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Engineering & construction Historical case study · data as of 30 Jun 2026 · published 03 Oct 2026 (95 days later)

Larsen & Toubro — 100-point case study

How Larsen & Toubro looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 30 Jun 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

Codes	NSE: LT · BSE: 500510
Close on 30 Jun 2026	₹4,143.40
Market cap then	₹5,70,150 crore
Valuation	P/E 30.1× · P/B 5.22×
Momentum	RSI (14) 56 · 1-year return +12.9%
Next 3 months	-10.9% vs Nifty 50 -6.0% (to 01 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

22 bullish · 23 neutral · 0 caution · 4 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Fundamental — 50 points

11 bullish · 32 neutral · 0 caution · 6 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Price chart

Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance

Data note: Daily prices for L&T came from equitypandit.com (Yahoo history was unavailable) and were cross-checked with stockanalysis.com and investing.com for overlapping months. Screener's 'Net Profit' includes minority interest.

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 30 Jun 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

A. Trend

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	Short-term trend (20 days)	slope +0.44%/day	Bullish	Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.44% a day — a short-term uptrend.
2	Medium-term trend (~5 months)	3M return +17.8%	Neutral	The 100-session trend line was up (+0.01%/day) and the stock was +17.8% over three months, so the medium-term picture was neutral.
3	Long-term trend (1 year)	1Y return +12.9%	Bullish	Compared with a year earlier the price was +12.9%. A strong positive year.
4	Weekly chart trend	10W 4,047.23 / 30W 3,978.68	Bullish	On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack.
5	Swing structure (highs/lows)	last highs 4,139.50→4,128.00; lows 3,847.00→3,854.40	Neutral	The two most recent swing points showed a lower high but a higher low — mixed structure.
6	ADX (14) — trend strength	21.9	Bullish	ADX at 21.9 shows a trend of moderate strength. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
7	+DI vs –DI	+DI 28.8 / –DI 18.5	Bullish	+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure.

B. Moving averages

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
8	Price vs 20-day SMA	4,075.25 (+1.7%)	Bullish	Close of 4,143.40 was 1.7% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive.
9	Price vs 50-day SMA	4,031.04 (+2.8%)	Bullish	Close of 4,143.40 was 2.8% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive.
10	Price vs 200-day SMA	3,936.54 (+5.3%)	Bullish	Close of 4,143.40 was 5.3% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive.
11	9 / 21 EMA crossover	9E 4,159.53 / 21E 4,104.23	Bullish	The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 15 Jun 2026.
12	Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)	last golden cross 03 Jun 2026	Bullish	The 50-day average was 2.4% above the 200-day. The most recent signal was a golden cross on 03 Jun 2026.
13	50-day SMA slope	+4.0% in 20 sessions	Bullish	The 50-day average rose 4.0% over the past month — rising.
14	MA ribbon alignment	4,075 / 4,031 / 3,978 / 3,937	Bullish	The 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bullish (20 > 50 > 100 > 200).
15	Monthly anchored VWAP	4,084.27 (+1.4%)	Bullish	Anchored to the start of June, the volume-weighted average price was 4,084.27; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit.

C. Momentum

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
16	RSI (14)	56.2	Bullish	RSI at 56.2 showed positive momentum without being overbought.
17	RSI divergence (last 40 days)	none	Neutral	Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
18	MACD line vs signal	MACD 58.23 / signal 53.43	Bullish	MACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive.
19	MACD histogram (5-day change)	22.46 → 4.79	Bearish	The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
20	MACD vs zero line	58.23	Bullish	MACD above zero means the 12-day EMA was above the 26-day EMA — a positive momentum regime.
21	Stochastic (14,3,3)	%K 76.7 / %D 81.0	Bearish	Slow stochastic at 76.7 was mid-range with %K below %D.
22	Williams %R (14)	-30.8	Neutral	%R of -30.8 put the close in the middle of its 14-day range.
23	CCI (20)	41	Neutral	CCI at 41 was within the normal ±100 band.
24	Rate of change (10-day)	-0.6%	Neutral	Price changed -0.6% over ten sessions.

D. Volatility

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
25	Bollinger Band position (%B)	%B 0.63 (bands 3,809.60–4,340.90)	Neutral	%B of 0.63 — inside the bands, upper half.
26	Bollinger width / squeeze	width 13.0% (53rd pct of 6M)	Neutral	Band width was at the 53rd percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
27	ATR (14)	₹78.79 (1.9% of price)	Neutral	A typical day's range was about ₹78.79, or 1.9% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
28	Historical volatility (30-day)	21.4% vs 1Y 25.3%	Neutral	Annualised 30-day volatility was 21.4%, close to the one-year level of 25.3%.
29	Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)	3,954.90–4,261.39	Neutral	The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
30	Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)	1.40	Neutral	A beta of 1.40 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.

