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Housing finance lender Historical case study · data as of 15 Jul 2026 · published 18 Oct 2026 (95 days later)

LIC Housing Finance — 100-point case study

How LIC Housing Finance looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 15 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

Codes	NSE: LICHSGFIN · BSE: 500253
Close on 15 Jul 2026	₹550.15
Market cap then	₹30,261 crore
Valuation	P/E 5.4× · P/B 0.73×
Momentum	RSI (14) 51 · 1-year return -11.1%
Next 3 months	-5.3% vs Nifty 50 -3.9% (to 16 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

16 bullish · 25 neutral · 1 caution · 7 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Fundamental — 50 points

7 bullish · 38 neutral · 0 caution · 4 bearish — the picture was mixed.

Price chart

Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance

Data note: Daily prices for 10 Dec 2025 – 9 Mar 2026 come from EquityPandit (NSE history) because that Yahoo Finance window could not be fetched; they matched Yahoo on overlapping months. Lender metrics are from the company's standalone results releases; CRAR was not found and shows as n/a.

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 15 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Trend

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	Short-term trend (20 days)	slope -0.04%/day	Neutral	Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was falling about 0.04% a day — a flat, sideways phase. Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2	Medium-term trend (~5 months)	3M return +5.7%	Bullish	The 100-session trend line was up (+0.09%/day) and the stock was +5.7% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish. Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3	Long-term trend (1 year)	1Y return -11.1%	Bearish	Compared with a year earlier the price was -11.1%. A weak year for the stock. Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4	Weekly chart trend	10W 548.14 / 30W 533.85	Bullish	On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack. Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5	Swing structure (highs/lows)	last highs 570.75→568.50; lows 538.50→528.00	Bearish	The two most recent swing points showed lower swing highs and lower swing lows — classic downtrend structure. Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6	ADX (14) — trend strength	14.2	Neutral	ADX at 14.2 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction. Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7	+DI vs –DI	+DI 22.1 / –DI 16.2	Bullish	+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure. Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.

B. Moving averages

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
8	Price vs 20-day SMA	549.53 (+0.1%)	Bullish	Close of 550.15 was 0.1% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9	Price vs 50-day SMA	551.62 (-0.3%)	Bearish	Close of 550.15 was 0.3% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10	Price vs 200-day SMA	542.06 (+1.5%)	Bullish	Close of 550.15 was 1.5% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11	9 / 21 EMA crossover	9E 548.24 / 21E 548.61	Bearish	The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 08 Jul 2026. Bullish 9-day above 21-day · Bearish 9-day below 21-day · No neutral zone.
12	Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)	last golden cross 11 Jun 2026	Bullish	The 50-day average was 1.8% above the 200-day. The most recent signal was a golden cross on 11 Jun 2026. Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13	50-day SMA slope	+0.8% in 20 sessions	Bullish	The 50-day average rose 0.8% over the past month — rising. Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14	MA ribbon alignment	550 / 552 / 537 / 542	Neutral	The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range. Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15	Monthly anchored VWAP	549.43 (+0.1%)	Bullish	Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 549.43; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit. Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.

C. Momentum

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
16	RSI (14)	51.1	Neutral	RSI at 51.1 was in the neutral 45–55 zone. Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17	RSI divergence (last 40 days)	none	Neutral	Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price. Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18	MACD line vs signal	MACD -0.23 / signal -0.10	Bearish	MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative. Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19	MACD histogram (5-day change)	-1.93 → -0.13	Bullish	The histogram rose over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was improving. Bullish histogram rising (momentum improving) · Bearish histogram falling (momentum weakening) · No neutral zone.
20	MACD vs zero line	-0.23	Bearish	MACD below zero means the 12-day EMA was below the 26-day EMA — a negative momentum regime. Bullish MACD above zero · Bearish MACD below zero · No neutral zone.
21	Stochastic (14,3,3)	%K 55.7 / %D 52.4	Bullish	Slow stochastic at 55.7 was mid-range with %K above %D. Bullish between 20 and 80 with %K above %D · Bearish between 20 and 80 with %K below %D · Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
22	Williams %R (14)	-45.3	Neutral	%R of -45.3 put the close in the middle of its 14-day range. How to read: Caution above –20 (near the top) or below –80 (near the bottom). Neutral in the middle. This point is never tagged Bullish or Bearish.
23	CCI (20)	63	Neutral	CCI at 63 was within the normal ±100 band. Bullish above +100 (unusually strong upward move) · Bearish below –100 (unusually strong downward move) · Neutral within ±100.
24	Rate of change (10-day)	-0.8%	Neutral	Price changed -0.8% over ten sessions. Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.

