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Cement Historical case study · data as of 03 Jul 2026 · published 07 Oct 2026 (96 days later)

UltraTech Cement — 100-point case study

How UltraTech Cement looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 03 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

Codes	NSE: ULTRACEMCO · BSE: 532538
Close on 03 Jul 2026	₹11,723.00
Market cap then	₹3,45,452 crore
Valuation	P/E 42.2× · P/B 4.51×
Momentum	RSI (14) 61 · 1-year return -5.4%
Next 3 months	-8.3% vs Nifty 50 -6.2% (to 06 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

17 bullish · 21 neutral · 2 caution · 9 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Fundamental — 50 points

14 bullish · 33 neutral · 0 caution · 2 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Price chart

Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance

Data note: Prices for Dec 2025–Feb 2026 and Sep–Oct 2026 are from equitypandit.com (Yahoo was rate-limited) and match Yahoo/stockanalysis where they overlap. The FY26 dividend payout looks high because of a one-off ₹240 special dividend.

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 03 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Trend

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	Short-term trend (20 days)	slope +0.33%/day	Bullish	Over the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.33% a day — a short-term uptrend. Bullish slope above +0.10% a day (short-term uptrend) · Bearish slope below –0.10% a day (short-term downtrend) · Neutral between the two: a flat, sideways phase.
2	Medium-term trend (~5 months)	3M return +9.1%	Bearish	The 100-session trend line was down (-0.12%/day) and the stock was +9.1% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bearish. Bullish slope above +0.05% a day · Bearish slope below –0.05% a day · Neutral in between.
3	Long-term trend (1 year)	1Y return -5.4%	Neutral	Compared with a year earlier the price was -5.4%. Little net progress over twelve months. Bullish up more than 10% in a year · Bearish down more than 10% in a year · Neutral between –10% and +10%.
4	Weekly chart trend	10W 11,468.20 / 30W 11,759.30	Neutral	On the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close tangled between the 10-week and 30-week averages. Bullish weekly close above the 10-week average, which is above the 30-week · Bearish weekly close below the 10-week average, which is below the 30-week · Neutral when they are tangled.
5	Swing structure (highs/lows)	last highs 11,796.00→11,565.00; lows 11,211.00→10,706.00	Bearish	The two most recent swing points showed lower swing highs and lower swing lows — classic downtrend structure. Bullish higher highs and higher lows (uptrend structure) · Bearish lower highs and lower lows (downtrend structure) · Neutral when one is higher and the other lower.
6	ADX (14) — trend strength	13.0	Neutral	ADX at 13.0 signals a weak or absent trend (below 20) — range-bound conditions. ADX measures strength only, not direction. Bullish ADX 20 or more with +DI above –DI (a real trend, pointing up) · Bearish ADX 20 or more with –DI above +DI (a real trend, pointing down) · Neutral below 20: no clear trend. 20–30 is a moderate trend, above 30 a strong one.
7	+DI vs –DI	+DI 30.7 / –DI 20.9	Bullish	+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure. Bullish +DI above –DI · Bearish –DI above +DI · No neutral zone for this point.

B. Moving averages

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
8	Price vs 20-day SMA	11,269.50 (+4.0%)	Bullish	Close of 11,723.00 was 4.0% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
9	Price vs 50-day SMA	11,508.68 (+1.9%)	Bullish	Close of 11,723.00 was 1.9% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
10	Price vs 200-day SMA	11,866.27 (-1.2%)	Bearish	Close of 11,723.00 was 1.2% below the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was negative. Bullish close above the average · Bearish close below the average · No neutral zone.
11	9 / 21 EMA crossover	9E 11,460.28 / 21E 11,388.30	Bullish	The 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 24 Jun 2026. Bullish 9-day above 21-day · Bearish 9-day below 21-day · No neutral zone.
12	Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)	last death cross 06 Apr 2026	Bearish	The 50-day average was 3.0% below the 200-day. The most recent signal was a death cross on 06 Apr 2026. Bullish 50-day above 200-day (after a “golden cross”) · Bearish 50-day below 200-day (after a “death cross”) · No neutral zone.
13	50-day SMA slope	+0.1% in 20 sessions	Neutral	The 50-day average rose 0.1% over the past month — flattening. Bullish rose more than 0.5% · Bearish fell more than 0.5% · Neutral in between: flattening.
14	MA ribbon alignment	11,270 / 11,509 / 11,711 / 11,866	Bearish	The 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bearish (20 < 50 < 100 < 200). Bullish neatly stacked 20 > 50 > 100 > 200 · Bearish neatly stacked 20 < 50 < 100 < 200 · Neutral when tangled (a transition or range).
15	Monthly anchored VWAP	11,549.29 (+1.5%)	Bullish	Anchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 11,549.29; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit. Bullish close above VWAP (that month’s buyers on average in profit) · Bearish close below VWAP · No neutral zone.

C. Momentum

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
16	RSI (14)	60.7	Bullish	RSI at 60.7 showed positive momentum without being overbought. Bullish RSI 55–70 (positive momentum, not stretched) · Bearish RSI 30–45 (soft momentum) · Neutral 45–55. Caution at 70 or above (overbought) or 30 or below (oversold).
17	RSI divergence (last 40 days)	none	Neutral	Comparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: no divergence — RSI moved in line with price. Bullish bullish divergence: price made a lower low but RSI a higher low · Caution for a bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high). Neutral when RSI moved in line with price.
18	MACD line vs signal	MACD 39.35 / signal -13.81	Bullish	MACD was above its signal line — momentum turning or staying positive. Bullish MACD above signal · Bearish MACD below signal · No neutral zone.
19	MACD histogram (5-day change)	44.54 → 53.16	Bullish	The histogram rose over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was improving. Bullish histogram rising (momentum improving) · Bearish histogram falling (momentum weakening) · No neutral zone.
20	MACD vs zero line	39.35	Bullish	MACD above zero means the 12-day EMA was above the 26-day EMA — a positive momentum regime. Bullish MACD above zero · Bearish MACD below zero · No neutral zone.
21	Stochastic (14,3,3)	%K 85.6 / %D 74.8	Caution	Slow stochastic at 85.6 was in overbought territory (>80). Bullish between 20 and 80 with %K above %D · Bearish between 20 and 80 with %K below %D · Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
22	Williams %R (14)	-4.0	Caution	%R of -4.0 put the close near the top of its 14-day range. How to read: Caution above –20 (near the top) or below –80 (near the bottom). Neutral in the middle. This point is never tagged Bullish or Bearish.
23	CCI (20)	127	Bullish	CCI at 127 signalled an unusually strong upward deviation (>+100). Bullish above +100 (unusually strong upward move) · Bearish below –100 (unusually strong downward move) · Neutral within ±100.
24	Rate of change (10-day)	+2.6%	Bullish	Price changed +2.6% over ten sessions. Bullish up more than 2% · Bearish down more than 2% · Neutral between –2% and +2%.

D. Volatility

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
25	Bollinger Band position (%B)	%B 0.92 (bands 10,732.62–11,806.38)	Neutral	%B of 0.92 — inside the bands, upper half. How to read: Caution above 1 or below 0 (outside the bands — an overextended move). Neutral inside the bands.
26	Bollinger width / squeeze	width 9.5% (56th pct of 6M)	Neutral	Band width was at the 56th percentile of the last six months, a normal level. How to read: Caution when the width is in the lowest 15% of six months (a “squeeze” that often comes before a bigger move, direction unknown). Neutral otherwise.
27	ATR (14)	₹210.54 (1.8% of price)	Neutral	A typical day's range was about ₹210.54, or 1.8% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect. How to read: Information only. A higher % means bigger normal daily swings.
28	Historical volatility (30-day)	19.7% vs 1Y 22.8%	Neutral	Annualised 30-day volatility was 19.7%, close to the one-year level of 22.8%. How to read: Caution when 30-day volatility is more than 1.25× the one-year level. Neutral otherwise.
29	Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)	10,986.15–11,793.08	Neutral	The close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout. Bullish close above the upper channel (strong upward push) · Bearish close below the lower channel · Neutral inside the channel.
30	Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)	1.27	Neutral	A beta of 1.27 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day. How to read: Information only. Above 1.1 moves more than the market, below 0.9 less, around 1 in line.

E. Volume & money flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
31	Volume vs 20-day average	last day 0.57× / 5-day 0.70×	Neutral	The final session traded 0.57× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 0.70× — lighter than usual participation. How to read: Information only. Above 1.2× is heavier than usual participation, below 0.8× lighter.
32	Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)	ratio 0.79	Bearish	Average volume on up days was 0.79× that on down days — distribution-leaning. Bullish ratio above 1.15 (accumulation-leaning) · Bearish ratio below 0.85 (distribution-leaning) · Neutral between 0.85 and 1.15.
33	On-Balance Volume (20d)	OBV falling	Bearish	OBV fell over the month while price rose — volume diverged from price. Bullish OBV rising · Bearish OBV falling · No neutral zone.
34	Accumulation/Distribution line	falling (20d)	Bearish	The A/D line fell, meaning closes tended to be in the lower part of daily ranges on meaningful volume. Bullish A/D line rising · Bearish A/D line falling · No neutral zone.
35	Chaikin Money Flow (20)	-0.05	Bearish	CMF at -0.05 indicated net outflows. Bullish above +0.05 (net inflows) · Bearish below –0.05 (net outflows) · Neutral between –0.05 and +0.05.
36	Money Flow Index (14)	59.0	Bullish	MFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 59.0. Bullish MFI 55–80 · Bearish MFI 20–45 · Neutral 45–55. Caution above 80 (overbought) or below 20 (oversold).
37	Liquidity (avg daily turnover)	₹313 cr/day	Neutral	About ₹313 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — liquid. How to read: Information only. Above ₹500 crore a day is highly liquid, above ₹50 crore liquid, below that moderately liquid.

F. Price levels

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
38	Support levels (S1/S2/S3)	10,639.50 / 10,345.00	Neutral	Nearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 10,639.50, 10.2% below the close, then 10,345.00. How to read: Information only. Levels to watch, not good or bad.
39	Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)	12,399.19	Neutral	Nearest resistance (prior swing highs) sat at 12,399.19, 5.8% above the close. How to read: Information only.
40	Monthly pivot points (for next month)	P 11,588.33 \| R1 11,878.67 \| S1 11,432.67	Neutral	Classic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 11,588.33; the close was above it. How to read: Information only.
41	Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)	23.6% 10,982 \| 38.2% 11,389 \| 50.0% 11,718 \| 61.8% 12,046	Neutral	Measuring the 6-month fall from 13,110.00 to 10,325.00, the close was nearest the 50.0% retracement at 11,717.50. How to read: Information only.
42	52-week high / low	H 13,110.00 / L 10,325.00	Neutral	The close was 10.6% below the 52-week high and 13.5% above the 52-week low. Bullish within 5% of the 52-week high · Bearish within 5% of the 52-week low · Neutral in between.
43	Unfilled price gaps (6M)	4 open; latest gap-up 03 Jul at 11,568.00	Neutral	There were 4 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 03 Jul 2026, left an open level at 11,568.00 that price had not revisited. How to read: Information only.

