Edible oils & packaged foodsHistorical case study · data as of 17 Jul 2026 · published 21 Oct 2026 (96 days later)
Patanjali Foods — 100-point case study
How Patanjali Foods looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 17 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
6 bullish · 34 neutral · 5 caution · 4 bearish — the picture was mixed.
Price chart
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: A 2:1 bonus issue went ex on 11 Sep 2025; prices are bonus-adjusted. Screener's consolidated history has no data for FY2020–FY2024, so some multi-year comparisons show n/a.
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 17 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope -0.73%/day
Bearish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was falling about 0.73% a day — a short-term downtrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return -27.4%
Bearish
The 100-session trend line was down (-0.27%/day) and the stock was -27.4% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bearish.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return -46.9%
Bearish
Compared with a year earlier the price was -46.9%. A weak year for the stock.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 422.52 / 30W 474.03
Bearish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close below the 10-week average, which sat below the 30-week.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 435.05→417.50; lows 408.15→406.35
Bearish
The two most recent swing points showed lower swing highs and lower swing lows — classic downtrend structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
49.4
Bearish
ADX at 49.4 shows a strong trend in force. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 3.7 / –DI 52.3
Bearish
–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
403.01 (-16.2%)
Bearish
Close of 337.70 was 16.2% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
427.83 (-21.1%)
Bearish
Close of 337.70 was 21.1% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
507.15 (-33.4%)
Bearish
Close of 337.70 was 33.4% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 378.37 / 21E 398.71
Bearish
The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 27 May 2026.
The 50-day average was 15.6% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
-5.4% in 20 sessions
Bearish
The 50-day average fell 5.4% over the past month — declining.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
403 / 428 / 455 / 507
Bearish
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bearish (20 < 50 < 100 < 200).
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
367.65 (-8.1%)
Bearish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 367.65; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
11.2
Caution
RSI at 11.2 was oversold (≤30) — weak but stretched to the downside, where bounces often occur.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD -18.46 / signal -11.54
Bearish
MACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
1.09 → -6.92
Bearish
The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B -0.14 (bands 351.88–454.14)
Caution
%B of -0.14 — close below the lower band, an overextended drop.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 25.4% (99th pct of 6M)
Neutral
Band width was at the 99th percentile of the last six months, so volatility was elevated.
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹13.27 (3.9% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹13.27, or 3.9% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
47.1% vs 1Y 27.2%
Caution
Annualised 30-day volatility was 47.1%, well above the one-year level of 27.2%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
368.36–426.73
Bearish
The close was below the lower channel — a strong trending push.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
0.73
Neutral
A beta of 0.73 means the stock tended to move less than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 1.07× / 5-day 3.05×
Neutral
The final session traded 1.07× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 3.05× — heavier than usual participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 0.27
Bearish
Average volume on up days was 0.27× that on down days — distribution-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV falling
Bearish
OBV fell over the month while price fell — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹260 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
328.20
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 328.20, 2.9% below the close.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
417.50 / 435.05 / 463.75
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 417.50, 23.6% above the close, then 435.05, 463.75.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 361.13 | R1 394.07 | S1 304.77
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 361.13; the close was below it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 384 | 38.2% 418 | 50.0% 446 | 61.8% 474
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month fall from 564.20 to 328.20, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 383.90.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 653.93 / L 328.20
Bearish
The close was 48.4% below the 52-week high and 2.9% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
none
Neutral
No unfilled price gaps in the last six months.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
falling channel
Bearish
Rule-based pattern scan: falling channel — successive lower highs and lows. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 328.20–427.30
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 328.20–427.30.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Ordinary red candle
Neutral
On 17 Jul the candle opened 349.85, ranged 334.00–351.00 and closed 337.70: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 438.64–449.32; Tenkan 372.35 / Kijun 381.62
Bearish
Price was below the cloud and the Tenkan line was below the Kijun line — a bearish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M -20.4% / 3M -27.9%
Bearish
The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 27.9 points over three months and underperformed by 20.4 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M -34.2%
Bearish
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 34.2 points behind the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
0 bullish · 30 bearish · 13 neutral · 6 caution
Bearish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned negative. Levels that mattered: support 328.20, resistance 417.50. This is a description of the chart on 17 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 17 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 17 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
20.2×
Neutral
At ₹337.70 the market valued the company at about ₹36,725 crore, or 20.2× the ₹1,814 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a moderate multiple.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
2.80×
Neutral
Market cap was 2.80× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹13,097 crore.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Sales
0.91×
Neutral
The company was valued at 0.91× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹40,183 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
EV / EBITDA (approx.)