D. Volatility

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
25	Bollinger Band position (%B)	%B 0.52 (bands 535.33–563.73)	Neutral	%B of 0.52 — inside the bands, upper half. How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26	Bollinger width / squeeze	width 5.2% (8th pct of 6M)	Caution	Band width was at the 8th percentile of the last six months. A squeeze like this often precedes a larger move (direction unknown). How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27	ATR (14)	₹12.94 (2.4% of price)	Neutral	A typical day's range was about ₹12.94, or 2.4% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect. How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28	Historical volatility (30-day)	23.0% vs 1Y 24.8%	Neutral	Annualised 30-day volatility was 23.0%, close to the one-year level of 24.8%. How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29	Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)	523.28–573.91	Neutral	The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout. Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30	Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)	1.10	Neutral	A beta of 1.10 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day. How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.

E. Volume & money flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
31	Volume vs 20-day average	last day 1.08× / 5-day 0.98×	Neutral	The final session traded 1.08× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.98× — normal participation. How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32	Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)	ratio 1.70	Bullish	Average volume on up days was 1.70× that on down days — accumulation-leaning. Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33	On-Balance Volume (20d)	OBV rising	Bullish	OBV rose over the month while price fell — volume diverged from price. Bullish OBV rising · Bearish OBV falling · No neutral zone.
34	Accumulation/Distribution line	rising (20d)	Bullish	The A/D line rose, meaning closes tended to be in the upper part of daily ranges on meaningful volume. Bullish A/D line rising · Bearish A/D line falling · No neutral zone.
35	Chaikin Money Flow (20)	0.05	Neutral	CMF at +0.05 indicated roughly balanced money flow. Bullish above +0.05 (net inflows) · Bearish below –0.05 (net outflows) · Neutral between –0.05 and +0.05.
36	Money Flow Index (14)	71.2	Bullish	MFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 71.2. Bullish MFI 55–80 · Bearish MFI 20–45 · Neutral 45–55. Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
37	Liquidity (avg daily turnover)	₹83 cr/day	Neutral	About ₹83 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid. How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.

F. Price levels

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
38	Support levels (S1/S2/S3)	530.57 / 501.68 / 488.93	Neutral	Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 530.57, 3.7% below the close, then 501.68, 488.93. How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39	Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)	562.07 / 596.33 / 646.50	Neutral	Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 562.07, 2.2% above the close, then 596.33, 646.50. How to read: Information only.
40	Monthly pivot points (for next month)	P 548.88 \| R1 569.77 \| S1 529.27	Neutral	Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 548.88; the close was above it. How to read: Information only.
41	Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)	23.6% 565 \| 38.2% 545 \| 50.0% 529 \| 61.8% 512	Neutral	Measuring the 6-month rise from 458.90 to 598.20, the close was nearest the 38.2% retracement at 544.99. How to read: Information only.
42	52-week high / low	H 646.50 / L 458.90	Neutral	The close was 14.9% below the 52-week high and 19.9% above the 52-week low. Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43	Unfilled price gaps (6M)	1 open; latest gap-up 25 Mar at 481.00	Neutral	There was 1 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 25 Mar 2026, left an open level at 481.00 that price had not revisited. How to read: Information only.

G. Patterns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
44	Price structure / chart pattern	pullback inside a larger uptrend	Neutral	Rule-based pattern scan: pullback inside a larger uptrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.) Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45	Breakout / breakdown (20-day)	range 528.00–568.50	Neutral	The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 528.00–568.50. Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46	Latest candlestick	Shooting-star-type candle	Bearish	On 15 Jul the candle opened 552.00, ranged 549.20–563.00 and closed 550.15: Shooting-star-type candle — sellers rejected higher prices. Single candles are weak signals on their own. Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47	Ichimoku Cloud	cloud 528.55–552.56; Tenkan 546.00 / Kijun 549.38	Neutral	Price was inside the cloud and the Tenkan line was below the Kijun line — an undecided Ichimoku setup. Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.