G. Patterns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
44	Price structure / chart pattern	counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend	Neutral	Rule-based pattern scan: counter-trend bounce inside a larger downtrend. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.) Bullish rising channel (both trends up) · Bearish falling channel (both trends down) · Neutral for tight consolidation, a bounce in a downtrend, a pullback in an uptrend, or a sideways range.
45	Breakout / breakdown (20-day)	range 10,706.00–11,674.00	Bullish	The close was breakout above the prior 20-day range of 10,706.00–11,674.00 — a range break. Bullish close above the 20-day high (breakout) · Bearish close below the 20-day low (breakdown) · Neutral inside the range.
46	Latest candlestick	Bullish marubozu-type candle	Bullish	On 03 Jul the candle opened 11,577.00, ranged 11,577.00–11,744.00 and closed 11,723.00: Bullish marubozu-type candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own. Bullish hammer, bullish engulfing or bullish marubozu · Bearish shooting star, bearish engulfing or bearish marubozu · Neutral for a doji, inside bar or ordinary candle. Single candles are weak signals.
47	Ichimoku Cloud	cloud 11,303.50–11,625.00; Tenkan 11,481.50 / Kijun 11,242.50	Bullish	Price was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup. Bullish close above the cloud · Bearish close below the cloud · Neutral inside the cloud.

H. Relative strength & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Relative strength vs Nifty 50	1M +1.9% / 3M +0.4%	Neutral	The stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 0.4 points over three months and outperformed by 1.9 points over one month. Bullish ahead of the Nifty 50 by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
49	Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)	6M +6.6%	Bullish	No sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 6.6 points ahead of the Nifty 50. Bullish ahead by more than 2 points · Bearish behind by more than 2 points · Neutral within ±2 points.
50	Technical summary	17 bullish · 9 bearish · 21 neutral · 2 caution	Bullish	Across the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 10,639.50, resistance 12,399.19. This is a description of the chart on 03 Jul 2026, not a forecast. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The chart is called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more, negative when bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 5 or more (“positive”) · Bearish bearish tags beat bullish ones by 5 or more (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 03 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 03 Jul 2026 close.

How to read the tags. Each of the 50 points gets one tag. Bullish the reading was favourable. Bearish the reading was unfavourable. Neutral the reading was in a normal range, or gave no clear message. Caution a warning sign or an unusual reading that deserves a closer look. Point 50 counts the other 49 tags. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Under each point you will see what reading earns which tag. Tags describe the data on the snapshot date. They are not signals to buy or sell. Full guide to all 100 points →

A. Valuation

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
1	P/E (trailing 12 months)	42.2×	Neutral	At ₹11,723.00 the market valued the company at about ₹3,45,452 crore, or 42.2× the ₹8,188 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth. How to read: Information only. Below 15 is a low multiple, 15–30 moderate, above 30 a premium (the market expects growth). Compare with peers and the company’s own history.
2	Price / Book	4.51×	Neutral	Market cap was 4.51× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹76,624 crore. How to read: Information only. Main yardstick for banks; asset-light businesses usually trade at high P/B.
3	Price / Sales	3.90×	Neutral	The company was valued at 3.90× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹88,511 crore. How to read: Information only.
4	EV / EBITDA (approx.)	21.7×	Neutral	Enterprise value (market cap + ₹23,755 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 21.7× trailing operating profit of ₹17,005 crore. How to read: Information only. Lower means cheaper relative to operating profit.
5	Earnings yield	2.4%	Neutral	The inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹2.4 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds. How to read: Information only. Often compared with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6	PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)	2.44	Bearish	P/E of 42.2 divided by 3-year profit growth of 17.3% a year gives a PEG of 2.44. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Bullish below 1 (growth cheaply priced) · Bearish above 2 (growth expensively priced) · Neutral 1–2, or when profit did not grow (not meaningful).
7	Dividend yield (trailing 12M)	0.66%	Neutral	Dividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹77.5 a share, a 0.66% yield on the ₹11,723.00 price. Bullish above 3% · Neutral at 3% or less. Never tagged Bearish.
8	Market capitalisation	₹3,45,452 cr	Neutral	At about ₹3.45 lakh crore the company was a large-cap. How to read: Information only. Above ₹1 lakh crore large-cap, ₹30,000 crore–₹1 lakh crore mid-cap, below that small-cap (our rule of thumb).
9	Graham number vs price	₹4,031.93 vs ₹11,723.00	Neutral	Benjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹4,031.93; the price was 191% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number. Bullish price below the Graham number · Neutral when the price is above it (most quality companies are).

