Tyres Historical case study · data as of 16 Jul 2026 · published 19 Oct 2026 (95 days later)

MRF — 100-point case study

How MRF looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 16 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

Codes	NSE: MRF · BSE: 500290
Close on 16 Jul 2026	₹131,430.00
Market cap then	₹55,741 crore
Valuation	P/E 23.0× · P/B 2.66×
Momentum	RSI (14) 51 · 1-year return -13.8%
Next 3 months	-6.6% vs Nifty 50 -3.8% (to 16 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

10 bullish · 26 neutral · 0 caution · 13 bearish — the picture was mixed.

Fundamental — 50 points

20 bullish · 29 neutral · 0 caution · 0 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Price chart

Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 16 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Trend

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	Short-term trend (20 days)	slope +0.17%/day	Bullish	Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.17% a day — a short-term uptrend. Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2	Medium-term trend (~5 months)	3M return -4.7%	Bearish	The 100-session trend line was down (-0.09%/day) and the stock was -4.7% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bearish. Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3	Long-term trend (1 year)	1Y return -13.8%	Bearish	Compared with a year earlier the price was -13.8%. A weak year for the stock. Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4	Weekly chart trend	10W 128,657.00 / 30W 135,233.67	Neutral	On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close tangled between the 10-week and 30-week averages. Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5	Swing structure (highs/lows)	last highs 132,885.00→138,990.00; lows 122,050.00→123,605.00	Bullish	The two most recent swing points showed higher swing highs and higher swing lows — classic uptrend structure. Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6	ADX (14) — trend strength	17.5	Neutral	ADX at 17.5 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction. Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7	+DI vs –DI	+DI 28.0 / –DI 24.2	Bullish	+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure. Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.

B. Moving averages

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
8	Price vs 20-day SMA	131,513.50 (-0.1%)	Bearish	Close of 131,430.00 was 0.1% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9	Price vs 50-day SMA	128,501.60 (+2.3%)	Bullish	Close of 131,430.00 was 2.3% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10	Price vs 200-day SMA	141,580.60 (-7.2%)	Bearish	Close of 131,430.00 was 7.2% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11	9 / 21 EMA crossover	9E 132,168.48 / 21E 131,212.24	Bullish	The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 17 Jun 2026. Bullish 9-day above 21-day · Bearish 9-day below 21-day · No neutral zone.
12	Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)	no cross in data window	Bearish	The 50-day average was 9.2% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window. Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13	50-day SMA slope	-0.6% in 20 sessions	Bearish	The 50-day average fell 0.6% over the past month — declining. Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14	MA ribbon alignment	131,514 / 128,502 / 131,935 / 141,581	Neutral	The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range. Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15	Monthly anchored VWAP	133,514.61 (-1.6%)	Bearish	Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 133,514.61; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water. Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.

C. Momentum

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
16	RSI (14)	51.5	Neutral	RSI at 51.5 was in the neutral 45–55 zone. Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17	RSI divergence (last 40 days)	none	Neutral	Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price. Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18	MACD line vs signal	MACD 1,170.20 / signal 1,388.68	Bearish	MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative. Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19	MACD histogram (5-day change)	553.54 → -218.48	Bearish	The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening. Bullish histogram rising (momentum improving) · Bearish histogram falling (momentum weakening) · No neutral zone.
20	MACD vs zero line	1,170.20	Bullish	MACD above zero means the 12-day EMA was above the 26-day EMA — a positive momentum regime. Bullish MACD above zero · Bearish MACD below zero · No neutral zone.
21	Stochastic (14,3,3)	%K 50.5 / %D 52.3	Bearish	Slow stochastic at 50.5 was mid-range with %K below %D. Bullish between 20 and 80 with %K above %D · Bearish between 20 and 80 with %K below %D · Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
22	Williams %R (14)	-49.1	Neutral	%R of -49.1 put the close in the middle of its 14-day range. How to read: Caution above –20 (near the top) or below –80 (near the bottom). Neutral in the middle. This point is never tagged Bullish or Bearish.
23	CCI (20)	8	Neutral	CCI at 8 was within the normal ±100 band. Bullish above +100 (unusually strong upward move) · Bearish below –100 (unusually strong downward move) · Neutral within ±100.
24	Rate of change (10-day)	-0.5%	Neutral	Price changed -0.5% over ten sessions. Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.

D. Volatility

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
25	Bollinger Band position (%B)	%B 0.49 (bands 125,284.51–137,742.49)	Neutral	%B of 0.49 — inside the bands, lower half. How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26	Bollinger width / squeeze	width 9.5% (25th pct of 6M)	Neutral	Band width was at the 25th percentile of the last six months, a normal level. How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27	ATR (14)	₹2,789.76 (2.1% of price)	Neutral	A typical day's range was about ₹2,789.76, or 2.1% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect. How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28	Historical volatility (30-day)	27.2% vs 1Y 25.1%	Neutral	Annualised 30-day volatility was 27.2%, close to the one-year level of 25.1%. How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29	Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)	125,748.92–136,846.73	Neutral	The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout. Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30	Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)	0.90	Neutral	A beta of 0.90 means the stock tended to move less than the Nifty 50 day to day. How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.

E. Volume & money flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
31	Volume vs 20-day average	last day 0.44× / 5-day 0.64×	Neutral	The final session traded 0.44× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.64× — lighter than usual participation. How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32	Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)	ratio 1.22	Bullish	Average volume on up days was 1.22× that on down days — accumulation-leaning. Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33	On-Balance Volume (20d)	OBV rising	Bullish	OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move. Bullish OBV rising · Bearish OBV falling · No neutral zone.
34	Accumulation/Distribution line	falling (20d)	Bearish	The A/D line fell, meaning closes tended to be in the lower part of daily ranges on meaningful volume. Bullish A/D line rising · Bearish A/D line falling · No neutral zone.
35	Chaikin Money Flow (20)	-0.02	Neutral	CMF at -0.02 indicated roughly balanced money flow. Bullish above +0.05 (net inflows) · Bearish below –0.05 (net outflows) · Neutral between –0.05 and +0.05.
36	Money Flow Index (14)	63.5	Bullish	MFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 63.5. Bullish MFI 55–80 · Bearish MFI 20–45 · Neutral 45–55. Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
37	Liquidity (avg daily turnover)	₹109 cr/day	Neutral	About ₹109 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid. How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.

F. Price levels

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
38	Support levels (S1/S2/S3)	129,067.50 / 123,908.12 / 122,000.00	Neutral	Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 129,067.50, 1.8% below the close, then 123,908.12, 122,000.00. How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39	Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)	132,907.50 / 140,761.67 / 154,832.37	Neutral	Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 132,907.50, 1.1% above the close, then 140,761.67, 154,832.37. How to read: Information only.
40	Monthly pivot points (for next month)	P 132,633.33 \| R1 137,786.67 \| S1 126,276.67	Neutral	Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 132,633.33; the close was below it. How to read: Information only.
41	Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)	23.6% 129,186 \| 38.2% 133,632 \| 50.0% 137,225 \| 61.8% 140,818	Neutral	Measuring the 6-month fall from 152,450.00 to 122,000.00, the close was nearest the 38.2% retracement at 133,631.90. How to read: Information only.
42	52-week high / low	H 163,600.00 / L 122,000.00	Neutral	The close was 19.7% below the 52-week high and 7.7% above the 52-week low. Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43	Unfilled price gaps (6M)	2 open; latest gap-down 13 Jul at 134,000.00	Neutral	There were 2 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-down on 13 Jul 2026, left an open level at 134,000.00 that price had not revisited. How to read: Information only.

G. Patterns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
44	Price structure / chart pattern	counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend	Neutral	Rule-based pattern scan: counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.) Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45	Breakout / breakdown (20-day)	range 123,605.00–138,990.00	Neutral	The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 123,605.00–138,990.00. Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46	Latest candlestick	Ordinary red candle	Neutral	On 16 Jul the candle opened 132,330.00, ranged 131,065.00–133,180.00 and closed 131,430.00: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own. Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47	Ichimoku Cloud	cloud 126,427.50–131,397.50; Tenkan 134,552.50 / Kijun 130,520.00	Bullish	Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup. Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.

H. Relative strength & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Relative strength vs Nifty 50	1M +2.0% / 3M -4.0%	Bearish	The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 4.0 points over three months and outperformed by 2.0 points over one month. Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49	Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)	6M -4.5%	Bearish	No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 4.5 points behind the Nifty 50. Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50	Technical summary	10 bullish · 13 bearish · 26 neutral · 0 caution	Neutral	Across the 49 readings the technical picture was mixed. Levels that mattered: support 129,067.50, resistance 132,907.50. This is a description of the chart on 16 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 16 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 16 Jul 2026 close.

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Valuation

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	P/E (trailing 12 months)	23.0×	Neutral	At ₹131,430.00 the market valued the company at about ₹55,741 crore, or 23.0× the ₹2,425 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a moderate multiple. How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2	Price / Book	2.66×	Neutral	Market cap was 2.66× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹20,974 crore. How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3	Price / Sales	1.79×	Neutral	The company was valued at 1.79× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹31,149 crore. How to read: Information only.
4	EV / EBITDA (approx.)	12.0×	Neutral	Enterprise value (market cap + ₹3,207 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 12.0× trailing operating profit of ₹4,901 crore. How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5	Earnings yield	4.4%	Neutral	The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹4.4 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds. How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6	PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)	0.49	Bullish	P/E of 23.0 divided by 3-year profit growth of 46.7% a year gives a PEG of 0.49. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7	Dividend yield (trailing 12M)	0.18%	Neutral	Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹235 a share, a 0.18% yield on the ₹131,430.00 price. Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8	Market capitalisation	₹55,741 cr	Neutral	At about ₹0.56 lakh crore the company was a mid-cap. How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9	Graham number vs price	₹79,763.61 vs ₹131,430.00	Neutral	Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹79,763.61; the price was 65% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number. Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).

B. Growth

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
10	Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)	+10.6%	Bullish	Revenue for FY26 was ₹31,149 crore, +10.6% versus FY25. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% (revenue fell) · Neutral 0–10%.
11	Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)	+13.7%	Bullish	The Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹8,044 crore of revenue, +13.7% on the same quarter a year earlier. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
12	Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)	+29.5%	Bullish	FY26 net profit was ₹2,426 crore, +29.5% on FY25's ₹1,873 crore. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13	Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)	+37.6%	Bullish	Quarterly profit was ₹702 crore versus ₹510 crore a year earlier (+37.6%). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
14	Revenue CAGR (3 years)	10.6%	Neutral	Revenue compounded at 10.6% a year from FY23 to FY26. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15	Profit CAGR (3 years)	46.7%	Bullish	Net profit compounded at 46.7% a year from FY23 to FY26. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16	Revenue CAGR (5 years)	14.0%	Bullish	Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 14.0% a year. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17	EPS growth FY26 (reported)	+29.5%	Bullish	Reported EPS went from ₹4,416.97 to ₹5,720.43 (+29.5%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.

C. Profitability

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
18	Operating margin FY26	16%	Neutral	Operating profit (EBITDA) was 16% of sales in FY26 versus 15% in FY25. How to read: Information only — normal margins differ a lot by industry.
19	Operating margin trend (4 quarters)	14% → 15% → 17% → 16%	Bullish	Quarterly margins moved from 14% to 16% over the last four quarters — expanding. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral when broadly stable.
20	Net profit margin FY26	7.8%	Neutral	₹7.8 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26. How to read: Information only.
21	Return on equity FY26	12.3%	Neutral	FY26 profit was 12.3% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak. Bullish above 18% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–18%. Around 15% or more is generally considered good.
22	ROCE FY26	16%	Neutral	Return on capital employed (debt + equity) was 16% in FY26. Bullish above 20% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–20%.
23	Return on assets FY26	7.59%	Neutral	Net profit was 7.59% of total assets. Bullish banks only: 1.5% or more · Bearish banks only: below 1% · Information only for non-banks.
24	Effective tax rate FY26	25%	Neutral	The company paid about 25% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%. How to read: Information only. India’s base corporate rate is about 25%.
25	Other income share of pre-tax profit	14%	Neutral	Non-operating 'other income' of ₹440 crore made up 14% of pre-tax profit. How to read: Caution above 25% (headline profit leans on non-core income). Neutral otherwise.

D. Balance sheet

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
26	Debt / equity	0.15	Bullish	Borrowings of ₹3,207 crore were 0.15× equity — very low leverage. Bullish below 0.3 (very low leverage) · Bearish above 1 (high leverage) · Neutral 0.3–1.
27	Debt / EBITDA	0.65×	Bullish	Debt equalled 0.65 years of FY26 operating profit. Bullish below 1× · Bearish above 3× · Neutral 1–3×.
28	Interest coverage	9.6×	Bullish	Earnings before interest and tax covered interest cost 9.6 times. Bullish above 8× · Bearish below 3× · Neutral 3–8×, or not meaningful when interest is negligible.
29	Book value growth	+12.7%	Bullish	Shareholders' equity grew +12.7% from ₹18,610 crore to ₹20,974 crore in FY26. Bullish above 10% (banks: above 12%) · Bearish below 0% (non-banks only) · Neutral otherwise.
30	Capital work in progress	₹1,034 cr (8% of fixed assets)	Neutral	Projects under construction (CWIP) were 8% of fixed assets — a modest pipeline. How to read: Information only. Above 20% means a big expansion pipeline that is not yet earning.
31	Working capital days	7 days	Neutral	Working capital tied up equalled 7 days of sales (FY25: 8). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations. How to read: Information only. Lower is generally more efficient; negative means suppliers or customers fund the business.
32	Cash conversion cycle	83 days	Neutral	It took 83 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit. How to read: Information only. Shorter is generally better.
33	Debtor days	42 (FY25 44)	Neutral	Customers took 42 days on average to pay, versus 44 a year earlier. How to read: Caution when debtor days rose more than 20% in a year (collections stretching). Neutral otherwise.

