Housing & infrastructure lender (PSU)Historical case study · data as of 13 Jul 2026 · published 16 Oct 2026 (95 days later)
Housing & Urban Development Corporation — 100-point case study
How Housing & Urban Development Corporation looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 13 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Fundamentals use Screener's standalone figures because the consolidated page was out of date. Q4 FY26 profit includes a deferred-tax credit of about ₹1,530 crore, so the year's profit growth overstates the underlying trend. NII, NIM and CRAR for Q4 FY26 were not found in the sources and show as n/a.
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 13 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope -0.08%/day
Neutral
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was falling about 0.08% a day — a flat, sideways phase.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return +15.6%
Bullish
The 100-session trend line was up (+0.18%/day) and the stock was +15.6% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return -8.9%
Neutral
Compared with a year earlier the price was -8.9%. Little net progress over twelve months.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 207.67 / 30W 200.68
Bullish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 218.00→217.85; lows 199.02→204.00
Neutral
The two most recent swing points showed a lower high but a higher low — mixed structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
8.6
Neutral
ADX at 8.6 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 24.5 / –DI 22.4
Bullish
+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
209.40 (+0.4%)
Bullish
Close of 210.24 was 0.4% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
210.41 (-0.1%)
Bearish
Close of 210.24 was 0.1% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
209.80 (+0.2%)
Bullish
Close of 210.24 was 0.2% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 208.48 / 21E 208.51
Bearish
The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 09 Jul 2026.
The 50-day average was 0.3% above the 200-day. The most recent signal was a golden cross on 02 Jul 2026.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
+3.7% in 20 sessions
Bullish
The 50-day average rose 3.7% over the past month — rising.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
209 / 210 / 198 / 210
Neutral
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range.
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
209.98 (+0.1%)
Bullish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 209.98; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
52.6
Neutral
RSI at 52.6 was in the neutral 45–55 zone.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD 0.20 / signal 0.45
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
0.35 → -0.25
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.57 (bands 202.97–215.82)
Neutral
%B of 0.57 — inside the bands, upper half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 6.1% (5th pct of 6M)
Caution
Band width was at the 5th percentile of the last six months. A squeeze like this often precedes a larger move (direction unknown).
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹6.13 (2.9% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹6.13, or 2.9% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
24.1% vs 1Y 32.3%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 24.1%, below the one-year level of 32.3%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
196.39–220.66
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
1.43
Neutral
A beta of 1.43 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 1.52× / 5-day 1.04×
Neutral
The final session traded 1.52× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.04× — normal participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 1.45
Bullish
Average volume on up days was 1.45× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV rising
Bullish
OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹66 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
206.46 / 198.38 / 187.25
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 206.46, 1.8% below the close, then 198.38, 187.25.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
218.72 / 236.42 / 246.85
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 218.72, 4.0% above the close, then 236.42, 246.85.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 209.90 | R1 218.19 | S1 201.94
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 209.90; the close was above it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 217 | 38.2% 206 | 50.0% 197 | 61.8% 188
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month rise from 159.00 to 235.50, the close was nearest the 38.2% retracement at 206.28.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 246.85 / L 159.00
Neutral
The close was 14.8% below the 52-week high and 32.2% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
1 open; latest gap-up 08 Apr at 172.54
Neutral
There was 1 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 08 Apr 2026, left an open level at 172.54 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
pullback inside a larger uptrend
Neutral
Rule-based pattern scan: pullback inside a larger uptrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 201.60–218.00
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 201.60–218.00.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Ordinary green candle
Neutral
On 13 Jul the candle opened 207.51, ranged 207.16–212.41 and closed 210.24: Ordinary green candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 197.25–210.40; Tenkan 209.72 / Kijun 208.51
Neutral
Price was inside the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — an undecided Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M -1.1% / 3M +13.7%
Bullish
The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 13.7 points over three months and underperformed by 1.1 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M -1.1%
Neutral
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 1.1 points behind the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
14 bullish · 6 bearish · 28 neutral · 1 caution
Bullish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 206.46, resistance 218.72. This is a description of the chart on 13 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 13 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 13 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
10.5×
Neutral
At ₹210.24 the market valued the company at about ₹42,168 crore, or 10.5× the ₹4,034 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a low multiple in absolute terms.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
1.92×
Neutral
Market cap was 1.92× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹21,977 crore. For a bank, P/B is the main valuation yardstick.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Revenue (interest earned)
3.21×
Neutral
Market cap was 3.21× trailing-12-month revenue (mainly interest earned) of ₹13,150 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
Profit / Book (earnings power)
18.4%
Neutral
Trailing profit was 18.4% of book value — the return the bank was generating on the equity investors were paying 1.92× for.
