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Digital payments & fintech Historical case study · data as of 17 Jul 2026 · published 21 Oct 2026 (96 days later)

One 97 Communications — 100-point case study

How One 97 Communications looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 17 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

Codes	NSE: PAYTM · BSE: 543396
Close on 17 Jul 2026	₹1,348.00
Market cap then	₹86,546 crore
Valuation	P/E 156.8× · P/B 5.40×
Momentum	RSI (14) 71 · 1-year return +34.9%
Next 3 months	+25.1% vs Nifty 50 -5.9% (to 19 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

26 bullish · 18 neutral · 2 caution · 3 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Fundamental — 50 points

7 bullish · 32 neutral · 3 caution · 7 bearish — the picture was mixed.

Price chart

Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 17 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Trend

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	Short-term trend (20 days)	slope +1.43%/day	Bullish	Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 1.43% a day — a short-term uptrend. Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2	Medium-term trend (~5 months)	3M return +17.3%	Bullish	The 100-session trend line was up (+0.15%/day) and the stock was +17.3% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish. Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3	Long-term trend (1 year)	1Y return +34.9%	Bullish	Compared with a year earlier the price was +34.9%. A strong positive year. Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4	Weekly chart trend	10W 1,162.76 / 30W 1,151.85	Bullish	On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack. Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5	Swing structure (highs/lows)	last highs 1,172.00→1,133.70; lows 1,082.30→1,014.00	Bearish	The two most recent swing points showed lower swing highs and lower swing lows — classic downtrend structure. Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6	ADX (14) — trend strength	35.2	Bullish	ADX at 35.2 shows a strong trend in force. ADX measures strength only, not direction. Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7	+DI vs –DI	+DI 34.2 / –DI 11.8	Bullish	+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure. Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.

B. Moving averages

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
8	Price vs 20-day SMA	1,226.49 (+9.9%)	Bullish	Close of 1,348.00 was 9.9% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9	Price vs 50-day SMA	1,157.01 (+16.5%)	Bullish	Close of 1,348.00 was 16.5% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10	Price vs 200-day SMA	1,192.07 (+13.1%)	Bullish	Close of 1,348.00 was 13.1% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11	9 / 21 EMA crossover	9E 1,322.21 / 21E 1,251.36	Bullish	The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 25 Jun 2026. Bullish 9-day above 21-day · Bearish 9-day below 21-day · No neutral zone.
12	Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)	no cross in data window	Bearish	The 50-day average was 2.9% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window. Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13	50-day SMA slope	+3.6% in 20 sessions	Bullish	The 50-day average rose 3.6% over the past month — rising. Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14	MA ribbon alignment	1,226 / 1,157 / 1,121 / 1,192	Neutral	The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range. Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15	Monthly anchored VWAP	1,292.24 (+4.3%)	Bullish	Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 1,292.24; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit. Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.

C. Momentum

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
16	RSI (14)	70.7	Caution	RSI at 70.7 was overbought (≥70) — strong momentum but stretched. Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17	RSI divergence (last 40 days)	none	Neutral	Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price. Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18	MACD line vs signal	MACD 68.46 / signal 53.87	Bullish	MACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive. Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19	MACD histogram (5-day change)	23.35 → 14.59	Bearish	The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening. Bullish histogram rising (momentum improving) · Bearish histogram falling (momentum weakening) · No neutral zone.
20	MACD vs zero line	68.46	Bullish	MACD above zero means the 12-day EMA was above the 26-day EMA — a positive momentum regime. Bullish MACD above zero · Bearish MACD below zero · No neutral zone.
21	Stochastic (14,3,3)	%K 83.6 / %D 88.5	Caution	Slow stochastic at 83.6 was in overbought territory (>80). Bullish between 20 and 80 with %K above %D · Bearish between 20 and 80 with %K below %D · Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
22	Williams %R (14)	-21.2	Neutral	%R of -21.2 put the close in the middle of its 14-day range. How to read: Caution above –20 (near the top) or below –80 (near the bottom). Neutral in the middle. This point is never tagged Bullish or Bearish.
23	CCI (20)	94	Neutral	CCI at 94 was within the normal ±100 band. Bullish above +100 (unusually strong upward move) · Bearish below –100 (unusually strong downward move) · Neutral within ±100.
24	Rate of change (10-day)	+10.4%	Bullish	Price changed +10.4% over ten sessions. Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.