H. Relative strength & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Relative strength vs Nifty 50	1M -1.6% / 3M +4.7%	Bullish	The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 4.7 points over three months and underperformed by 1.6 points over one month. Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49	Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)	6M +10.2%	Bullish	No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 10.2 points ahead of the Nifty 50. Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50	Technical summary	16 bullish · 7 bearish · 25 neutral · 1 caution	Bullish	Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 530.57, resistance 562.07. This is a description of the chart on 15 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 15 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 15 Jul 2026 close.

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Valuation

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	P/E (trailing 12 months)	5.4×	Neutral	At ₹550.15 the market valued the company at about ₹30,261 crore, or 5.4× the ₹5,604 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a low multiple in absolute terms. How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2	Price / Book	0.73×	Neutral	Market cap was 0.73× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹41,429 crore. For a bank, P/B is the main valuation yardstick. How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3	Price / Revenue (interest earned)	1.06×	Neutral	Market cap was 1.06× trailing-12-month revenue (mainly interest earned) of ₹28,665 crore. How to read: Information only.
4	Profit / Book (earnings power)	13.5%	Neutral	Trailing profit was 13.5% of book value — the return the bank was generating on the equity investors were paying 0.73× for. How to read: Information only.
5	Earnings yield	18.5%	Neutral	The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹18.5 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds. How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6	PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)	0.22	Bullish	P/E of 5.4 divided by 3-year profit growth of 24.7% a year gives a PEG of 0.22. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7	Dividend yield (trailing 12M)	1.82%	Neutral	Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹10 a share, a 1.82% yield on the ₹550.15 price. Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8	Market capitalisation	₹30,261 cr	Neutral	At about ₹0.30 lakh crore the company was a mid-cap. How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9	Graham number vs price	₹1,313.97 vs ₹550.15	Bullish	Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹1,313.97; the price was 58% below it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number. Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).

B. Growth

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
10	Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)	+2.6%	Neutral	Revenue (interest earned) for FY26 was ₹28,838 crore, +2.6% versus FY25. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% (revenue fell) · Neutral 0–10%.
11	Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)	-2.9%	Bearish	The Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹7,094 crore of revenue, -2.9% on the same quarter a year earlier. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
12	Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)	+3.0%	Neutral	FY26 net profit was ₹5,604 crore, +3.0% on FY25's ₹5,443 crore. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13	Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)	+8.7%	Neutral	Quarterly profit was ₹1,493 crore versus ₹1,374 crore a year earlier (+8.7%). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
14	Revenue CAGR (3 years)	8.3%	Neutral	Revenue compounded at 8.3% a year from FY23 to FY26. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15	Profit CAGR (3 years)	24.7%	Bullish	Net profit compounded at 24.7% a year from FY23 to FY26. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16	Revenue CAGR (5 years)	7.7%	Neutral	Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 7.7% a year. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17	EPS growth FY26 (reported)	+3.0%	Neutral	Reported EPS went from ₹98.94 to ₹101.87 (+3.0%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.

C. Profitability

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
18	Net interest margin (Q4 FY26)	2.80%	Bearish	NIM — the spread between what the bank earns on loans and pays on deposits — was 2.80% in Jan–Mar 2026 (as reported). Above ~3.5% is strong for an Indian bank. Bullish 3.5% or more · Bearish below 3.0% · Neutral 3.0–3.5%.
19	Net interest income growth (Q4 FY26)	+3.0%	Bearish	Core interest income after interest expense was ₹2,222 crore, +3.0% year on year (standalone, as reported). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 5% · Neutral 5–10%.
20	Net profit margin FY26	19.4%	Neutral	₹19.4 of every ₹100 of interest-led revenue ended up as net profit in FY26. How to read: Information only.
21	Return on equity FY26	14.4%	Neutral	FY26 profit was 14.4% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak. Bullish above 18% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–18%. Around 15% or more is generally considered good.
22	Leverage (assets ÷ equity)	7.8×	Neutral	Total assets were 7.8× equity — normal for banks, which fund most assets with deposits. How to read: Information only — banks normally run high leverage.
23	Return on assets FY26	1.72%	Bullish	Net profit was 1.72% of total assets. For banks, ROA above 1% is considered healthy. Bullish banks only: 1.5% or more · Bearish banks only: below 1% · Information only for non-banks.
24	Effective tax rate FY26	21%	Neutral	The company paid about 21% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%. How to read: Information only. India’s base corporate rate is about 25%.
25	Q4 FY26 standalone profit (reported)	₹1,497 cr (+9.5%)	Neutral	The bank's own (standalone) Jan–Mar 2026 profit as reported was ₹1,497 crore, +9.5% year on year. Bullish above 12% year on year · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–12%.