22.6×
Neutral
Enterprise value (market cap + ₹2,789 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 22.6× trailing operating profit of ₹1,752 crore.
How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5
Earnings yield
4.9%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹4.9 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
n/m
Neutral
PEG is not meaningful because 3-year profit growth was not available. Note: the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-112 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2025, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
1.23%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹4.16667 a share, a 1.23% yield on the ₹337.70 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹36,725 cr
Neutral
At about ₹0.37 lakh crore the company was a mid-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹212.60 vs ₹337.70
Neutral
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹212.60; the price was 59% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+19.0%
Bullish
Revenue for FY26 was ₹40,170 crore, +19.0% versus FY25.
FY26 net profit was ₹1,814 crore, +39.4% on FY25's ₹1,301 crore. Note: the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-112 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13
Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)
+46.0%
Caution
Quarterly profit was ₹524 crore versus ₹359 crore a year earlier (+46.0%). Note: the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-112 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Not available. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2025, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15
Profit CAGR (3 years)
n/a
Neutral
Not available. Note: the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-112 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2025, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16
Revenue CAGR (5 years)
n/a
Neutral
Not available. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2025, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17
EPS growth FY26 (reported)
+39.3%
Caution
Reported EPS went from ₹11.97 to ₹16.68 (+39.3%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Note: the Mar 2026 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹-112 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
0 strength(s) · 4 weakness(es)
Neutral
No strengths flagged. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 3.03 times its book value; Tax rate seems low; Company might be capitalizing the interest cost; Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -5.57%. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
6 bullish · 4 bearish · 34 neutral · 5 caution
Neutral
On the numbers published by 17 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture was mixed. Valuation: P/E 20.2×, P/B 2.80×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 17 Apr 2026 – 17 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
21 Apr 2026Patanjali Foods Declares ₹1.75 Interim Dividend; Shares Rise 0.74% — Board declared a second interim dividend for FY2025-26 of Rs 1.75 per share, record date 25 April 2026. source
31 May 2026Patanjali Foods Q4 Profit Rises 46% to ₹524 Cr, Revenue Rises to ₹11,212 Cr — March-quarter consolidated net profit rose 46% to Rs 523.97 crore from Rs 358.51 crore; total income rose to Rs 11,212.17 crore from Rs 9,564.47 crore. source
15 Jul 2026Patanjali Foods shares crash 20%, hit 52-week low amid report of block deal — Shares fell sharply intraday to a 52-week low after reports that about 54.24 lakh shares worth about Rs 195 crore changed hands in block deals at an average of Rs 355; the seller was not named. source
15 Jul 2026Patanjali Foods Clarifies Normal Operations After 19% Plunge to 52-Week Low of ₹328.20 Amid Block Deal Buzz — Company told BSE and NSE that business is running normally and it has no undisclosed price-sensitive information; management denied reports of raids or notices. source
What happened next (17 Jul 2026 → 19 Oct 2026)
Price went from ₹337.70 to ₹364.80 by 19 Oct 2026 (+8.0%) while the Nifty 50 moved -5.9% — outperforming by 14.0 points.
Highest ₹412.90 on 23 Sep 2026; lowest ₹330.80 on 24 Jul 2026.
S1 328.20: held on a closing basis.
R1 417.50: not cleared on a closing basis.
R2 435.05: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and stayed on the same side through the period.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 14 Aug 2026): revenue ₹11,337 crore (+29.3% YoY), net profit ₹336 crore (+86.7% YoY), operating margin 5% vs 4% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Later news
14 Aug 2026Patanjali Foods posts record revenue, declares dual dividends — Q1 FY27 revenue from operations rose 29.33% YoY to about Rs 11,337 crore and PAT was about Rs 335.86 crore; board declared interim dividends of Rs 1.50 (FY26) and Rs 0.80 (FY27) per share, record date 21 August 2026. source
16 Sep 2026Patanjali Foods shares surged nearly 5% today — Shares rose after a Delhi High Court ruling quashed seven ITAT orders against Patanjali Ayurved; the stock remained down sharply year-to-date. source
22 Sep 2026Patanjali Foods shares rally on growth outlook — Shares rose over 6% on 21 September after management guided to 18-20% FMCG growth, 8-10% foods growth and Rs 700-800 crore free cash flow for FY27. source
Educational summary. On 17 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned negative and the fundamental picture was mixed. Over the next three months the stock moved +8.0% against -5.9% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Patanjali Foods today.
Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 21 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction
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