B. Growth

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
10	Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)	+16.5%	Bullish	Revenue for FY26 was ₹88,512 crore, +16.5% versus FY25. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% (revenue fell) · Neutral 0–10%.
11	Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)	+11.9%	Bullish	The Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹25,799 crore of revenue, +11.9% on the same quarter a year earlier. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
12	Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)	+35.6%	Bullish	FY26 net profit was ₹8,188 crore, +35.6% on FY25's ₹6,040 crore. Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%. Caution if a one-off item distorted the figure.
13	Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)	+21.2%	Bullish	Quarterly profit was ₹3,000 crore versus ₹2,475 crore a year earlier (+21.2%). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.
14	Revenue CAGR (3 years)	11.9%	Neutral	Revenue compounded at 11.9% a year from FY23 to FY26. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%. Caution if an acquisition inflated it.
15	Profit CAGR (3 years)	17.3%	Bullish	Net profit compounded at 17.3% a year from FY23 to FY26. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
16	Revenue CAGR (5 years)	14.6%	Bullish	Over five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 14.6% a year. Bullish above 12% a year · Bearish below 5% a year · Neutral 5–12%.
17	EPS growth FY26 (reported)	+35.2%	Bullish	Reported EPS went from ₹204.94 to ₹277.10 (+35.2%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Bullish above 10% · Bearish below 0% · Neutral 0–10%.

C. Profitability

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
18	Operating margin FY26	19%	Neutral	Operating profit (EBITDA) was 19% of sales in FY26 versus 17% in FY25. How to read: Information only — normal margins differ a lot by industry.
19	Operating margin trend (4 quarters)	21% → 16% → 18% → 22%	Neutral	Quarterly margins moved from 21% to 22% over the last four quarters — broadly stable. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral when broadly stable.
20	Net profit margin FY26	9.3%	Neutral	₹9.3 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26. How to read: Information only.
21	Return on equity FY26	11.1%	Neutral	FY26 profit was 11.1% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak. Bullish above 18% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–18%. Around 15% or more is generally considered good.
22	ROCE FY26	13%	Neutral	Return on capital employed (debt + equity) was 13% in FY26. Bullish above 20% · Bearish below 10% · Neutral 10–20%.
23	Return on assets FY26	5.79%	Neutral	Net profit was 5.79% of total assets. Bullish banks only: 1.5% or more · Bearish banks only: below 1% · Information only for non-banks.
24	Effective tax rate FY26	25%	Neutral	The company paid about 25% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%. How to read: Information only. India’s base corporate rate is about 25%.
25	Other income share of pre-tax profit	4%	Neutral	Non-operating 'other income' of ₹439 crore made up 4% of pre-tax profit. How to read: Caution above 25% (headline profit leans on non-core income). Neutral otherwise.

D. Balance sheet

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
26	Debt / equity	0.31	Neutral	Borrowings of ₹23,755 crore were 0.31× equity — moderate leverage. Bullish below 0.3 (very low leverage) · Bearish above 1 (high leverage) · Neutral 0.3–1.
27	Debt / EBITDA	1.40×	Neutral	Debt equalled 1.40 years of FY26 operating profit. Bullish below 1× · Bearish above 3× · Neutral 1–3×.
28	Interest coverage	6.8×	Neutral	Earnings before interest and tax covered interest cost 6.8 times. Bullish above 8× · Bearish below 3× · Neutral 3–8×, or not meaningful when interest is negligible.
29	Book value growth	+8.4%	Neutral	Shareholders' equity grew +8.4% from ₹70,707 crore to ₹76,624 crore in FY26. Bullish above 10% (banks: above 12%) · Bearish below 0% (non-banks only) · Neutral otherwise.
30	Capital work in progress	₹8,742 cr (9% of fixed assets)	Neutral	Projects under construction (CWIP) were 9% of fixed assets — a modest pipeline. How to read: Information only. Above 20% means a big expansion pipeline that is not yet earning.
31	Working capital days	-57 days	Neutral	Working capital tied up equalled -57 days of sales (FY25: -64). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations. How to read: Information only. Lower is generally more efficient; negative means suppliers or customers fund the business.
32	Cash conversion cycle	13 days	Neutral	It took 13 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit. How to read: Information only. Shorter is generally better.
33	Debtor days	25 (FY25 28)	Neutral	Customers took 25 days on average to pay, versus 28 a year earlier. How to read: Caution when debtor days rose more than 20% in a year (collections stretching). Neutral otherwise.