D. Asset quality & capital

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
26	Gross NPA (Q4 FY26)	2.16%	Neutral	Gross non-performing assets were 2.16% of loans — elevated. Bullish below 2% · Bearish above 4% · Neutral 2–4%.
27	Net NPA (Q4 FY26)	1.08%	Neutral	After provisions, net NPAs were 1.08% of loans. Bullish below 0.6% · Bearish above 1.5% · Neutral 0.6–1.5%.
28	CASA ratio	n/a	Neutral	Not reported in our sources for this period. Bullish above 40% · Bearish below 30% · Neutral 30–40%.
29	Capital adequacy (CRAR)	n/a	Neutral	Not reported in our sources for this period. Bullish above 16% · Bearish below 13% · Neutral 13–16%. RBI minimum incl. buffer is 11.5%.
30	Loan (advances) growth	+4.0%	Bearish	Advances grew +4.0% year on year (as reported). Bullish above 14% · Bearish below 8% · Neutral 8–14%.
31	Deposit growth	n/a	Neutral	Not reported in our sources for this period. Bullish above 12% · Bearish below 7% · Neutral 7–12%.
32	Borrowings (consolidated)	₹2,77,539 cr	Neutral	Borrowings were ₹2,77,539 crore at Mar 2026 — lenders that don't take deposits fund their loans this way. How to read: Information only.
33	Book value growth	+14.0%	Bullish	Equity grew +14.0% to ₹41,429 crore — banks need book growth to support loan growth. Bullish above 10% (banks: above 12%) · Bearish below 0% (non-banks only) · Neutral otherwise.

E. Cash flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
34	Operating cash flow FY26	₹-8,504 cr	Neutral	Operating cash flow was ₹-8,504 crore. For banks this swings with deposit and loan flows, so it says little about profitability. Bullish positive and higher than the year before · Bearish negative · Neutral when positive but lower. Information only for banks.
35	Investing cash flow FY26	₹1,752 cr	Neutral	Investing flows for banks mostly reflect securities and fixed-asset purchases. How to read: Information only — for banks these swing with deposit and loan flows.
36	Financing cash flow FY26	₹6,192 cr	Neutral	Financing flows reflect borrowings raised/repaid and dividends paid. How to read: Information only — for banks these swing with deposit and loan flows.
37	Net cash flow FY26	₹-560 cr	Neutral	Overall cash and balances changed by ₹-560 crore in FY26. How to read: Information only — for banks these swing with deposit and loan flows.
38	Investment book growth	-26.1%	Neutral	The investment portfolio (mostly government securities) moved -26.1% to ₹5,132 crore. How to read: Information only.
39	Loan growth minus deposit growth	n/a	Neutral	Not available. How to read: Caution when loans grew more than 4 points faster than deposits (funding pressure). Neutral otherwise.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
40	Dividend payout ratio FY26	10%	Neutral	The company paid out about 10% of FY26 profit as dividends. How to read: Information only. High payout suits mature businesses; growing firms often keep more.
41	Dividend consistency (3 years)	10% / 10% / 10%	Bullish	Payout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year. Bullish paid every year · Neutral when irregular. Never tagged Bearish.
42	Share capital change (FY25→FY26)	+0.0%	Neutral	Paid-up equity capital changed +0.0% (₹110 cr → ₹110 cr). Essentially unchanged — no dilution. Bullish fell 1% or more (a buyback) · Caution when it rose 1% or more (new shares issued). Neutral when unchanged, or for a bonus/split.

G. Ownership

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
43	Promoter holding	45.24% (+0.00 pts YoY)	Neutral	Promoters owned 45.24% at Mar 2026 versus 45.24% a year earlier. Bearish fell more than 1 percentage point in a year · Neutral otherwise. Never tagged Bullish.
44	Foreign institutional holding	21.39% (-0.16 pts YoY)	Neutral	FIIs held 21.39% at Mar 2026, down from 21.55% a year before. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
45	Domestic institutional holding	20.89% (-0.45 pts YoY)	Neutral	Mutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 20.89%, down from 21.34%. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
46	Number of shareholders	3.5 lakh (-4.5% YoY)	Neutral	The shareholder count moved from 3.6 lakh to 3.5 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest. How to read: Information only — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47	Promoter pledge	none reported	Neutral	Our source showed no pledged promoter shares. How to read: Information only. Any sizeable pledge is a risk to note.

H. Quality & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 7 tests)	6/7	Bullish	Passed: positive profit, profit grew, ROA ≥ 1%, gross NPA < 3%, ROE ≥ 12%, no meaningful dilution (<3%). Failed: net NPA < 1%. Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49	Automated screen flags	1 strength(s) · 3 weakness(es)	Neutral	Strengths: Stock is trading at 0.69 times its book value. Weaknesses: Company has low interest coverage ratio; The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.72% over past five years; Company might be capitalizing the interest cost. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.) How to read: Information only.
50	Fundamental summary	7 bullish · 4 bearish · 38 neutral · 0 caution	Neutral	On the numbers published by 15 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture was mixed. Valuation: P/E 5.4×, P/B 0.73×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 15 Apr 2026 – 15 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

25 Apr 2026 LIC Housing Finance appoints four senior management personnel — The board approved four senior appointments effective April 24, 2026, including new General Managers for marketing, HR/legal and project finance and a Joint General Manager for audit. source
11 May 2026 LIC Housing Finance COO Dr. Sanjay Dayal passes away — The company told the exchanges that its Chief Operating Officer, Dr. Sanjay Dayal, appointed in April 2026, died on May 9, 2026. source
13 May 2026 LIC Housing Finance Q4 FY26 profit rises about 9%; Rs 10 dividend recommended — Standalone Q4 net profit was Rs 1,497 crore, up about 9% YoY. NII rose 3% to Rs 2,222 crore and NIM was 2.80%. FY26 profit was Rs 5,595 crore, up 3%. The board recommended a Rs 10 per share final dividend. source
14 May 2026 Sandeep Kumar appointed Chief Operating Officer — LIC Housing Finance appointed Sandeep Kumar, previously Director & CEO of LIC HFL Financial Services, as COO effective May 13, 2026. source
07 Jul 2026 Record date fixed for FY26 final dividend; AGM on August 28 — The company fixed August 21, 2026 as the record date for the FY26 final dividend and scheduled its 37th AGM for August 28, 2026 by video conference. source

What happened next (15 Jul 2026 → 16 Oct 2026)

Price went from ₹550.15 to ₹521.00 by 16 Oct 2026 (-5.3%) while the Nifty 50 moved -3.9% — underperforming by 1.4 points.
Highest ₹579.40 on 04 Sep 2026; lowest ₹485.45 on 24 Aug 2026.
S1 530.57: broken on a closing basis on 31 Jul 2026.
S2 501.68: broken on a closing basis on 10 Aug 2026.
R1 562.07: cleared on a closing basis on 08 Sep 2026.
R2 596.33: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and crossed below on 22 Jul 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 30 Jul 2026): reported profit ₹1,488 crore (+9.4% YoY), NIM 2.58%, gross NPA 2.14%, net NPA n/a%.

Later news

30 Jul 2026 LIC Housing Finance Q1 FY27 profit rises 9.4% to Rs 1,488 crore — Standalone Q1 FY27 profit rose 9.4% YoY. NII was roughly flat at Rs 2,076 crore, NIM narrowed to 2.58% from 2.68%, Stage 3 improved to 2.14%, and disbursements rose 14.5%. source
27 Aug 2026 LIC Housing Finance's objections to Zee promoter repayment plan rejected by NCLT — NCLT approved Subhash Chandra's Rs 6.5 crore repayment plan despite objections led by LIC Housing Finance. Business Today reports the company's admitted claim was Rs 1,322 crore. source
28 Aug 2026 Shareholders approve Rs 55,000 crore NCD authority and FY26 dividend at AGM — At the 37th AGM, shareholders approved raising up to Rs 55,000 crore via NCDs or Tier II instruments, the Rs 10 per share final dividend, and the FY26 accounts. source
28 Aug 2026 Sandeep Kumar named MD & CEO — The board appointed Sandeep Kumar as Managing Director & CEO for up to five years, subject to shareholder approval, succeeding T. Adhikari on his retirement. source
14 Oct 2026 LIC Housing Finance leads losers in BSE 'A' group — The stock fell about 4.6% intraday to around Rs 536, the biggest decline in the BSE 'A' group that session; the report gave no reason. source

Educational summary. On 15 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture was mixed. Over the next three months the stock moved -5.3% against -3.9% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold LIC Housing Finance today.

Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 18 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

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