E. Cash flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
34	Operating cash flow FY26	₹4,590 cr	Bullish	The business generated ₹4,590 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹1,865 crore in FY25. Bullish positive and higher than the year before · Bearish negative · Neutral when positive but lower. Information only for banks.
35	Free cash flow FY26	₹3,164 cr	Bullish	After capital spending, free cash flow was ₹3,164 crore. Bullish positive · Bearish negative · Neutral when not available.
36	Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)	1.89×	Bullish	Operating cash flow was 1.89× reported profit — profits were well backed by cash. Bullish above 1× (profits well backed by cash) · Caution below 0.7×. Neutral 0.7–1×.
37	Free-cash-flow yield	5.7%	Bullish	FY26 free cash flow was 5.7% of the snapshot market cap. Bullish above 4% · Neutral at 4% or less.
38	Free cash flow — 3-year total	₹4,874 cr	Bullish	Free cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹4,874 crore. Bullish positive total · Bearish negative total · Neutral when not available.
39	Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)	₹1,426 cr	Neutral	Implied capital expenditure was about ₹1,426 crore, 4.6% of sales. How to read: Information only.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
40	Dividend payout ratio FY26	4%	Neutral	The company paid out about 4% of FY26 profit as dividends. How to read: Information only. High payout suits mature businesses; growing firms often keep more.
41	Dividend consistency (3 years)	4% / 5% / 4%	Bullish	Payout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year. Bullish paid every year · Neutral when irregular. Never tagged Bearish.
42	Share capital change (FY25→FY26)	+0.0%	Neutral	Paid-up equity capital changed +0.0% (₹4 cr → ₹4 cr). Essentially unchanged — no dilution. Bullish fell 1% or more (a buyback) · Caution when it rose 1% or more (new shares issued). Neutral when unchanged, or for a bonus/split.

G. Ownership

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
43	Promoter holding	27.77% (-0.01 pts YoY)	Neutral	Promoters owned 27.77% at Mar 2026 versus 27.78% a year earlier. Bearish fell more than 1 percentage point in a year · Neutral otherwise. Never tagged Bullish.
44	Foreign institutional holding	17.98% (+0.44 pts YoY)	Neutral	FIIs held 17.98% at Mar 2026, up from 17.54% a year before. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
45	Domestic institutional holding	12.25% (+0.03 pts YoY)	Neutral	Mutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 12.25%, up from 12.22%. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
46	Number of shareholders	0.6 lakh (-5.2% YoY)	Neutral	The shareholder count moved from 0.6 lakh to 0.6 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest. How to read: Information only — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47	Promoter pledge	none reported	Neutral	Our source showed no pledged promoter shares. How to read: Information only. Any sizeable pledge is a risk to note.

H. Quality & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)	8/8	Bullish	Passed: positive profit, positive operating cash flow, CFO > net profit, leverage fell, operating margin improved, ROA improved, asset turnover improved, no meaningful dilution (<3%). Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49	Automated screen flags	0 strength(s) · 1 weakness(es)	Neutral	No strengths flagged. Weaknesses: Company has a low return on equity of 12.1% over last 3 years. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.) How to read: Information only.
50	Fundamental summary	20 bullish · 0 bearish · 29 neutral · 0 caution	Bullish	On the numbers published by 16 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 23.0×, P/B 2.66×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 16 Apr 2026 – 16 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