E. Cash flow

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
34	Operating cash flow FY26	₹15,316 cr	Bullish	The business generated ₹15,316 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹10,673 crore in FY25. Bullish positive and higher than the year before · Bearish negative · Neutral when positive but lower. Information only for banks.
35	Free cash flow FY26	₹5,805 cr	Bullish	After capital spending, free cash flow was ₹5,805 crore. Bullish positive · Bearish negative · Neutral when not available.
36	Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)	1.87×	Bullish	Operating cash flow was 1.87× reported profit — profits were well backed by cash. Bullish above 1× (profits well backed by cash) · Caution below 0.7×. Neutral 0.7–1×.
37	Free-cash-flow yield	1.7%	Neutral	FY26 free cash flow was 1.7% of the snapshot market cap. Bullish above 4% · Neutral at 4% or less.
38	Free cash flow — 3-year total	₹9,541 cr	Bullish	Free cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹9,541 crore. Bullish positive total · Bearish negative total · Neutral when not available.
39	Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)	₹9,511 cr	Neutral	Implied capital expenditure was about ₹9,511 crore, 10.7% of sales. How to read: Information only.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
40	Dividend payout ratio FY26	87%	Neutral	The company paid out about 87% of FY26 profit as dividends. How to read: Information only. High payout suits mature businesses; growing firms often keep more.
41	Dividend consistency (3 years)	29% / 38% / 87%	Bullish	Payout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year. Bullish paid every year · Neutral when irregular. Never tagged Bearish.
42	Share capital change (FY25→FY26)	+0.0%	Neutral	Paid-up equity capital changed +0.0% (₹295 cr → ₹295 cr). Essentially unchanged — no dilution. Bullish fell 1% or more (a buyback) · Caution when it rose 1% or more (new shares issued). Neutral when unchanged, or for a bonus/split.

G. Ownership

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
43	Promoter holding	59.33% (+0.10 pts YoY)	Neutral	Promoters owned 59.33% at Mar 2026 versus 59.23% a year earlier. Bearish fell more than 1 percentage point in a year · Neutral otherwise. Never tagged Bullish.
44	Foreign institutional holding	13.61% (-1.56 pts YoY)	Bearish	FIIs held 13.61% at Mar 2026, down from 15.17% a year before. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
45	Domestic institutional holding	18.42% (+1.63 pts YoY)	Bullish	Mutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 18.42%, up from 16.79%. Bullish up more than 1 percentage point · Bearish down more than 1 percentage point · Neutral within ±1 point.
46	Number of shareholders	4.1 lakh (+3.8% YoY)	Neutral	The shareholder count moved from 3.9 lakh to 4.1 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest. How to read: Information only — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47	Promoter pledge	none reported	Neutral	Our source showed no pledged promoter shares. How to read: Information only. Any sizeable pledge is a risk to note.

H. Quality & summary

#	Point	Reading	Tag	Commentary
48	Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)	8/8	Bullish	Passed: positive profit, positive operating cash flow, CFO > net profit, leverage fell, operating margin improved, ROA improved, asset turnover improved, no meaningful dilution (<3%). Bullish all tests passed, or all but one · Bearish half the tests or fewer passed · Neutral in between.
49	Automated screen flags	1 strength(s) · 2 weakness(es)	Neutral	Strengths: Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 51.1%. Weaknesses: Stock is trading at 4.19 times its book value; Company has a low return on equity of 10.7% over last 3 years. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.) How to read: Information only.
50	Fundamental summary	14 bullish · 2 bearish · 33 neutral · 0 caution	Bullish	On the numbers published by 03 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned positive. Valuation: P/E 42.2×, P/B 4.51×. This describes the data, not a recommendation. How to read the score: the strongest possible reading is 49 bullish · 0 bearish, and the weakest is 0 bullish · 49 bearish. Most companies land in between. The numbers are called positive when bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5 times as many, negative the other way round, and mixed otherwise. Even a 49–0 score describes the past and is not a reason to buy, and a 0–49 score is not a reason to sell. Bullish bullish tags beat bearish ones by 4 or more and are at least 1.5× as many (“positive”) · Bearish the same the other way round (“negative”) · Neutral (“mixed”) otherwise. Strongest possible: 49 bullish · 0 bearish.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 03 Apr 2026 – 03 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

