Life insurance Historical case study · data as of 02 Jul 2026 · published 05 Oct 2026 (95 days later)

HDFC Life — 100-point case study

How HDFC Life looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 02 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

Codes	NSE: HDFCLIFE · BSE: 540777
Close on 02 Jul 2026	₹571.35
Market cap then	₹1,24,178 crore
Valuation	P/E 65.0× · P/B 7.00×
Momentum	RSI (14) 42 · 1-year return -27.6%
Next 3 months	-6.5% vs Nifty 50 -7.3% (to 01 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

3 bullish · 23 neutral · 0 caution · 23 bearish — the picture leaned negative.

Fundamental — 50 points

8 bullish · 37 neutral · 1 caution · 3 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Price chart

Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance

Data note: HDFC Life is an insurer: Screener's 'Sales' line is premium and investment income, and ratios built for manufacturers (operating margin, working-capital days, debt/equity) say little about an insurer. Industry measures such as VNB margin and solvency ratio are not covered here. 14.5 crore new shares were allotted to HDFC Bank on 16 Jun 2026.

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 02 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Trend

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	Short-term trend (20 days)	slope +0.21%/day	Bullish	Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.21% a day — a short-term uptrend. Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2	Medium-term trend (~5 months)	3M return -6.4%	Bearish	The 100-session trend line was down (-0.24%/day) and the stock was -6.4% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bearish. Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3	Long-term trend (1 year)	1Y return -27.6%	Bearish	Compared with a year earlier the price was -27.6%. A weak year for the stock. Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4	Weekly chart trend	10W 590.80 / 30W 654.27	Bearish	On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close below the 10-week average, which sat below the 30-week. Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5	Swing structure (highs/lows)	last highs 624.05→605.00; lows 594.05→543.00	Bearish	The two most recent swing points showed lower swing highs and lower swing lows — classic downtrend structure. Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6	ADX (14) — trend strength	13.4	Neutral	ADX at 13.4 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction. Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7	+DI vs –DI	+DI 22.4 / –DI 28.0	Bearish	–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement. Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.

B. Moving averages

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
8	Price vs 20-day SMA	575.86 (-0.8%)	Bearish	Close of 571.35 was 0.8% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9	Price vs 50-day SMA	592.22 (-3.5%)	Bearish	Close of 571.35 was 3.5% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10	Price vs 200-day SMA	691.18 (-17.3%)	Bearish	Close of 571.35 was 17.3% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11	9 / 21 EMA crossover	9E 579.14 / 21E 582.14	Bearish	The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 30 Jun 2026. Bullish 9-day above 21-day · Bearish 9-day below 21-day · No neutral zone.
12	Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)	no cross in data window	Bearish	The 50-day average was 14.3% below the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window. Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13	50-day SMA slope	-2.0% in 20 sessions	Bearish	The 50-day average fell 2.0% over the past month — declining. Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14	MA ribbon alignment	576 / 592 / 626 / 691	Bearish	The 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bearish (20 < 50 < 100 < 200). Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15	Monthly anchored VWAP	570.41 (+0.2%)	Bullish	Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 570.41; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit. Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.

C. Momentum

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
16	RSI (14)	42.0	Bearish	RSI at 42.0 reflected soft, below-average momentum. Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17	RSI divergence (last 40 days)	none	Neutral	Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price. Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18	MACD line vs signal	MACD -3.89 / signal -4.05	Bullish	MACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive. Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19	MACD histogram (5-day change)	3.64 → 0.15	Bearish	The histogram fell over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was weakening. Bullish histogram rising (momentum improving) · Bearish histogram falling (momentum weakening) · No neutral zone.
20	MACD vs zero line	-3.89	Bearish	MACD below zero means the 12-day EMA was below the 26-day EMA — a negative momentum regime. Bullish MACD above zero · Bearish MACD below zero · No neutral zone.
21	Stochastic (14,3,3)	%K 46.6 / %D 54.2	Bearish	Slow stochastic at 46.6 was mid-range with %K below %D. Bullish between 20 and 80 with %K above %D · Bearish between 20 and 80 with %K below %D · Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
22	Williams %R (14)	-56.7	Neutral	%R of -56.7 put the close in the middle of its 14-day range. How to read: Caution above –20 (near the top) or below –80 (near the bottom). Neutral in the middle. This point is never tagged Bullish or Bearish.
23	CCI (20)	-23	Neutral	CCI at -23 was within the normal ±100 band. Bullish above +100 (unusually strong upward move) · Bearish below –100 (unusually strong downward move) · Neutral within ±100.
24	Rate of change (10-day)	-1.8%	Neutral	Price changed -1.8% over ten sessions. Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.

