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Broking & asset management Historical case study · data as of 16 Jul 2026 · published 19 Oct 2026 (95 days later)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services — 100-point case study

How Motilal Oswal Financial Services looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 16 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

Codes	NSE: MOTILALOFS · BSE: 532892
Close on 16 Jul 2026	₹954.90
Market cap then	₹57,557 crore
Valuation	P/E 30.7× · P/B 4.47×
Momentum	RSI (14) 55 · 1-year return +1.9%
Next 3 months	+10.8% vs Nifty 50 -3.8% (to 16 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

21 bullish · 22 neutral · 1 caution · 5 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Fundamental — 50 points

5 bullish · 29 neutral · 5 caution · 10 bearish — the picture leaned negative.

Price chart

Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance

Data note: Reported profit swings with treasury (mark-to-market) gains and losses on the company's own investments — the March 2025 and March 2026 quarters showed losses for this reason — so quarterly profit comparisons are volatile.

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 16 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Trend

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	Short-term trend (20 days)	slope +0.11%/day	Bullish	Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.11% a day — a short-term uptrend. Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2	Medium-term trend (~5 months)	3M return +20.7%	Bullish	The 100-session trend line was up (+0.37%/day) and the stock was +20.7% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish. Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3	Long-term trend (1 year)	1Y return +1.9%	Neutral	Compared with a year earlier the price was +1.9%. Little net progress over twelve months. Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4	Weekly chart trend	10W 911.83 / 30W 817.90	Bullish	On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack. Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5	Swing structure (highs/lows)	last highs 902.50→909.00; lows 928.10→903.65	Neutral	The two most recent swing points showed a higher high but a lower low — mixed structure. Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6	ADX (14) — trend strength	26.6	Bullish	ADX at 26.6 shows a trend of moderate strength. ADX measures strength only, not direction. Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7	+DI vs –DI	+DI 22.4 / –DI 16.8	Bullish	+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure. Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.

B. Moving averages

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
8	Price vs 20-day SMA	952.78 (+0.2%)	Bullish	Close of 954.90 was 0.2% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9	Price vs 50-day SMA	901.08 (+6.0%)	Bullish	Close of 954.90 was 6.0% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10	Price vs 200-day SMA	859.10 (+11.2%)	Bullish	Close of 954.90 was 11.2% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11	9 / 21 EMA crossover	9E 959.17 / 21E 944.00	Bullish	The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 08 Apr 2026. Bullish 9-day above 21-day · Bearish 9-day below 21-day · No neutral zone.
12	Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)	last golden cross 25 Jun 2026	Bullish	The 50-day average was 4.9% above the 200-day. The most recent signal was a golden cross on 25 Jun 2026. Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13	50-day SMA slope	+8.0% in 20 sessions	Bullish	The 50-day average rose 8.0% over the past month — rising. Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14	MA ribbon alignment	953 / 901 / 819 / 859	Neutral	The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range. Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15	Monthly anchored VWAP	957.83 (-0.3%)	Bearish	Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 957.83; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water. Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.

C. Momentum

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
16	RSI (14)	55.4	Bullish	RSI at 55.4 showed positive momentum without being overbought. Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17	RSI divergence (last 40 days)	none	Neutral	Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price. Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18	MACD line vs signal	MACD 19.64 / signal 22.15	Bearish	MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative. Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19	MACD histogram (5-day change)	-2.69 → -2.50	Bullish	The histogram rose over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was improving. Bullish histogram rising (momentum improving) · Bearish histogram falling (momentum weakening) · No neutral zone.
20	MACD vs zero line	19.64	Bullish	MACD above zero means the 12-day EMA was above the 26-day EMA — a positive momentum regime. Bullish MACD above zero · Bearish MACD below zero · No neutral zone.
21	Stochastic (14,3,3)	%K 69.1 / %D 78.7	Bearish	Slow stochastic at 69.1 was mid-range with %K below %D. Bullish between 20 and 80 with %K above %D · Bearish between 20 and 80 with %K below %D · Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
22	Williams %R (14)	-40.5	Neutral	%R of -40.5 put the close in the middle of its 14-day range. How to read: Caution above –20 (near the top) or below –80 (near the bottom). Neutral in the middle. This point is never tagged Bullish or Bearish.
23	CCI (20)	39	Neutral	CCI at 39 was within the normal ±100 band. Bullish above +100 (unusually strong upward move) · Bearish below –100 (unusually strong downward move) · Neutral within ±100.
24	Rate of change (10-day)	-0.2%	Neutral	Price changed -0.2% over ten sessions. Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.

D. Volatility

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
25	Bollinger Band position (%B)	%B 0.53 (bands 920.42–985.14)	Neutral	%B of 0.53 — inside the bands, upper half. How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26	Bollinger width / squeeze	width 6.8% (2nd pct of 6M)	Caution	Band width was at the 2nd percentile of the last six months. A squeeze like this often precedes a larger move (direction unknown). How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27	ATR (14)	₹27.48 (2.9% of price)	Neutral	A typical day's range was about ₹27.48, or 2.9% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect. How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28	Historical volatility (30-day)	40.0% vs 1Y 38.5%	Neutral	Annualised 30-day volatility was 40.0%, close to the one-year level of 38.5%. How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29	Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)	890.70–1,000.23	Neutral	The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout. Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30	Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)	1.85	Neutral	A beta of 1.85 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day. How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.

E. Volume & money flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
31	Volume vs 20-day average	last day 0.60× / 5-day 1.00×	Neutral	The final session traded 0.60× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.00× — normal participation. How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32	Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)	ratio 1.52	Bullish	Average volume on up days was 1.52× that on down days — accumulation-leaning. Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33	On-Balance Volume (20d)	OBV rising	Bullish	OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move. Bullish OBV rising · Bearish OBV falling · No neutral zone.
34	Accumulation/Distribution line	falling (20d)	Bearish	The A/D line fell, meaning closes tended to be in the lower part of daily ranges on meaningful volume. Bullish A/D line rising · Bearish A/D line falling · No neutral zone.
35	Chaikin Money Flow (20)	-0.06	Bearish	CMF at -0.06 indicated net outflows. Bullish above +0.05 (net inflows) · Bearish below –0.05 (net outflows) · Neutral between –0.05 and +0.05.
36	Money Flow Index (14)	63.8	Bullish	MFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 63.8. Bullish MFI 55–80 · Bearish MFI 20–45 · Neutral 45–55. Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
37	Liquidity (avg daily turnover)	₹73 cr/day	Neutral	About ₹73 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid. How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.

F. Price levels

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
38	Support levels (S1/S2/S3)	916.68 / 875.88 / 852.00	Neutral	Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 916.68, 4.2% below the close, then 875.88, 852.00. How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39	Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)	963.91 / 1,023.00 / 1,097.10	Neutral	Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 963.91, 0.9% above the close, then 1,023.00, 1,097.10. How to read: Information only.
40	Monthly pivot points (for next month)	P 949.43 \| R1 995.22 \| S1 909.12	Neutral	Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 949.43; the close was above it. How to read: Information only.
41	Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)	23.6% 901 \| 38.2% 847 \| 50.0% 802 \| 61.8% 758	Neutral	Measuring the 6-month rise from 614.90 to 989.75, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 901.29. How to read: Information only.
42	52-week high / low	H 1,097.10 / L 614.90	Neutral	The close was 13.0% below the 52-week high and 55.3% above the 52-week low. Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43	Unfilled price gaps (6M)	4 open; latest gap-up 10 Jul at 948.70	Neutral	There were 4 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 10 Jul 2026, left an open level at 948.70 that price had not revisited. How to read: Information only.

G. Patterns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
44	Price structure / chart pattern	rising channel	Bullish	Rule-based pattern scan: rising channel — successive higher highs and lows. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.) Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45	Breakout / breakdown (20-day)	range 903.65–989.75	Neutral	The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 903.65–989.75. Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46	Latest candlestick	Ordinary red candle	Neutral	On 16 Jul the candle opened 970.15, ranged 951.50–974.05 and closed 954.90: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own. Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47	Ichimoku Cloud	cloud 761.95–859.80; Tenkan 946.70 / Kijun 909.38	Bullish	Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup. Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.

H. Relative strength & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Relative strength vs Nifty 50	1M +0.8% / 3M +21.4%	Bullish	The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 21.4 points over three months and outperformed by 0.8 points over one month. Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49	Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)	6M +20.5%	Bullish	No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 20.5 points ahead of the Nifty 50. Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50	Technical summary	21 bullish · 5 bearish · 22 neutral · 1 caution	Bullish	Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 916.68, resistance 963.91. This is a description of the chart on 16 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 16 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 16 Jul 2026 close.

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Valuation

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	P/E (trailing 12 months)	30.7×	Neutral	At ₹954.90 the market valued the company at about ₹57,557 crore, or 30.7× the ₹1,873 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth. How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2	Price / Book	4.47×	Neutral	Market cap was 4.47× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹12,888 crore. How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3	Price / Sales	6.14×	Neutral	The company was valued at 6.14× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹9,374 crore. How to read: Information only.
4	EV / EBITDA (approx.)	20.4×	Neutral	Enterprise value (market cap + ₹21,255 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 20.4× trailing operating profit of ₹3,870 crore. How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5	Earnings yield	3.3%	Neutral	The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹3.3 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds. How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6	PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)	1.18	Neutral	P/E of 30.7 divided by 3-year profit growth of 26.0% a year gives a PEG of 1.18. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7	Dividend yield (trailing 12M)	0.63%	Neutral	Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹6 a share, a 0.63% yield on the ₹954.90 price. Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8	Market capitalisation	₹57,557 cr	Neutral	At about ₹0.58 lakh crore the company was a mid-cap. How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9	Graham number vs price	₹386.65 vs ₹954.90	Neutral	Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹386.65; the price was 147% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number. Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).

B. Growth

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
10	Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)	+12.5%	Bullish	Revenue for FY26 was ₹9,381 crore, +12.5% versus FY25. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% (revenue fell) · Neutral 0–10%.
11	Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)	+124.9%	Bullish	The Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹2,676 crore of revenue, +124.9% on the same quarter a year earlier. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
12	Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)	-25.4%	Bearish	FY26 net profit was ₹1,872 crore, -25.4% on FY25's ₹2,508 crore. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13	Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)	n/a	Neutral	Quarterly profit was ₹-219 crore versus ₹-63 crore a year earlier (n/a). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
14	Revenue CAGR (3 years)	30.9%	Caution	Revenue compounded at 30.9% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15	Profit CAGR (3 years)	26.0%	Caution	Net profit compounded at 26.0% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16	Revenue CAGR (5 years)	20.9%	Caution	Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 20.9% a year. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17	EPS growth FY26 (reported)	-25.6%	Bearish	Reported EPS went from ₹41.74 to ₹31.06 (-25.6%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.

C. Profitability

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
18	Operating margin FY26	41%	Neutral	Operating profit (EBITDA) was 41% of sales in FY26 versus 55% in FY25. How to read: Information only — normal margins differ a lot by industry.
19	Operating margin trend (4 quarters)	63% → 45% → 52% → 8%	Bearish	Quarterly margins moved from 63% to 8% over the last four quarters — contracting. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral when broadly stable.
20	Net profit margin FY26	20.0%	Neutral	₹20.0 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26. How to read: Information only.
21	Return on equity FY26	15.6%	Neutral	FY26 profit was 15.6% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak. Bullish above 18% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–18%. Around 15% or more is generally considered good.
22	ROCE FY26	13%	Neutral	Return on capital employed (debt + equity) was 13% in FY26. Bullish above 20% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–20%.
23	Return on assets FY26	4.31%	Neutral	Net profit was 4.31% of total assets. Bullish banks only: 1.5% or more · Bearish banks only: below 1% · Information only for non-banks.
24	Effective tax rate FY26	24%	Neutral	The company paid about 24% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%. How to read: Information only. India’s base corporate rate is about 25%.
25	Other income share of pre-tax profit	2%	Neutral	Non-operating 'other income' of ₹42 crore made up 2% of pre-tax profit. How to read: Caution above 25% (headline profit leans on non-core income). Neutral otherwise.

D. Balance sheet

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
26	Debt / equity	1.65	Bearish	Borrowings of ₹21,255 crore were 1.65× equity — high leverage. Bullish below 0.3 (very low leverage) · Bearish above 1 (high leverage) · Neutral 0.3–1.
27	Debt / EBITDA	5.48×	Bearish	Debt equalled 5.48 years of FY26 operating profit. Bullish below 1× · Bearish above 3× · Neutral 1–3×.
28	Interest coverage	2.9×	Bearish	Earnings before interest and tax covered interest cost 2.9 times. Bullish above 8× · Bearish below 3× · Neutral 3–8×, or not meaningful when interest is negligible.
29	Book value growth	+16.3%	Bullish	Shareholders' equity grew +16.3% from ₹11,079 crore to ₹12,888 crore in FY26. Bullish above 10% (banks: above 12%) · Bearish below 0% (non-banks only) · Neutral otherwise.
30	Capital work in progress	₹115 cr (15% of fixed assets)	Neutral	Projects under construction (CWIP) were 15% of fixed assets — a modest pipeline. How to read: Information only. Above 20% means a big expansion pipeline that is not yet earning.
31	Working capital days	-147 days	Neutral	Working capital tied up equalled -147 days of sales (FY25: -191). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations. How to read: Information only. Lower is generally more efficient; negative means suppliers or customers fund the business.
32	Cash conversion cycle	158 days	Neutral	It took 158 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit. How to read: Information only. Shorter is generally better.
33	Debtor days	158 (FY25 105)	Caution	Customers took 158 days on average to pay, versus 105 a year earlier — a notable stretch in collections. How to read: Caution when debtor days rose more than 20% in a year (collections stretching). Neutral otherwise.

E. Cash flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
34	Operating cash flow FY26	₹-6,071 cr	Bearish	The business generated ₹-6,071 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹1,215 crore in FY25. Bullish positive and higher than the year before · Bearish negative · Neutral when positive but lower. Information only for banks.
35	Free cash flow FY26	₹-6,160 cr	Bearish	After capital spending, free cash flow was ₹-6,160 crore. Bullish positive · Bearish negative · Neutral when not available.
36	Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)	-3.24×	Caution	Operating cash flow was -3.24× reported profit — cash lagged profits; worth watching. Bullish above 1× (profits well backed by cash) · Caution below 0.7×. Neutral 0.7–1×.
37	Free-cash-flow yield	-10.7%	Neutral	FY26 free cash flow was -10.7% of the snapshot market cap. Bullish above 4% · Neutral at 4% or less.
38	Free cash flow — 3-year total	₹-5,725 cr	Bearish	Free cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹-5,725 crore. Bullish positive total · Bearish negative total · Neutral when not available.
39	Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)	₹89 cr	Neutral	Implied capital expenditure was about ₹89 crore, 0.9% of sales. How to read: Information only.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
40	Dividend payout ratio FY26	19%	Neutral	The company paid out about 19% of FY26 profit as dividends. How to read: Information only. High payout suits mature businesses; growing firms often keep more.
41	Dividend consistency (3 years)	9% / 12% / 19%	Bullish	Payout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year. Bullish paid every year · Neutral when irregular. Never tagged Bearish.
42	Share capital change (FY25→FY26)	+0.0%	Neutral	Paid-up equity capital changed +0.0% (₹60 cr → ₹60 cr). Essentially unchanged — no dilution. Bullish fell 1% or more (a buyback) · Caution when it rose 1% or more (new shares issued). Neutral when unchanged, or for a bonus/split.

G. Ownership

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
43	Promoter holding	67.54% (-0.91 pts YoY)	Neutral	Promoters owned 67.54% at Mar 2026 versus 68.45% a year earlier. Bearish fell more than 1 percentage point in a year · Neutral otherwise. Never tagged Bullish.
44	Foreign institutional holding	7.03% (+1.02 pts YoY)	Bullish	FIIs held 7.03% at Mar 2026, up from 6.01% a year before. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
45	Domestic institutional holding	6.02% (+0.31 pts YoY)	Neutral	Mutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 6.02%, up from 5.71%. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
46	Number of shareholders	2.4 lakh (-15.8% YoY)	Neutral	The shareholder count moved from 2.9 lakh to 2.4 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest. How to read: Information only — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47	Promoter pledge	none reported	Neutral	Our source showed no pledged promoter shares. How to read: Information only. Any sizeable pledge is a risk to note.