D. Volatility

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
25	Bollinger Band position (%B)	%B 0.78 (bands 1,011.01–1,441.98)	Neutral	%B of 0.78 — inside the bands, upper half. How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26	Bollinger width / squeeze	width 35.1% (98th pct of 6M)	Neutral	Band width was at the 98th percentile of the last six months, so volatility was elevated. How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27	ATR (14)	₹44.33 (3.3% of price)	Neutral	A typical day's range was about ₹44.33, or 3.3% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect. How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28	Historical volatility (30-day)	40.0% vs 1Y 37.1%	Neutral	Annualised 30-day volatility was 40.0%, close to the one-year level of 37.1%. How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29	Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)	1,164.01–1,347.56	Bullish	The close was above the upper channel — a strong trending push. Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30	Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)	1.60	Neutral	A beta of 1.60 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day. How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.

E. Volume & money flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
31	Volume vs 20-day average	last day 0.65× / 5-day 1.06×	Neutral	The final session traded 0.65× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.06× — normal participation. How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32	Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)	ratio 1.66	Bullish	Average volume on up days was 1.66× that on down days — accumulation-leaning. Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33	On-Balance Volume (20d)	OBV rising	Bullish	OBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move. Bullish OBV rising · Bearish OBV falling · No neutral zone.
34	Accumulation/Distribution line	rising (20d)	Bullish	The A/D line rose, meaning closes tended to be in the upper part of daily ranges on meaningful volume. Bullish A/D line rising · Bearish A/D line falling · No neutral zone.
35	Chaikin Money Flow (20)	0.24	Bullish	CMF at +0.24 indicated net inflows. Bullish above +0.05 (net inflows) · Bearish below –0.05 (net outflows) · Neutral between –0.05 and +0.05.
36	Money Flow Index (14)	70.1	Bullish	MFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 70.1. Bullish MFI 55–80 · Bearish MFI 20–45 · Neutral 45–55. Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
37	Liquidity (avg daily turnover)	₹397 cr/day	Neutral	About ₹397 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid. How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.

F. Price levels

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
38	Support levels (S1/S2/S3)	1,288.30 / 1,249.64 / 1,207.25	Neutral	Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 1,288.30, 4.6% below the close, then 1,249.64, 1,207.25. How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39	Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)	1,353.95 / 1,381.80	Neutral	Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 1,353.95, 0.4% above the close, then 1,381.80. How to read: Information only.
40	Monthly pivot points (for next month)	P 1,301.83 \| R1 1,453.17 \| S1 1,196.67	Neutral	Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 1,301.83; the close was above it. How to read: Information only.
41	Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)	23.6% 1,295 \| 38.2% 1,225 \| 50.0% 1,169 \| 61.8% 1,113	Neutral	Measuring the 6-month rise from 930.60 to 1,407.00, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 1,294.57. How to read: Information only.
42	52-week high / low	H 1,407.00 / L 917.00	Bullish	The close was 4.2% below the 52-week high and 47.0% above the 52-week low. Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43	Unfilled price gaps (6M)	none	Neutral	No unfilled price gaps in the last six months. How to read: Information only.

G. Patterns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
44	Price structure / chart pattern	rising channel	Bullish	Rule-based pattern scan: rising channel — successive higher highs and lows. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.) Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45	Breakout / breakdown (20-day)	range 1,064.20–1,407.00	Neutral	The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 1,064.20–1,407.00. Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46	Latest candlestick	Ordinary red candle	Neutral	On 17 Jul the candle opened 1,360.00, ranged 1,325.40–1,365.30 and closed 1,348.00: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own. Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47	Ichimoku Cloud	cloud 1,076.80–1,104.30; Tenkan 1,307.50 / Kijun 1,210.50	Bullish	Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup. Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.

H. Relative strength & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Relative strength vs Nifty 50	1M +19.3% / 3M +16.8%	Bullish	The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 16.8 points over three months and outperformed by 19.3 points over one month. Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49	Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)	6M +9.5%	Bullish	No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 9.5 points ahead of the Nifty 50. Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50	Technical summary	26 bullish · 3 bearish · 18 neutral · 2 caution	Bullish	Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 1,288.30, resistance 1,353.95. This is a description of the chart on 17 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 17 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 17 Jul 2026 close.

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Valuation

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	P/E (trailing 12 months)	156.8×	Neutral	At ₹1,348.00 the market valued the company at about ₹86,546 crore, or 156.8× the ₹552 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth. How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2	Price / Book	5.40×	Neutral	Market cap was 5.40× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹16,026 crore. How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3	Price / Sales	10.26×	Neutral	The company was valued at 10.26× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹8,437 crore. How to read: Information only.
4	EV / EBITDA (approx.)	173.8×	Neutral	Enterprise value (market cap + ₹172 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 173.8× trailing operating profit of ₹499 crore. How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5	Earnings yield	0.6%	Neutral	The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹0.6 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds. How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6	PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)	n/m	Neutral	PEG is not meaningful because 3-year profit growth was not available. Note: the Sep 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹1,524 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7	Dividend yield (trailing 12M)	n/a	Neutral	Dividend history in our data window was not available. Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8	Market capitalisation	₹86,546 cr	Neutral	At about ₹0.87 lakh crore the company was a mid-cap. How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9	Graham number vs price	₹219.74 vs ₹1,348.00	Neutral	Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹219.74; the price was 513% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number. Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).

B. Growth

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
10	Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)	+22.3%	Bullish	Revenue for FY26 was ₹8,437 crore, +22.3% versus FY25. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% (revenue fell) · Neutral 0–10%.
11	Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)	+18.4%	Bullish	The Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹2,264 crore of revenue, +18.4% on the same quarter a year earlier. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
12	Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)	n/a	Neutral	FY26 net profit was ₹552 crore, n/a on FY25's ₹-663 crore. Note: the Sep 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹1,524 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13	Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)	n/a	Neutral	Quarterly profit was ₹183 crore versus ₹-545 crore a year earlier (n/a). Note: the Sep 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹1,524 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
14	Revenue CAGR (3 years)	1.8%	Bearish	Revenue compounded at 1.8% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15	Profit CAGR (3 years)	n/a	Neutral	Not available. Note: the Sep 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹1,524 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16	Revenue CAGR (5 years)	24.7%	Caution	Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 24.7% a year. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17	EPS growth FY26 (reported)	n/a	Neutral	Not available. Note: the Sep 2024 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹1,524 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.

C. Profitability

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
18	Operating margin FY26	6%	Neutral	Operating profit (EBITDA) was 6% of sales in FY26 versus -22% in FY25. How to read: Information only — normal margins differ a lot by industry.
19	Operating margin trend (4 quarters)	4% → 7% → 7% → 6%	Bullish	Quarterly margins moved from 4% to 6% over the last four quarters — expanding. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral when broadly stable.
20	Net profit margin FY26	6.5%	Neutral	₹6.5 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26. How to read: Information only.
21	Return on equity FY26	3.6%	Bearish	FY26 profit was 3.6% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak. Bullish above 18% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–18%. Around 15% or more is generally considered good.
22	ROCE FY26	5%	Bearish	Return on capital employed (debt + equity) was 5% in FY26. Bullish above 20% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–20%.
23	Return on assets FY26	2.31%	Neutral	Net profit was 2.31% of total assets. Bullish banks only: 1.5% or more · Bearish banks only: below 1% · Information only for non-banks.
24	Effective tax rate FY26	5%	Neutral	The company paid about 5% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%. How to read: Information only. India’s base corporate rate is about 25%.
25	Other income share of pre-tax profit	115%	Caution	Non-operating 'other income' of ₹668 crore made up 115% of pre-tax profit — a large share, so core earnings were lower than headline profit. How to read: Caution above 25% (headline profit leans on non-core income). Neutral otherwise.