D. Volatility

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
25	Bollinger Band position (%B)	%B 0.43 (bands 545.60–606.11)	Neutral	%B of 0.43 — inside the bands, lower half. How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26	Bollinger width / squeeze	width 10.5% (56th pct of 6M)	Neutral	Band width was at the 56th percentile of the last six months, a normal level. How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27	ATR (14)	₹12.26 (2.1% of price)	Neutral	A typical day's range was about ₹12.26, or 2.1% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect. How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28	Historical volatility (30-day)	22.6% vs 1Y 21.5%	Neutral	Annualised 30-day volatility was 22.6%, close to the one-year level of 21.5%. How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29	Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)	558.37–605.32	Neutral	The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout. Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30	Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)	0.90	Neutral	A beta of 0.90 means the stock tended to move less than the Nifty 50 day to day. How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.

E. Volume & money flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
31	Volume vs 20-day average	last day 0.40× / 5-day 1.25×	Neutral	The final session traded 0.40× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.25× — heavier than usual participation. How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32	Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)	ratio 0.79	Bearish	Average volume on up days was 0.79× that on down days — distribution-leaning. Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33	On-Balance Volume (20d)	OBV falling	Bearish	OBV fell over the month while price fell — volume confirmed the price move. Bullish OBV rising · Bearish OBV falling · No neutral zone.
34	Accumulation/Distribution line	falling (20d)	Bearish	The A/D line fell, meaning closes tended to be in the lower part of daily ranges on meaningful volume. Bullish A/D line rising · Bearish A/D line falling · No neutral zone.
35	Chaikin Money Flow (20)	-0.09	Bearish	CMF at -0.09 indicated net outflows. Bullish above +0.05 (net inflows) · Bearish below –0.05 (net outflows) · Neutral between –0.05 and +0.05.
36	Money Flow Index (14)	52.3	Neutral	MFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 52.3. Bullish MFI 55–80 · Bearish MFI 20–45 · Neutral 45–55. Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
37	Liquidity (avg daily turnover)	₹165 cr/day	Neutral	About ₹165 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid. How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.

F. Price levels

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
38	Support levels (S1/S2/S3)	555.10 / 543.00	Neutral	Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 555.10, 2.9% below the close, then 543.00. How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39	Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)	590.00 / 605.00 / 626.67	Neutral	Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 590.00, 3.3% above the close, then 605.00, 626.67. How to read: Information only.
40	Monthly pivot points (for next month)	P 570.88 \| R1 576.97 \| S1 565.27	Neutral	Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 570.88; the close was above it. How to read: Information only.
41	Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)	23.6% 599 \| 38.2% 633 \| 50.0% 661 \| 61.8% 689	Neutral	Measuring the 6-month fall from 779.90 to 543.00, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 598.91. How to read: Information only.
42	52-week high / low	H 820.75 / L 543.00	Neutral	The close was 30.4% below the 52-week high and 5.2% above the 52-week low. Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43	Unfilled price gaps (6M)	2 open; latest gap-up 15 Jun at 557.85	Neutral	There were 2 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 15 Jun 2026, left an open level at 557.85 that price had not revisited. How to read: Information only.

G. Patterns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
44	Price structure / chart pattern	counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend	Neutral	Rule-based pattern scan: counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.) Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45	Breakout / breakdown (20-day)	range 543.00–605.00	Neutral	The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 543.00–605.00. Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46	Latest candlestick	Ordinary red candle	Neutral	On 02 Jul the candle opened 574.30, ranged 569.05–576.50 and closed 571.35: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own. Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47	Ichimoku Cloud	cloud 606.16–617.15; Tenkan 584.90 / Kijun 583.52	Bearish	Price was below the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bearish Ichimoku setup. Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.

H. Relative strength & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Relative strength vs Nifty 50	1M -4.4% / 3M -12.3%	Bearish	The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 12.3 points over three months and underperformed by 4.4 points over one month. Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49	Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)	6M -17.6%	Bearish	No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 17.6 points behind the Nifty 50. Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50	Technical summary	3 bullish · 23 bearish · 23 neutral · 0 caution	Bearish	Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned negative. Levels that mattered: support 555.10, resistance 590.00. This is a description of the chart on 02 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 02 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 02 Jul 2026 close.