18 Apr 2026 UltraTech commissions three grinding units, domestic capacity crosses 200 MTPA — UltraTech commissioned grinding units at Shahjahanpur (UP), Patratu (Jharkhand) and Vizag (AP), taking total capacity past 200 MTPA; the company has stated a 240 MTPA target by FY28. source
27 Apr 2026 UltraTech Q4 FY26 results; board recommends Rs 240 per share dividend — Q4 FY26 consolidated revenue about Rs 25,800 crore (+11.9% YoY) and net profit about Rs 3,000 crore (+21% YoY). Board recommended a dividend of Rs 240 per share (2,400% on Rs 10 face value). source
29 Apr 2026 UltraTech FY26 domestic cement sales rise about 9% YoY — S&P Global Platts reported FY2025-26 domestic sales volume up 9.3% YoY, with domestic capacity at 200.1 mt/yr and global capacity at 205.5 mt/yr. source
25 Jun 2026 CARE Ratings reaffirms UltraTech bank facility ratings at CARE AAA; Stable / CARE A1+ — Exchange filing: CARE reaffirmed ratings on Rs 2,400 crore long-term and Rs 14,700 crore long/short-term bank facilities. source

What happened next (03 Jul 2026 → 06 Oct 2026)

Price went from ₹11,723.00 to ₹10,750.00 by 06 Oct 2026 (-8.3%) while the Nifty 50 moved -6.2% — underperforming by 2.1 points.
Highest ₹12,239.00 on 05 Aug 2026; lowest ₹10,612.00 on 01 Oct 2026.
S1 10,639.50: held on a closing basis.
S2 10,345.00: held on a closing basis.
R1 12,399.19: not cleared on a closing basis.
200-day SMA: price was below it at the snapshot and crossed above on 20 Jul 2026.
Apr–Jun 2026 results (reported 20 Jul 2026): revenue ₹24,648 crore (+15.9% YoY), net profit ₹2,604 crore (+17.2% YoY), operating margin 20% vs 21% a year earlier (Screener consolidated figures).

Later news

21 Jul 2026 UltraTech Q1 FY27 PAT Rs 2,604 crore, up 17% YoY — Results announced 20 July 2026: net sales Rs 24,465 crore (+16% YoY), PAT Rs 2,604 crore (+17%), domestic grey cement volumes 39.2 mt (+13.1%), capacity utilisation 81%. source
22 Jul 2026 UltraTech Q1 FY27 consolidated grey cement volumes rise 12% YoY — S&P Global Platts: consolidated grey cement sales volume 41.31 mt (+12.2% YoY); India Cements subsidiary reported a normalised profit versus a year-ago loss. source
17 Aug 2026 UltraTech holds 26th AGM; Rs 240 dividend (record date 30 July) — AGM held via video conference on 17 August 2026; agenda included adoption of FY26 accounts, Rs 240 dividend, and appointment of Jayant Dua as Managing Director from 1 January 2027. source
24 Sep 2026 UltraTech commissions 4.6 MTPA, domestic capacity reaches 204.7 MTPA — Includes a 3.6 MTPA greenfield integrated plant at Petnikota (AP) and 1.0 MTPA of debottlenecking; global capacity 210.1 MTPA. source

Educational summary. On 03 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned positive. Over the next three months the stock moved -8.3% against -6.2% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold UltraTech Cement today.

Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 07 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

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