D. Balance sheet

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
26	Debt / equity	0.01	Bullish	Borrowings of ₹172 crore were 0.01× equity — very low leverage. Bullish below 0.3 (very low leverage) · Bearish above 1 (high leverage) · Neutral 0.3–1.
27	Debt / EBITDA	0.34×	Bullish	Debt equalled 0.34 years of FY26 operating profit. Bullish below 1× · Bearish above 3× · Neutral 1–3×.
28	Interest coverage	31.6×	Bullish	Earnings before interest and tax covered interest cost 31.6 times. Bullish above 8× · Bearish below 3× · Neutral 3–8×, or not meaningful when interest is negligible.
29	Book value growth	+6.6%	Neutral	Shareholders' equity grew +6.6% from ₹15,027 crore to ₹16,026 crore in FY26. Bullish above 10% (banks: above 12%) · Bearish below 0% (non-banks only) · Neutral otherwise.
30	Capital work in progress	₹11 cr (1% of fixed assets)	Neutral	Projects under construction (CWIP) were 1% of fixed assets — a modest pipeline. How to read: Information only. Above 20% means a big expansion pipeline that is not yet earning.
31	Working capital days	-123 days	Neutral	Working capital tied up equalled -123 days of sales (FY25: -119). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations. How to read: Information only. Lower is generally more efficient; negative means suppliers or customers fund the business.
32	Cash conversion cycle	51 days	Neutral	It took 51 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit. How to read: Information only. Shorter is generally better.
33	Debtor days	51 (FY25 69)	Neutral	Customers took 51 days on average to pay, versus 69 a year earlier. How to read: Caution when debtor days rose more than 20% in a year (collections stretching). Neutral otherwise.

E. Cash flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
34	Operating cash flow FY26	₹-743 cr	Bearish	The business generated ₹-743 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹-121 crore in FY25. Bullish positive and higher than the year before · Bearish negative · Neutral when positive but lower. Information only for banks.
35	Free cash flow FY26	₹-1,211 cr	Bearish	After capital spending, free cash flow was ₹-1,211 crore. Bullish positive · Bearish negative · Neutral when not available.
36	Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)	-1.35×	Caution	Operating cash flow was -1.35× reported profit — cash lagged profits; worth watching. Bullish above 1× (profits well backed by cash) · Caution below 0.7×. Neutral 0.7–1×.
37	Free-cash-flow yield	-1.4%	Neutral	FY26 free cash flow was -1.4% of the snapshot market cap. Bullish above 4% · Neutral at 4% or less.
38	Free cash flow — 3-year total	₹-1,810 cr	Bearish	Free cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹-1,810 crore. Bullish positive total · Bearish negative total · Neutral when not available.
39	Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)	₹468 cr	Neutral	Implied capital expenditure was about ₹468 crore, 5.5% of sales. How to read: Information only.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
40	Dividend payout ratio FY26	0%	Neutral	The company paid out about 0% of FY26 profit as dividends. How to read: Information only. High payout suits mature businesses; growing firms often keep more.
41	Dividend consistency (3 years)	0% / 0% / 0%	Neutral	Payout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were irregular. Bullish paid every year · Neutral when irregular. Never tagged Bearish.
42	Share capital change (FY25→FY26)	+0.0%	Neutral	Paid-up equity capital changed +0.0% (₹64 cr → ₹64 cr). Essentially unchanged — no dilution. Bullish fell 1% or more (a buyback) · Caution when it rose 1% or more (new shares issued). Neutral when unchanged, or for a bonus/split.

G. Ownership

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
43	Promoter holding	No promoter (widely held)	Neutral	The company has no identified promoter group — ownership is spread among institutions and the public. Bearish fell more than 1 percentage point in a year · Neutral otherwise. Never tagged Bullish.
44	Foreign institutional holding	49.40% (-5.99 pts YoY)	Bearish	FIIs held 49.40% at Mar 2026, down from 55.39% a year before. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
45	Domestic institutional holding	23.08% (+9.06 pts YoY)	Bullish	Mutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 23.08%, up from 14.02%. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
46	Number of shareholders	8.2 lakh (-15.2% YoY)	Neutral	The shareholder count moved from 9.7 lakh to 8.2 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest. How to read: Information only — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47	Promoter pledge	none reported	Neutral	Not applicable — no promoter group. How to read: Information only. Any sizeable pledge is a risk to note.

H. Quality & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)	6/8	Neutral	Passed: positive profit, leverage fell, operating margin improved, ROA improved, asset turnover improved, no meaningful dilution (<3%). Failed: positive operating cash flow, CFO > net profit. Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49	Automated screen flags	3 strength(s) · 3 weakness(es)	Neutral	Strengths: Company is almost debt free; Company has delivered good profit growth of 19.4% CAGR over last 5 years; Company's median sales growth is 22.3% of last 10 years. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 6.73 times its book value; Company has a low return on equity of -4.60% over last 3 years; Earnings include an other income of Rs.625 Cr. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.) How to read: Information only.
50	Fundamental summary	7 bullish · 7 bearish · 32 neutral · 3 caution	Neutral	On the numbers published by 17 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture was mixed. Valuation: P/E 156.8×, P/B 5.40×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 17 Apr 2026 – 17 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