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Valuation

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	P/E (trailing 12 months)	65.0×	Neutral	At ₹571.35 the market valued the company at about ₹1,24,178 crore, or 65.0× the ₹1,911 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth. How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2	Price / Book	7.00×	Neutral	Market cap was 7.00× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹17,750 crore. How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3	Price / Sales	1.25×	Neutral	The company was valued at 1.25× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹99,432 crore. How to read: Information only.
4	EV / EBITDA (approx.)	112.3×	Neutral	Enterprise value (market cap + ₹3,099 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 112.3× trailing operating profit of ₹1,133 crore. How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5	Earnings yield	1.5%	Neutral	The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹1.5 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds. How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6	PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)	5.50	Bearish	P/E of 65.0 divided by 3-year profit growth of 11.8% a year gives a PEG of 5.50. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7	Dividend yield (trailing 12M)	0.37%	Neutral	Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹2.1 a share, a 0.37% yield on the ₹571.35 price. Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8	Market capitalisation	₹1,24,178 cr	Neutral	At about ₹1.24 lakh crore the company was a large-cap. How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9	Graham number vs price	₹127.11 vs ₹571.35	Neutral	Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹127.11; the price was 349% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number. Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).

B. Growth

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
10	Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)	+2.6%	Neutral	Revenue for FY26 was ₹99,432 crore, +2.6% versus FY25. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% (revenue fell) · Neutral 0–10%.
11	Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)	-17.8%	Bearish	The Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹19,890 crore of revenue, -17.8% on the same quarter a year earlier. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
12	Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)	+5.6%	Neutral	FY26 net profit was ₹1,912 crore, +5.6% on FY25's ₹1,811 crore. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13	Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)	+4.6%	Neutral	Quarterly profit was ₹497 crore versus ₹475 crore a year earlier (+4.6%). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
14	Revenue CAGR (3 years)	12.3%	Caution	Revenue compounded at 12.3% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15	Profit CAGR (3 years)	11.8%	Neutral	Net profit compounded at 11.8% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16	Revenue CAGR (5 years)	6.8%	Neutral	Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 6.8% a year. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2024, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17	EPS growth FY26 (reported)	+5.4%	Neutral	Reported EPS went from ₹8.41 to ₹8.86 (+5.4%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.

C. Profitability

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
18	Operating margin FY26	2%	Neutral	Operating profit (EBITDA) was 2% of sales in FY26 versus 1% in FY25. How to read: Information only — normal margins differ a lot by industry.
19	Operating margin trend (4 quarters)	2% → 2% → 1% → 1%	Neutral	Quarterly margins moved from 2% to 1% over the last four quarters — broadly stable. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral when broadly stable.
20	Net profit margin FY26	1.9%	Neutral	₹1.9 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26. How to read: Information only.
21	Return on equity FY26	11.3%	Neutral	FY26 profit was 11.3% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak. Bullish above 18% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–18%. Around 15% or more is generally considered good.
22	ROCE FY26	10%	Neutral	Return on capital employed (debt + equity) was 10% in FY26. Bullish above 20% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–20%.
23	Return on assets FY26	0.49%	Neutral	Net profit was 0.49% of total assets. Bullish banks only: 1.5% or more · Bearish banks only: below 1% · Information only for non-banks.
24	Effective tax rate FY26	7%	Neutral	The company paid about 7% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%. How to read: Information only. India’s base corporate rate is about 25%.
25	Other income share of pre-tax profit	23%	Neutral	Non-operating 'other income' of ₹465 crore made up 23% of pre-tax profit. How to read: Caution above 25% (headline profit leans on non-core income). Neutral otherwise.