E. Volume & money flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
31	Volume vs 20-day average	last day 0.77× / 5-day 1.09×	Neutral	The final session traded 0.77× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.09× — normal participation.
32	Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)	ratio 1.18	Bullish	Average volume on up days was 1.18× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
33	On-Balance Volume (20d)	OBV rising	Bullish	OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move.
34	Accumulation/Distribution line	falling (20d)	Bearish	The A/D line fell, meaning closes tended to be in the lower part of daily ranges on meaningful volume.
35	Chaikin Money Flow (20)	-0.20	Bearish	CMF at -0.20 indicated net outflows.
36	Money Flow Index (14)	57.8	Bullish	MFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 57.8.
37	Liquidity (avg daily turnover)	₹818 cr/day	Neutral	About ₹818 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — highly liquid.

F. Price levels

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
38	Support levels (S1/S2/S3)	3,987.76 / 3,837.03 / 3,738.05	Neutral	Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 3,987.76, 3.9% below the close, then 3,837.03, 3,738.05.
39	Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)	4,440.00	Neutral	Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 4,440.00, 7.2% above the close.
40	Monthly pivot points (for next month)	P 4,090.03 \| R1 4,325.67 \| S1 3,907.77	Neutral	Classic pivots from June's high/low/close gave a pivot of 4,090.03; the close was above it.
41	Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)	23.6% 3,560 \| 38.2% 3,728 \| 50.0% 3,864 \| 61.8% 4,000	Neutral	Measuring the 6-month fall from 4,440.00 to 3,288.10, the close was nearest the 61.8% retracement at 3,999.97.
42	52-week high / low	H 4,440.00 / L 3,288.10	Neutral	The close was 6.7% below the 52-week high and 26.0% above the 52-week low.
43	Unfilled price gaps (6M)	3 open; latest gap-up 15 Jun at 4,059.80	Neutral	There were 3 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 15 Jun 2026, left an open level at 4,059.80 that price had not revisited.

G. Patterns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
44	Price structure / chart pattern	broad sideways range	Neutral	Rule-based pattern scan: broad sideways range. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
45	Breakout / breakdown (20-day)	range 3,854.40–4,272.30	Neutral	The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 3,854.40–4,272.30.
46	Latest candlestick	Ordinary red candle	Neutral	On 30 Jun the candle opened 4,183.00, ranged 4,134.10–4,193.80 and closed 4,143.40: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
47	Ichimoku Cloud	cloud 3,718.55–3,957.75; Tenkan 4,203.20 / Kijun 4,063.35	Bullish	Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup.

H. Relative strength & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Relative strength vs Nifty 50	1M +0.3% / 3M +13.7%	Bullish	The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 13.7 points over three months and outperformed by 0.3 points over one month.
49	Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)	6M +9.8%	Bullish	No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 9.8 points ahead of the Nifty 50.
50	Technical summary	22 bullish · 4 bearish · 23 neutral · 0 caution	Bullish	Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 3,987.76, resistance 4,440.00. This is a description of the chart on 30 Jun 2026, not a forecast.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 30 Jun 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 30 Jun 2026 close.

A. Valuation

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	P/E (trailing 12 months)	30.1×	Neutral	At ₹4,143.40 the market valued the company at about ₹5,70,150 crore, or 30.1× the ₹18,954 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth.
2	Price / Book	5.22×	Neutral	Market cap was 5.22× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹1,09,290 crore.
3	Price / Sales	1.99×	Neutral	The company was valued at 1.99× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹2,85,875 crore.
4	EV / EBITDA (approx.)	19.2×	Neutral	Enterprise value (market cap + ₹1,25,497 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 19.2× trailing operating profit of ₹36,146 crore.
5	Earnings yield	3.3%	Neutral	The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹3.3 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6	PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)	2.03	Bearish	P/E of 30.1 divided by 3-year profit growth of 14.8% a year gives a PEG of 2.03. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive.
7	Dividend yield (trailing 12M)	0.92%	Neutral	Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹38 a share, a 0.92% yield on the ₹4,143.40 price.
8	Market capitalisation	₹5,70,150 cr	Neutral	At about ₹5.70 lakh crore the company was a large-cap, among the largest listed companies in India.
9	Graham number vs price	₹1,568.92 vs ₹4,143.40	Neutral	Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹1,568.92; the price was 164% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.