How to read: Information only.
5
Earnings yield
9.6%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹9.6 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
0.31
Bullish
P/E of 10.5 divided by 3-year profit growth of 33.3% a year gives a PEG of 0.31. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
2.66%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹5.6 a share, a 2.66% yield on the ₹210.24 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹42,168 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.42 lakh crore the company was a mid-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹222.68 vs ₹210.24
Bullish
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹222.68; the price was 6% below it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+28.5%
Bullish
Revenue (interest earned) for FY26 was ₹13,294 crore, +28.5% versus FY25.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
3 strength(s) · 3 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.76%; Company has delivered good profit growth of 20.5% CAGR over last 5 years; Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 33.3%. Weaknesses: Company has low interest coverage ratio; Tax rate seems low; Company might be capitalizing the interest cost. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
20 bullish · 0 bearish · 29 neutral · 0 caution
Bullish
On the numbers published by 13 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 10.5×, P/B 1.92×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 13 Apr 2026 – 13 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
14 May 2026HUDCO reports FY26 results; loan book up 29% to Rs1.61 lakh crore — HUDCO reported record FY26 net profit of Rs4,034 crore and a loan book of Rs1,60,724 crore at 31 March 2026, with net NPA at 0.05%. Q4 profit of Rs1,981 crore included a large deferred-tax credit; the board recommended a final dividend of Rs1.50 per share. source
14 May 2026HUDCO's loan sanction pipeline includes Rs13,000 crore of city projects under urban fund — Business Standard reported that HUDCO's sanction pipeline includes about Rs13,000 crore of city projects under the Urban Challenge Fund. source
15 May 2026HUDCO shares fall about 8% after Q4 results — HUDCO shares declined about 8% in the session after the Q4 FY26 results, as pre-tax profit fell year on year while headline profit was lifted by a tax credit. source
01 Jul 2026HUDCO Q1 FY27 loan sanctions rise to Rs65,485 crore — HUDCO's provisional loan sanctions for April-June 2026 were Rs65,485 crore, up about 93% year on year, and disbursements rose about 28% to Rs16,377 crore. source
03 Jul 2026HUDCO signs MoU to provide up to Rs1 lakh crore for Bihar urban infrastructure — HUDCO signed an MoU with the Government of Bihar to provide up to Rs1,00,000 crore over five years for land acquisition and urban infrastructure projects. source
11 Jul 2026HUDCO signs MoU with Odisha for up to Rs1 lakh crore in term loans — HUDCO signed an MoU with the Government of Odisha to provide term loans of up to Rs1,00,000 crore over five years for urban housing and infrastructure, including the BCPPER economic region. source
What happened next (13 Jul 2026 → 15 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹210.24 to ₹161.06 by 15 Oct 2026 (-23.4%) while the Nifty 50 moved -5.0% — underperforming by 18.4 points.
Highest ₹209.07 on 15 Jul 2026; lowest ₹155.80 on 06 Oct 2026.
S1 206.46: broken on a closing basis on 15 Jul 2026.
S2 198.38: broken on a closing basis on 22 Jul 2026.
R1 218.72: not cleared on a closing basis.
R2 236.42: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and crossed below on 14 Jul 2026.
27 Jul 2026HUDCO Q1 FY27 net profit rises 35% to Rs851 crore; interim dividend declared — HUDCO reported Q1 FY27 net profit of Rs851 crore, up 35% year on year, with the loan book at Rs1,73,123 crore (+28.8%) and gross NPA at 0.96%. The board declared an interim dividend of Rs1.25 per share. source
28 Jul 2026HUDCO sets 56th AGM for 24 August with 17 August record date for final dividend — HUDCO scheduled its 56th AGM for 24 August 2026 by video conference and fixed 17 August 2026 as the record date for the proposed final FY26 dividend of Rs1.50 per share. source
09 Aug 2026HUDCO CMD expects loan book to cross Rs2 trillion in FY27 — HUDCO's chairman said the loan book is expected to cross Rs2 trillion during FY27 on firm demand. source
01 Oct 2026HUDCO H1 FY27 loan sanctions cross Rs1 lakh crore — HUDCO reported provisional sanctions of Rs1,04,592 crore for April-September 2026, with disbursements up about 37% to Rs35,371 crore. source
13 Oct 2026HUDCO presents Rs908 crore FY26 dividend to Government — HUDCO's CMD presented a dividend of Rs908.36 crore for FY 2025-26 to the Union Housing and Urban Affairs Minister in New Delhi. source
Educational summary. On 13 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -23.4% against -5.0% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Housing & Urban Development Corporation today.
Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 16 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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₹756.25close 13 Jul
NBFC (consumer & business loans)NSE: HDBFSData as of 13 Jul 2026