H. Quality & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)	2/8	Bearish	Passed: positive profit, no meaningful dilution (<3%). Failed: positive operating cash flow, CFO > net profit, leverage fell, operating margin improved, ROA improved, asset turnover improved. Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49	Automated screen flags	2 strength(s) · 1 weakness(es)	Neutral	Strengths: Company is expected to give good quarter; Company's median sales growth is 18.2% of last 10 years. Weaknesses: Company has high debtors of 158 days. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.) How to read: Information only.
50	Fundamental summary	5 bullish · 10 bearish · 29 neutral · 5 caution	Bearish	On the numbers published by 16 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned negative. Valuation: P/E 30.7×, P/B 4.47×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 16 Apr 2026 – 16 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

22 Apr 2026 Motilal Oswal intimates board meeting on April 29 to approve Q4 FY26 and FY26 results — Prior intimation filed with NSE on 22 Apr 2026 for a board meeting on 29 Apr 2026 to consider audited standalone and consolidated results for the quarter and year ended March 2026. source
29 Apr 2026 Motilal Oswal reports Q4 FY26 consolidated net loss on mark-to-market treasury losses — Q4 FY26 consolidated net loss of about Rs 221 crore as MTM losses on proprietary investments offset higher income; no final dividend declared. source
29 Apr 2026 Record Q4 operating PAT of Rs 661 crore; board appoints two independent directors — Operating PAT (ex-treasury) rose 25% YoY to Rs 661 crore in Q4 and 16% to Rs 2,360 crore for FY26; board approved Sunil Goyal and Smita Bhagat as independent directors effective 1 Jul 2026. source
12 Jun 2026 Shares surge after UBS initiates coverage with Buy rating — Stock rose ~5% intraday (closed 888.45, +6.8%) after UBS began coverage with a Buy rating and a target of about Rs 1,147. source
16 Jul 2026 Board meeting fixed for July 23 to approve Q1 FY27 results — Company announced on 16 Jul 2026 that its board will meet on 23 Jul 2026 to consider unaudited results for the quarter ended 30 Jun 2026. source

What happened next (16 Jul 2026 → 16 Oct 2026)

Price went from ₹954.90 to ₹1,057.60 by 16 Oct 2026 (+10.8%) while the Nifty 50 moved -3.8% — outperforming by 14.6 points.
Highest ₹1,090.25 on 07 Oct 2026; lowest ₹835.10 on 30 Jul 2026.
S1 916.68: broken on a closing basis on 24 Jul 2026.
S2 875.88: broken on a closing basis on 24 Jul 2026.
R1 963.91: cleared on a closing basis on 17 Jul 2026.
R2 1,023.00: cleared on a closing basis on 26 Aug 2026.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and crossed below on 28 Jul 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 23 Jul 2026): revenue ₹3,426 crore (+25.2% YoY), net profit ₹1,274 crore (+9.5% YoY), operating margin 57% vs 63% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).

Later news

23 Jul 2026 Q1 FY27: consolidated net profit Rs 1,273 crore, revenue up ~25% — Consolidated net profit rose about 10% YoY to Rs 1,273 crore on revenue from operations of Rs 3,426 crore; AUM reached Rs 2.12 lakh crore. source
24 Jul 2026 Shares tumble up to 11% as treasury gains flatter Q1 profit — Stock fell as much as 11% (intraday low 839.90) in a fourth straight losing session; analysts noted ~Rs 1,105 crore fair-value gains drove profit while core performance was weak. source
10 Aug 2026 Motilal Oswal AMC crosses Rs 2 lakh crore AUM across MF, PMS and AIF — The asset management arm reported combined AUM of Rs 2 lakh crore as of 7 Aug 2026, up from about Rs 1.5 lakh crore in July 2025. source
07 Sep 2026 Finance committee approves up to Rs 200 crore NCD issue — Approved private placement of up to 20,000 secured, rated, listed NCDs (Rs 40 crore base plus Rs 160 crore greenshoe), five-year tenure. source

Educational summary. On 16 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned negative. Over the next three months the stock moved +10.8% against -3.8% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message lined up with what followed. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Motilal Oswal Financial Services today.

Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 19 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

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