27 Apr 2026 Paytm shares fall up to 8% intraday after RBI cancels Paytm Payments Bank licence — The RBI cancelled the banking licence of Paytm Payments Bank under Section 22(4) of the Banking Regulation Act and said it would seek winding-up. One 97 Communications shares fell as much as 8.37% intraday before closing down about 1.5%; brokerages noted the investment had already been written off. source
06 May 2026 Paytm reports Q4 FY26 profit of Rs 183 crore and first full-year profit — For Jan-Mar 2026, consolidated revenue from operations rose 18.4% YoY to Rs 2,264 crore with a net profit of about Rs 183 crore versus a loss a year earlier. FY26 revenue was Rs 8,437 crore (+22%) and net profit Rs 552 crore versus a Rs 663 crore loss in FY25. source
07 May 2026 Paytm shares rise as much as 6% after Q4 results — The stock rose up to 6.24% to Rs 1,181 in early trade after the Q4 FY26 results. The company reported FY26 EBITDA of Rs 502 crore and 7.7 crore monthly transacting users. source
10 Jul 2026 Paytm shares rise over 4% in broad risk-on session — The stock rose about 4.4% intraday to around Rs 1,318 on a day when the Nifty 50 gained over 1%; the article cites market-wide factors and positioning ahead of Q1 FY27 results rather than a company announcement. source
16 Jul 2026 Paytm board to consider maiden bonus share issue on July 20 — The company informed exchanges on July 15 that its board would consider a bonus issue, along with Q1 FY27 results, at its July 20 meeting; ratio and record date were to be decided then, subject to approvals. source

What happened next (17 Jul 2026 → 19 Oct 2026)

Price went from ₹1,348.00 to ₹1,685.80 by 19 Oct 2026 (+25.1%) while the Nifty 50 moved -5.9% — outperforming by 31.0 points.
Highest ₹1,855.50 on 16 Sep 2026; lowest ₹1,236.50 on 24 Jul 2026.
S1 1,288.30: broken on a closing basis on 22 Jul 2026.
S2 1,249.64: held on a closing basis.
R1 1,353.95: cleared on a closing basis on 03 Aug 2026.
R2 1,381.80: cleared on a closing basis on 03 Aug 2026.
200-day SMA: price was above it at the snapshot and stayed on the same side through the period.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 20 Jul 2026): revenue ₹2,448 crore (+27.6% YoY), net profit ₹220 crore (+78.9% YoY), operating margin 8% vs 4% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).

Later news

21 Jul 2026 Paytm Q1 FY27 net profit Rs 220 crore; board defers bonus issue — Q1 FY27 (Apr-Jun 2026) revenue from operations was Rs 2,448 crore, EBITDA Rs 203 crore and net profit Rs 220 crore, announced July 20. The board decided not to proceed with the proposed bonus issue. source
21 Jul 2026 Paytm Q1 FY27 profit rises 20% QoQ to Rs 220 crore — Revenue of Rs 2,448 crore was up 8% sequentially and EBITDA of Rs 203 crore (8% margin) was described as the company's highest-ever quarterly EBITDA. source
10 Aug 2026 Paytm shares surge nearly 10% as Bernstein raises target — Bernstein raised its target price to Rs 2,200 from Rs 1,500, citing a possible MDR revival from FY28; the stock touched an intraday high of about Rs 1,598. source
18 Aug 2026 Vijay Shekhar Sharma's entity sells about 3% of Paytm in Rs 2,949 crore block deal — Resilient Asset Management BV sold about 1.92 crore shares at an average Rs 1,535.10 to buyers including Goldman Sachs, BNP Paribas and several domestic mutual funds; proceeds go to Antfin under an existing debenture agreement. The 26th AGM was set for September 15. source
09 Sep 2026 Paytm shares hit 52-week high; company clarifies on AI report — Shares rose 5.23% to a 52-week high of Rs 1,756.20 after a media report on workplace AI agents; the company said its AI work was previously disclosed and the report did not concern any undisclosed material event. source

Educational summary. On 17 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture was mixed. Over the next three months the stock moved +25.1% against -5.9% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message lined up with what followed. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold One 97 Communications today.

Method designed by our founder, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 21 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

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