noted total FY26 dividend of Rs 15 per share. source
18 Jul 2026Q1 FY27 net profit up 20% to Rs 268 crore; loan book up 11% to Rs 42,961 crore — Results for the June 2026 quarter showed disbursements up 29% to Rs 2,609 crore, gross NPA 0.87% and net NPA 0.42%. source
20 Jul 2026Shares slip after Q1 results on margin-pressure concerns — The stock fell on the first trading day after results as investors weighed profit growing faster than revenue and margin pressure from falling interest rates. source
What happened next (24 Jul 2026 → 27 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹813.90 to ₹725.50 by 27 Oct 2026 (-10.9%) while the Nifty 50 moved -4.3% — underperforming by 6.6 points.
Highest ₹852.35 on 21 Aug 2026; lowest ₹693.00 on 23 Oct 2026.
S1 788.77: broken on a closing basis on 09 Sep 2026.
S2 732.74: broken on a closing basis on 29 Sep 2026.
R1 859.45: not cleared on a closing basis.
R2 930.96: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and stayed on the same side through the period.
19 Aug 2026Can Fin Homes to meet analysts and investors on 24 August — Company disclosed a virtual one-on-one meeting organised by Investec Capital Services, following Q1 FY27 profit growth of 19.63%. source
10 Oct 2026Q2 FY27 net profit up 9.2% to Rs 274.61 crore; total income up 7.8% — September-quarter results released on 9 October showed total income of Rs 1,131.18 crore, up 7.8% YoY. source
10 Oct 2026H1 FY27 net profit climbs 14% to Rs 543 crore — First-half profit rose to Rs 543 crore from Rs 475 crore, with profit before tax of Rs 686 crore. source
Educational summary. On 24 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned negative and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -10.9% against -4.3% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message lined up with what followed. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Can Fin Homes today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 28 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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