D. Balance sheet

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
26	Debt / equity	0.17	Bullish	Borrowings of ₹3,099 crore were 0.17× equity — very low leverage. Bullish below 0.3 (very low leverage) · Bearish above 1 (high leverage) · Neutral 0.3–1.
27	Debt / EBITDA	1.77×	Neutral	Debt equalled 1.77 years of FY26 operating profit. Bullish below 1× · Bearish above 3× · Neutral 1–3×.
28	Interest coverage	n/m	Neutral	Interest cost negligible — coverage not meaningful. Bullish above 8× · Bearish below 3× · Neutral 3–8×, or not meaningful when interest is negligible.
29	Book value growth	+9.9%	Neutral	Shareholders' equity grew +9.9% from ₹16,155 crore to ₹17,750 crore in FY26. Bullish above 10% (banks: above 12%) · Bearish below 0% (non-banks only) · Neutral otherwise.
30	Capital work in progress	₹139 cr (5% of fixed assets)	Neutral	Projects under construction (CWIP) were 5% of fixed assets — a modest pipeline. How to read: Information only. Above 20% means a big expansion pipeline that is not yet earning.
31	Working capital days	-6 days	Neutral	Working capital tied up equalled -6 days of sales (FY25: -6). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations. How to read: Information only. Lower is generally more efficient; negative means suppliers or customers fund the business.
32	Cash conversion cycle	0 days	Neutral	It took 0 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit. How to read: Information only. Shorter is generally better.
33	Debtor days	0 (FY25 0)	Neutral	Customers took 0 days on average to pay, versus 0 a year earlier. How to read: Caution when debtor days rose more than 20% in a year (collections stretching). Neutral otherwise.

E. Cash flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
34	Operating cash flow FY26	₹22,625 cr	Bullish	The business generated ₹22,625 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹15,597 crore in FY25. Bullish positive and higher than the year before · Bearish negative · Neutral when positive but lower. Information only for banks.
35	Free cash flow FY26	₹22,341 cr	Bullish	After capital spending, free cash flow was ₹22,341 crore. Bullish positive · Bearish negative · Neutral when not available.
36	Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)	11.83×	Bullish	Operating cash flow was 11.83× reported profit — profits were well backed by cash. Bullish above 1× (profits well backed by cash) · Caution below 0.7×. Neutral 0.7–1×.
37	Free-cash-flow yield	18.0%	Bullish	FY26 free cash flow was 18.0% of the snapshot market cap. Bullish above 4% · Neutral at 4% or less.
38	Free cash flow — 3-year total	₹48,228 cr	Bullish	Free cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹48,228 crore. Bullish positive total · Bearish negative total · Neutral when not available.
39	Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)	₹284 cr	Neutral	Implied capital expenditure was about ₹284 crore, 0.3% of sales. How to read: Information only.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
40	Dividend payout ratio FY26	24%	Neutral	The company paid out about 24% of FY26 profit as dividends. How to read: Information only. High payout suits mature businesses; growing firms often keep more.
41	Dividend consistency (3 years)	27% / 25% / 24%	Bullish	Payout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year. Bullish paid every year · Neutral when irregular. Never tagged Bearish.
42	Share capital change (FY25→FY26)	+0.2%	Neutral	Paid-up equity capital changed +0.2% (₹2,153 cr → ₹2,158 cr). Essentially unchanged — no dilution. Bullish fell 1% or more (a buyback) · Caution when it rose 1% or more (new shares issued). Neutral when unchanged, or for a bonus/split.

G. Ownership

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
43	Promoter holding	50.21% (-0.11 pts YoY)	Neutral	Promoters owned 50.21% at Mar 2026 versus 50.32% a year earlier. Bearish fell more than 1 percentage point in a year · Neutral otherwise. Never tagged Bullish.
44	Foreign institutional holding	22.52% (-2.44 pts YoY)	Bearish	FIIs held 22.52% at Mar 2026, down from 24.96% a year before. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
45	Domestic institutional holding	17.25% (+3.15 pts YoY)	Bullish	Mutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 17.25%, up from 14.10%. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
46	Number of shareholders	6.9 lakh (-10.4% YoY)	Neutral	The shareholder count moved from 7.7 lakh to 6.9 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest. How to read: Information only — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47	Promoter pledge	none reported	Neutral	Our source showed no pledged promoter shares. How to read: Information only. Any sizeable pledge is a risk to note.