07 May 2026 MRF Q4 FY26 consolidated PAT rises 43% YoY to Rs 701 crore; Rs 229 final dividend recommended — Board approved FY26 results on 7 May 2026. Q4 consolidated net profit Rs 700.68 cr (+42.66% YoY), revenue from operations Rs 8,044.22 cr (+13.7%). Final dividend Rs 229/share recommended; total FY26 dividend Rs 235 incl. two Rs 3 interims. source
07 May 2026 MRF FY26 consolidated net profit Rs 2,426 crore on revenue of Rs 31,149 crore — Full-year FY26 consolidated revenue from operations Rs 31,149.01 cr and net profit Rs 2,426.10 cr (vs Rs 1,873.29 cr); standalone net profit Rs 2,355.40 cr, up about 29%. source
11 May 2026 MRF reports favourable ITAT outcomes in income-tax appeals for AY 2015-16 and 2016-17 — ITAT ruled in MRF's favour on main grounds in two appeals (about Rs 89.62 cr and Rs 92.46 cr); tax demand in each now nil, with remaining issues sent back to the Assessing Officer. source
20 Jun 2026 MRF promoters declare no new encumbrance on shares in FY26 — Promoter group disclosure under SAST Regulation 31(4) stated no new encumbrance was created on MRF shares during FY26. source
29 Jun 2026 MRF fixes 17 July 2026 as record date for final dividend — Record date set at 17 July 2026 for the FY26 final dividend, subject to approval at the 65th AGM on 6 August 2026; payment on or after 17 August 2026. source
15 Jul 2026 MRF releases FY26 annual report; 65th AGM on 6 August 2026 — Company published the AGM notice and 2025-26 annual report; AGM by video conference on 6 Aug 2026, e-voting 1-5 Aug, final dividend Rs 229/share. source

What happened next (16 Jul 2026 → 16 Oct 2026)

Price went from ₹131,430.00 to ₹122,790.00 by 16 Oct 2026 (-6.6%) while the Nifty 50 moved -3.8% — underperforming by 2.7 points.
Highest ₹135,800.00 on 31 Aug 2026; lowest ₹121,310.00 on 15 Oct 2026.
S1 129,067.50: broken on a closing basis on 07 Sep 2026.
S2 123,908.12: broken on a closing basis on 28 Sep 2026.
R1 132,907.50: cleared on a closing basis on 21 Jul 2026.
R2 140,761.67: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and stayed on the same side through the period.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 11 Aug 2026): revenue ₹8,416 crore (+9.6% YoY), net profit ₹495 crore (-1.4% YoY), operating margin 12% vs 14% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).

Later news

23 Jul 2026 MRF Tyres named title sponsor of the Cork 20 Rally — MRF became title sponsor of the 2026 Cork 20 Rally in Ireland, which decides the Irish Tarmac Rally Championship. source
06 Aug 2026 MRF shareholders approve Rs 229 final dividend at 65th AGM — AGM held by video conference; shareholders approved the Rs 229 final dividend, reappointed directors Varun Mammen and Dr. Cibi Mammen, and reappointed statutory auditors. source
11 Aug 2026 MRF Q1 FY27 consolidated profit slips to Rs 495 crore as input costs weigh — Board approved Q1 FY27 results on 11 Aug 2026. Consolidated total income Rs 8,610.56 cr (+10.3% YoY); net profit Rs 495.35 cr (-1.3%), hit by higher raw material costs linked to the Middle East conflict. source
07 Oct 2026 MRF's FY2014-15 sales tax demand cut to Rs 36.19 crore from Rs 91.53 crore — A rectification order from Kerala state tax authorities reduced a pending CST demand for FY2014-15 by Rs 55.34 cr; MRF is examining the order. source

Educational summary. On 16 Jul 2026 the technical picture was mixed and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -6.6% against -3.8% for the Nifty 50. A mixed chart gave no clear message, and the outcome shows why mixed readings are hard to act on. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold MRF today.

Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 19 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

More case studies today

₹7,128.00close 16 Jul

Industrial gasesNSE: LINDEINDIAData as of 16 Jul 2026

Linde India — 100-point case study

Technical

Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -13.2% vs Nifty 50 -3.8%

Technical: was mixedFundamental: positiveP/E 110.9×P/B 14.25×RSI 501Y +5.6%

₹1,843.50close 16 Jul

Iron ore & steelNSE: LLOYDSMEData as of 16 Jul 2026

Lloyds Metals And Energy — 100-point case study

Technical

Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): +0.4% vs Nifty 50 -3.8%

Technical: positiveFundamental: positiveP/E 27.1×P/B 7.48×RSI 601Y +23.9%

₹2,500.50close 16 Jul

PharmaceuticalsNSE: LUPINData as of 16 Jul 2026

Lupin — 100-point case study

Technical

Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -21.6% vs Nifty 50 -3.8%

Technical: positiveFundamental: positiveP/E 21.3×P/B 5.09×RSI 661Y +29.6%