B. Growth

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
10	Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)	+11.8%	Bullish	Revenue for FY26 was ₹2,85,874 crore, +11.8% versus FY25.
11	Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)	+11.3%	Bullish	The Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹82,762 crore of revenue, +11.3% on the same quarter a year earlier.
12	Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)	+7.2%	Neutral	FY26 net profit was ₹18,954 crore, +7.2% on FY25's ₹17,673 crore.
13	Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)	-0.4%	Bearish	Quarterly profit was ₹6,133 crore versus ₹6,156 crore a year earlier (-0.4%).
14	Revenue CAGR (3 years)	16.0%	Bullish	Revenue compounded at 16.0% a year from FY23 to FY26.
15	Profit CAGR (3 years)	14.8%	Bullish	Net profit compounded at 14.8% a year from FY23 to FY26.
16	Revenue CAGR (5 years)	16.0%	Bullish	Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 16.0% a year.
17	EPS growth FY26 (reported)	+6.9%	Neutral	Reported EPS went from ₹109.35 to ₹116.92 (+6.9%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues).

C. Profitability

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
18	Operating margin FY26	13%	Neutral	Operating profit (EBITDA) was 13% of sales in FY26 versus 14% in FY25.
19	Operating margin trend (4 quarters)	13% → 13% → 13% → 13%	Neutral	Quarterly margins moved from 13% to 13% over the last four quarters — broadly stable.
20	Net profit margin FY26	6.6%	Neutral	₹6.6 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26.
21	Return on equity FY26	18.3%	Bullish	FY26 profit was 18.3% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak.
22	ROCE FY26	15%	Neutral	Return on capital employed (debt + equity) was 15% in FY26.
23	Return on assets FY26	4.19%	Neutral	Net profit was 4.19% of total assets.
24	Effective tax rate FY26	26%	Neutral	The company paid about 26% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%.
25	Other income share of pre-tax profit	16%	Neutral	Non-operating 'other income' of ₹4,052 crore made up 16% of pre-tax profit.

D. Balance sheet

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
26	Debt / equity	1.15	Bearish	Borrowings of ₹1,25,497 crore were 1.15× equity — high leverage.
27	Debt / EBITDA	3.45×	Bearish	Debt equalled 3.45 years of FY26 operating profit.
28	Interest coverage	3.6×	Neutral	Earnings before interest and tax covered interest cost 3.6 times.
29	Book value growth	+11.9%	Bullish	Shareholders' equity grew +11.9% from ₹97,656 crore to ₹1,09,290 crore in FY26.
30	Capital work in progress	₹3,311 cr (11% of fixed assets)	Neutral	Projects under construction (CWIP) were 11% of fixed assets — a modest pipeline.
31	Working capital days	-27 days	Neutral	Working capital tied up equalled -27 days of sales (FY25: -33). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations.
32	Cash conversion cycle	-151 days	Neutral	It took -151 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit.
33	Debtor days	77 (FY25 77)	Neutral	Customers took 77 days on average to pay, versus 77 a year earlier.

E. Cash flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
34	Operating cash flow FY26	₹16,741 cr	Bullish	The business generated ₹16,741 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹9,151 crore in FY25.
35	Free cash flow FY26	₹12,272 cr	Bullish	After capital spending, free cash flow was ₹12,272 crore.
36	Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)	0.88×	Neutral	Operating cash flow was 0.88× reported profit — reasonable cash backing.
37	Free-cash-flow yield	2.2%	Neutral	FY26 free cash flow was 2.2% of the snapshot market cap.
38	Free cash flow — 3-year total	₹31,939 cr	Bullish	Free cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹31,939 crore.
39	Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)	₹4,469 cr	Neutral	Implied capital expenditure was about ₹4,469 crore, 1.6% of sales.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
40	Dividend payout ratio FY26	32%	Neutral	The company paid out about 32% of FY26 profit as dividends.
41	Dividend consistency (3 years)	36% / 31% / 32%	Bullish	Payout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year.
42	Share capital change (FY25→FY26)	+0.0%	Neutral	Paid-up equity capital changed +0.0% (₹275 cr → ₹275 cr). Essentially unchanged — no dilution.

G. Ownership

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
43	Promoter holding	No promoter (widely held)	Neutral	The company has no identified promoter group — ownership is spread among institutions and the public.
44	Foreign institutional holding	18.78% (-1.02 pts YoY)	Bearish	FIIs held 18.78% at Mar 2026, down from 19.80% a year before.
45	Domestic institutional holding	43.32% (+0.61 pts YoY)	Neutral	Mutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 43.32%, up from 42.71%.
46	Number of shareholders	18.0 lakh (+5.6% YoY)	Neutral	The shareholder count moved from 17.1 lakh to 18.0 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47	Promoter pledge	none reported	Neutral	Not applicable — no promoter group.

H. Quality & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)	4/8	Bearish	Passed: positive profit, positive operating cash flow, leverage fell, no meaningful dilution (<3%). Failed: CFO > net profit, operating margin improved, ROA improved, asset turnover improved.
49	Automated screen flags	1 strength(s) · 1 weakness(es)	Neutral	Strengths: Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 33.1%. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 4.65 times its book value. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
50	Fundamental summary	11 bullish · 6 bearish · 32 neutral · 0 caution	Bullish	On the numbers published by 30 Jun 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 30.1×, P/B 5.22×. This describes the data, not a recommendation.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 1 Apr – 30 Jun 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

29 Apr 2026 L&T completes sale of Hyderabad Metro subsidiary to Telangana government entity — L&T divested its entire stake in L&T Metro Rail (Hyderabad) Ltd to Hyderabad Metro Rail Ltd (Govt of Telangana) for Rs 1,461.47 crore. source
05 May 2026 L&T Q4 FY26 results: PAT slips 3% to Rs 5,326 crore; revenue up 11% to Rs 82,762 crore; Rs 38 final dividend — Q4 order inflow was Rs 89,772 crore and the consolidated order book reached a record Rs 7,40,327 crore (+28% YoY) at 31 Mar 2026; FY26 order inflow was Rs 4,35,590 crore. A final dividend of Rs 38/share was recommended with record date 22 May 2026. source
06 May 2026 L&T wins largest-ever domestic metals order from JSW Steel ('mega' order) — L&T's Minerals & Metals vertical secured a 'mega' order from JSW Steel, its largest-ever order in the domestic metals sector. Shares fell over 3% intraday that day after brokerages flagged weak Q4 margins. source
13 May 2026 L&T secures power transmission & distribution orders in the Middle East — Orders valued Rs 1,000-2,500 crore ('significant') to build one 380 kV and two 132 kV substations on a turnkey basis for Middle East clients. source
25 Jun 2026 L&T completes Nabha Power divestment to Torrent Power for Rs 3,632.35 crore — L&T transferred 100% of equity and convertible instruments in Nabha Power Ltd (1,400 MW thermal plant in Punjab) to Torrent Power for Rs 3,632.35 crore; Nabha Power ceased to be a subsidiary. source

What happened next (30 Jun 2026 → 01 Oct 2026)

Price went from ₹4,143.40 to ₹3,693.40 by 01 Oct 2026 (-10.9%) while the Nifty 50 moved -6.0% — underperforming by 4.8 points.
Highest ₹4,142.80 on 01 Jul 2026; lowest ₹3,655.90 on 01 Oct 2026.
S1 3,987.76: broken on a closing basis on 08 Jul 2026.
S2 3,837.03: broken on a closing basis on 15 Jul 2026.
R1 4,440.00: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and crossed below on 08 Jul 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 28 Jul 2026): revenue ₹67,942 crore (+6.7% YoY), net profit ₹4,988 crore (+15.5% YoY), operating margin 12% vs 13% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Shareholding Mar → Jun 2026: FIIs 18.78% → 19.13%, DIIs 43.32% → 43.01%.

Later news

20 Jul 2026 L&T Metals & Minerals vertical bags mega orders worth Rs 10,000-15,000 crore — Multiple domestic orders including an 18 MTPA iron ore handling plant, steel plant expansion packages in West Bengal and a zinc processing EPC contract. source
28 Jul 2026 L&T Q1 FY27 results: PAT up 14% to Rs 4,123 crore; revenue up 7% to Rs 67,942 crore — Q1 order inflow rose 14% YoY to Rs 1,08,014 crore (56% international) and the order book hit a record Rs 7,78,954 crore at 30 Jun 2026 (+27% YoY). Results were released after market hours on 28 July; the stock rose 2.6% on 29 July. source
30 Jul 2026 L&T Energy CarbonLite secures LNTP for 'mega' 1,600 MW thermal power plant order — L&T received a limited notice to proceed for a 1,600 MW (2x800 MW) thermal power project; trade press identifies the client as NTPC (Chhattisgarh). source
13 Aug 2026 L&T wins Rs 10,000-15,000 crore order to build 10,000-GPU NVIDIA B300 AI factory in Chennai — Via its LTN Compute arm in partnership with Together AI, L&T will build an AI facility with 10,000 NVIDIA B300 GPUs at Vyoma.AI's Chennai data centre campus. source
17 Aug 2026 L&T bags ultra-mega (>Rs 15,000 crore) offshore order from Middle East client — LTEH Offshore won an order valued above Rs 15,000 crore for EPCIC of multiple offshore facilities for a Middle East client. source
24 Aug 2026 L&T secures second ultra-mega (>Rs 15,000 crore) Middle East order for gas compression facilities — L&T Energy Hydrocarbon Onshore won an order above Rs 15,000 crore for EPC of gas compression plants, with two 230 kV substations by its PT&D business. source
09 Sep 2026 L&T offshore arm wins Rs 2,500-5,000 crore order from ONGC — LTEH Offshore won a 'large' order from ONGC for three wellhead platforms, a riser platform, subsea pipelines and modifications on the Ratna-I and NLM-14 fields. source

Educational summary. On 30 Jun 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -10.9% against -6.0% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Larsen & Toubro today.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages / equitypandit.com; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 03 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

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