H. Quality & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)	6/8	Neutral	Passed: positive profit, positive operating cash flow, CFO > net profit, leverage fell, operating margin improved, no meaningful dilution (<3%). Failed: ROA improved, asset turnover improved. Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49	Automated screen flags	1 strength(s) · 5 weakness(es)	Neutral	Strengths: Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 25.3%. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 5.93 times its book value; The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 6.81% over past five years; Tax rate appears low; Company has a low return on equity of 11.1% over last 3 years; Earnings include an other income of Rs.931 Cr. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.) How to read: Information only.
50	Fundamental summary	8 bullish · 3 bearish · 37 neutral · 1 caution	Bullish	On the numbers published by 02 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 65.0×, P/B 7.00×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 02 Apr 2026 – 02 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

16 Apr 2026 HDFC Life Q4 FY26 PAT rises ~5% YoY to Rs 497 crore; final dividend of Rs 2.10 recommended — HDFC Life reported Q4 FY26 profit after tax of about Rs 497.5 crore (up ~4.7% YoY) and FY26 PAT of about Rs 1,910 crore (up ~6%). Net premium income for the quarter was about Rs 25,998 crore (up ~9%); FY26 value of new business was about Rs 4,034 crore (up ~2%). The board recommended a final dividend of Rs 2.10 per share, subject to shareholder approval. source
17 Apr 2026 HDFC Bank board approves Rs 1,000 crore investment in HDFC Life via preferential issue — HDFC Bank's board approved investing up to Rs 1,000 crore in its subsidiary HDFC Life through a preferential equity issue, possibly in one or more tranches and subject to regulatory approval. source
12 Jun 2026 HDFC Life fixes June 19 as record date for Rs 2.10 final dividend — HDFC Life set June 19, 2026 as the record date for its FY26 final dividend of Rs 2.10 per share, subject to approval at its 26th AGM scheduled for July 16, 2026. source
16 Jun 2026 HDFC Life allots about 1.45 crore shares to HDFC Bank for Rs 1,000 crore — HDFC Life allotted 1,45,23,906 equity shares to promoter HDFC Bank on a preferential basis at Rs 688.52 per share (about Rs 1,000 crore), taking total equity shares to about 217.25 crore. source
25 Jun 2026 HDFC Life annual report: FY26 premiums up 12%, retail protection up 43% — HDFC Life's FY26 annual disclosures cited 12% growth in total premiums, 43% growth in retail protection, PAT of about Rs 1,910 crore, AUM of about Rs 3.75 lakh crore and embedded value of about Rs 62,139 crore. source

What happened next (02 Jul 2026 → 01 Oct 2026)

Price went from ₹571.35 to ₹534.20 by 01 Oct 2026 (-6.5%) while the Nifty 50 moved -7.3% — outperforming by 0.8 points.
Highest ₹588.00 on 16 Jul 2026; lowest ₹508.70 on 10 Sep 2026.
S1 555.10: broken on a closing basis on 09 Jul 2026.
S2 543.00: broken on a closing basis on 04 Aug 2026.
R1 590.00: not cleared on a closing basis.
R2 605.00: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and stayed on the same side through the period.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 15 Jul 2026): revenue ₹33,759 crore (+14.6% YoY), net profit ₹611 crore (+11.5% YoY), operating margin 2% vs 2% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).

Later news

15 Jul 2026 HDFC Life Q1 FY27 PAT up 12% to about Rs 611 crore; VNB margin steady at ~25% — For April-June 2026, HDFC Life reported PAT of about Rs 611 crore (up ~12% YoY), value of new business of about Rs 879 crore (up ~9%) with VNB margin around 25%, APE up ~9% and AUM of about Rs 4.01 lakh crore. source
16 Jul 2026 HDFC Life shares slip despite Q1 beat as brokerages stay cautious — A day after results, the stock declined intraday. Net premium rose about 14% to roughly Rs 16,548 crore. Motilal Oswal kept Buy (target Rs 690) and JM Financial kept Add (target Rs 640). source
09 Sep 2026 HDFC Bank and HDFC Life hit fresh 52-week lows, down about 30% in 2026 — HDFC Life traded near Rs 519, down about 31% year-to-date, hitting a 52-week low; the report cited slower business growth and macro concerns including high crude oil prices and rate-hike worries. source
24 Sep 2026 HDFC Life shares fall 6.16% to close at Rs 526.90 — The stock closed at Rs 526.90, down 6.16% on the day with an intraday low of Rs 514, near its 52-week low of Rs 509; the report did not state a specific trigger. source

Educational summary. On 02 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned negative and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -6.5% against -7.3% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message lined up with what followed. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold HDFC Life today.

Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 05 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

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