Zinc, lead & silver minerHistorical case study · data as of 07 Jul 2026 · published 10 Oct 2026 (95 days later)
Hindustan Zinc — 100-point case study
How Hindustan Zinc looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 07 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Technical analysis — 50 points
Calculated by code from daily prices up to 07 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Trend
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
Short-term trend (20 days)
slope -0.37%/day
Bearish
Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was falling about 0.37% a day — a short-term downtrend.
Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2
Medium-term trend (~5 months)
3M return +3.0%
Neutral
The 100-session trend line was down (-0.02%/day) and the stock was +3.0% over three months, so the medium-term picture was neutral.
Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3
Long-term trend (1 year)
1Y return +21.4%
Bullish
Compared with a year earlier the price was +21.4%. A strong positive year.
Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4
Weekly chart trend
10W 581.40 / 30W 588.50
Bearish
On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close below the 10-week average, which sat below the 30-week.
Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5
Swing structure (highs/lows)
last highs 659.85→579.35; lows 534.45→516.85
Bearish
The two most recent swing points showed lower swing highs and lower swing lows — classic downtrend structure.
Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6
ADX (14) — trend strength
26.1
Bearish
ADX at 26.1 shows a trend of moderate strength. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7
+DI vs –DI
+DI 19.3 / –DI 32.8
Bearish
–DI was above +DI: sellers had the upper hand in directional movement.
Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.
B. Moving averages
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
8
Price vs 20-day SMA
547.58 (-3.0%)
Bearish
Close of 531.10 was 3.0% below the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9
Price vs 50-day SMA
593.47 (-10.5%)
Bearish
Close of 531.10 was 10.5% below the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10
Price vs 200-day SMA
559.58 (-5.1%)
Bearish
Close of 531.10 was 5.1% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative.
Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11
9 / 21 EMA crossover
9E 536.74 / 21E 552.11
Bearish
The 9-day EMA was below the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 04 Jun 2026.
The 50-day average was 6.1% above the 200-day. No 50/200 crossover occurred in the data window.
Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13
50-day SMA slope
-0.2% in 20 sessions
Neutral
The 50-day average fell 0.2% over the past month — flattening.
Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14
MA ribbon alignment
548 / 593 / 583 / 560
Neutral
The 20/50/100/200-day averages were tangled — no clean order, typical of a transition or range.
Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15
Monthly anchored VWAP
534.15 (-0.6%)
Bearish
Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 534.15; the close was below it — buyers that month were on average under water.
Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.
C. Momentum
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
16
RSI (14)
38.5
Bearish
RSI at 38.5 reflected soft, below-average momentum.
Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17
RSI divergence (last 40 days)
none
Neutral
Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price.
Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18
MACD line vs signal
MACD -17.42 / signal -17.86
Bullish
MACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive.
Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19
MACD histogram (5-day change)
-3.12 → 0.44
Bullish
The histogram rose over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was improving.
Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.
D. Volatility
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
25
Bollinger Band position (%B)
%B 0.27 (bands 512.02–583.13)
Neutral
%B of 0.27 — inside the bands, lower half.
How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26
Bollinger width / squeeze
width 13.0% (20th pct of 6M)
Neutral
Band width was at the 20th percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27
ATR (14)
₹15.75 (3.0% of price)
Neutral
A typical day's range was about ₹15.75, or 3.0% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28
Historical volatility (30-day)
34.1% vs 1Y 37.3%
Neutral
Annualised 30-day volatility was 34.1%, close to the one-year level of 37.3%.
How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29
Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)
521.09–580.65
Neutral
The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30
Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)
1.16
Neutral
A beta of 1.16 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.
E. Volume & money flow
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
31
Volume vs 20-day average
last day 0.86× / 5-day 0.81×
Neutral
The final session traded 0.86× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.81× — normal participation.
How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32
Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)
ratio 0.74
Bearish
Average volume on up days was 0.74× that on down days — distribution-leaning.
Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33
On-Balance Volume (20d)
OBV falling
Bearish
OBV fell over the month while price fell — volume confirmed the price move.
About ₹219 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.
F. Price levels
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
38
Support levels (S1/S2/S3)
516.85 / 483.00 / 468.20
Neutral
Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 516.85, 2.8% below the close, then 483.00, 468.20.
How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39
Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)
574.62 / 602.48 / 630.70
Neutral
Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 574.62, 8.2% above the close, then 602.48, 630.70.
How to read: Information only.
40
Monthly pivot points (for next month)
P 532.25 | R1 543.85 | S1 519.50
Neutral
Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 532.25; the close was below it.
How to read: Information only.
41
Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)
23.6% 543 | 38.2% 579 | 50.0% 608 | 61.8% 638
Neutral
Measuring the 6-month fall from 733.00 to 484.00, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 542.76.
How to read: Information only.
42
52-week high / low
H 733.00 / L 413.50
Neutral
The close was 27.5% below the 52-week high and 28.4% above the 52-week low.
Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43
Unfilled price gaps (6M)
2 open; latest gap-down 15 May at 664.00
Neutral
There were 2 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-down on 15 May 2026, left an open level at 664.00 that price had not revisited.
How to read: Information only.
G. Patterns
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
44
Price structure / chart pattern
broad sideways range
Neutral
Rule-based pattern scan: broad sideways range. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45
Breakout / breakdown (20-day)
range 516.85–579.35
Neutral
The close was inside the prior 20-day range of 516.85–579.35.
Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46
Latest candlestick
Ordinary red candle
Neutral
On 07 Jul the candle opened 536.70, ranged 529.65–538.50 and closed 531.10: Ordinary red candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47
Ichimoku Cloud
cloud 581.12–631.60; Tenkan 531.83 / Kijun 578.40
Bearish
Price was below the cloud and the Tenkan line was below the Kijun line — a bearish Ichimoku setup.
Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.
H. Relative strength & summary
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
48
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
1M -10.7% / 3M -4.4%
Bearish
The stock underperformed the Nifty 50 by 4.4 points over three months and underperformed by 10.7 points over one month.
Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49
Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)
6M -8.2%
Bearish
No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 8.2 points behind the Nifty 50.
Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50
Technical summary
5 bullish · 20 bearish · 24 neutral · 0 caution
Bearish
Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned negative. Levels that mattered: support 516.85, resistance 574.62. This is a description of the chart on 07 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
Fundamental analysis — 50 points
Uses only results published by 07 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 07 Jul 2026 close.
How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →
A. Valuation
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
1
P/E (trailing 12 months)
16.2×
Neutral
At ₹531.10 the market valued the company at about ₹2,24,095 crore, or 16.2× the ₹13,832 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a moderate multiple.
How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2
Price / Book
9.90×
Neutral
Market cap was 9.90× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹22,629 crore.
How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3
Price / Sales
5.49×
Neutral
The company was valued at 5.49× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹40,844 crore.
How to read: Information only.
4
EV / EBITDA (approx.)
10.6×
Neutral
Enterprise value (market cap + ₹8,728 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 10.6× trailing operating profit of ₹22,064 crore.
How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5
Earnings yield
6.2%
Neutral
The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹6.2 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6
PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)
1.69
Neutral
P/E of 16.2 divided by 3-year profit growth of 9.6% a year gives a PEG of 1.69. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive.
Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7
Dividend yield (trailing 12M)
2.07%
Neutral
Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹11 a share, a 2.07% yield on the ₹531.10 price.
Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8
Market capitalisation
₹2,24,095 cr
Neutral
At about ₹2.24 lakh crore the company was a large-cap.
How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9
Graham number vs price
₹198.89 vs ₹531.10
Neutral
Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹198.89; the price was 167% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.
Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).
B. Growth
#
Point
Reading
Tag
Commentary
10
Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)
+19.8%
Bullish
Revenue for FY26 was ₹40,844 crore, +19.8% versus FY25.
Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49
Automated screen flags
3 strength(s) · 2 weakness(es)
Neutral
Strengths: Company has reduced debt; Company is expected to give good quarter; Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 69.0%. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 10.2 times its book value; Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -4.21%. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
How to read: Information only.
50
Fundamental summary
18 bullish · 1 bearish · 29 neutral · 1 caution
Bullish
On the numbers published by 07 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 16.2×, P/B 9.90×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell.
Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.
News in the three months before the snapshot
Company news from 07 Apr 2026 – 07 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.
24 Apr 2026Hindustan Zinc Q4 FY26 net profit rises 68% YoY to Rs 5,033 crore — Q4 FY26 consolidated net profit Rs 5,033 crore (+68% YoY), EBITDA Rs 7,747 crore (+61%); FY26 revenue Rs 40,844 crore, up 20% from FY25. source
24 Apr 2026Hindustan Zinc declares interim dividend of Rs 11 per share — Board declared first interim dividend for FY2026-27 of Rs 11 per share (face value Rs 2), totalling Rs 4,648 crore; record date 30 April 2026. source
29 May 2026Vedanta releases encumbrance on 50.1% Hindustan Zinc stake — Vedanta released encumbrance on 50.1% of Hindustan Zinc shares after fully redeeming NCDs on 14 May 2026; a separate pledge on 0.78% of shares was in process of release. source
Price went from ₹531.10 to ₹543.50 by 09 Oct 2026 (+2.3%) while the Nifty 50 moved -7.7% — outperforming by 10.0 points.
Highest ₹632.00 on 26 Aug 2026; lowest ₹514.95 on 17 Jul 2026.
S1 516.85: held on a closing basis.
S2 483.00: held on a closing basis.
R1 574.62: cleared on a closing basis on 05 Aug 2026.
R2 602.48: cleared on a closing basis on 07 Aug 2026.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and crossed above on 05 Aug 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 24 Jul 2026): revenue ₹13,747 crore (+76.9% YoY), net profit ₹5,469 crore (+144.8% YoY), operating margin 59% vs 50% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).
Later news
24 Jul 2026Hindustan Zinc Q1 FY27 net profit up 145% YoY to Rs 5,469 crore — Revenue from operations Rs 13,747 crore (+76.9% YoY from Rs 7,771 crore); consolidated net profit Rs 5,469 crore vs Rs 2,234 crore a year earlier. source
24 Jul 2026Hindustan Zinc appoints Amarendu Prakash as CEO — Former SAIL Chairman Amarendu Prakash appointed Chief Executive Officer and Whole-time Director effective 1 August 2026. source
03 Oct 2026Hindustan Zinc reports Q2 FY27 production update — Q2 FY27 mined metal 271 kt (+5% YoY), refined/saleable metal 264 kt (+7%), silver 173 tonnes (+20%); H1 FY27 mined metal 539 kt (+3%). source
Educational summary. On 07 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned negative and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved +2.3% against -7.7% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Hindustan Zinc today.
Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.
Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 10 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction