10 new case studies · 14 news items · updated 04 Oct 2026ContactEducation only · not investment advice
Manage Our FinanceIndian stock case studies · every morning

Today › Diversified infrastructure incubator › Adani Enterprises

Diversified infrastructure incubator Historical case study · data as of 01 Jul 2026 · published 04 Oct 2026 (95 days later)

Adani Enterprises — 100-point case study

How Adani Enterprises looked on 50 technical and 50 fundamental measures on 01 Jul 2026 — and what happened over the next three months. Education only; not a current view.

CodesNSE: ADANIENT · BSE: 512599
Close on 01 Jul 2026₹3,143.60
Market cap then₹4,25,434 crore
ValuationP/E 42.8× · P/B 5.26×
MomentumRSI (14) 66 · 1-year return +19.9%
Next 3 months-10.4% vs Nifty 50 -6.6% (to 01 Oct 2026)

Scorecard

Technical — 50 points

32 bullish · 13 neutral · 3 caution · 1 bearish — the picture leaned positive.

Fundamental — 50 points

3 bullish · 28 neutral · 10 caution · 8 bearish — the picture leaned negative.

Price chart

1,6632,0812,4992,9173,335Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26S1 2,876S2 2,544Snapshot 01 JulWhat happened next →
Close (to snapshot) Close (after) 50-day avg 200-day avg Support Resistance
Data note: Adani Enterprises ran a partly paid rights issue (record date 17 Nov 2025, calls completed by March 2026); Yahoo's prices around 10–14 Nov 2025 show rights-adjusted values. A ₹15,000 crore QIP was completed in July 2026, after the snapshot, so it is not reflected in the snapshot-date figures. Screener's consolidated profit includes minority interest.

Technical analysis — 50 points

Calculated by code from daily prices up to 01 Jul 2026. Standard formulas (RSI, MACD, ADX use Wilder smoothing).

A. Trend

#PointReadingTagCommentary
1Short-term trend (20 days)slope +0.20%/dayBullishOver the last 20 sessions the regression line of closing prices was rising about 0.20% a day — a short-term uptrend.
2Medium-term trend (~5 months)3M return +66.6%BullishThe 100-session trend line was up (+0.48%/day) and the stock was +66.6% over three months, so the medium-term picture was bullish.
3Long-term trend (1 year)1Y return +19.9%BullishCompared with a year earlier the price was +19.9%. A strong positive year.
4Weekly chart trend10W 2,847.48 / 30W 2,352.17BullishOn the weekly chart the stock showed a weekly close above a rising 10-week and 30-week average stack.
5Swing structure (highs/lows)last highs 3,027.50→3,059.80; lows 2,400.10→2,886.20BullishThe two most recent swing points showed higher swing highs and higher swing lows — classic uptrend structure.
6ADX (14) — trend strength43.5BullishADX at 43.5 shows a strong trend in force. ADX measures strength only, not direction.
7+DI vs –DI+DI 28.2 / –DI 13.0Bullish+DI was above –DI: upward price pressure outweighed downward pressure.

B. Moving averages

#PointReadingTagCommentary
8Price vs 20-day SMA2,991.01 (+5.1%)BullishClose of 3,143.60 was 5.1% above the 20-day SMA — the short-term trend filter was positive.
9Price vs 50-day SMA2,743.48 (+14.6%)BullishClose of 3,143.60 was 14.6% above the 50-day SMA — the medium-term trend filter was positive.
10Price vs 200-day SMA2,375.39 (+32.3%)BullishClose of 3,143.60 was 32.3% above the 200-day SMA — the long-term trend filter was positive.
119 / 21 EMA crossover9E 3,033.91 / 21E 2,966.08BullishThe 9-day EMA was above the 21-day EMA; the last crossover happened on 10 Apr 2026.
12Golden / death cross (50 vs 200)last golden cross 01 Jun 2026BullishThe 50-day average was 15.5% above the 200-day. The most recent signal was a golden cross on 01 Jun 2026.
1350-day SMA slope+17.6% in 20 sessionsBullishThe 50-day average rose 17.6% over the past month — rising.
14MA ribbon alignment2,991 / 2,743 / 2,406 / 2,375BullishThe 20/50/100/200-day averages were perfectly stacked bullish (20 > 50 > 100 > 200).
15Monthly anchored VWAP3,102.07 (+1.3%)BullishAnchored to the start of July, the volume-weighted average price was 3,102.07; the close was above it — buyers that month were on average in profit.

C. Momentum

#PointReadingTagCommentary
16RSI (14)65.9BullishRSI at 65.9 showed positive momentum without being overbought.
17RSI divergence (last 40 days)bearish divergenceCautionComparing the last 20 sessions with the 20 before: bearish divergence: price made a higher high but RSI made a lower high.
18MACD line vs signalMACD 88.03 / signal 96.58BearishMACD was below its signal line — momentum turning or staying negative.
19MACD histogram (5-day change)-13.00 → -8.55BullishThe histogram rose over the last five sessions, meaning momentum was improving.
20MACD vs zero line88.03BullishMACD above zero means the 12-day EMA was above the 26-day EMA — a positive momentum regime.
21Stochastic (14,3,3)%K 67.0 / %D 63.0BullishSlow stochastic at 67.0 was mid-range with %K above %D.
22Williams %R (14)-2.4Caution%R of -2.4 put the close near the top of its 14-day range.
23CCI (20)190BullishCCI at 190 signalled an unusually strong upward deviation (>+100).
24Rate of change (10-day)+6.8%BullishPrice changed +6.8% over ten sessions.

D. Volatility

#PointReadingTagCommentary
25Bollinger Band position (%B)%B 1.12 (bands 2,867.46–3,114.55)Caution%B of 1.12 — close above the upper band, an overextended move.
26Bollinger width / squeezewidth 8.3% (19th pct of 6M)NeutralBand width was at the 19th percentile of the last six months, a normal level.
27ATR (14)₹89.46 (2.8% of price)NeutralA typical day's range was about ₹89.46, or 2.8% of the price — useful for judging how much 'normal noise' to expect.
28Historical volatility (30-day)31.8% vs 1Y 34.5%NeutralAnnualised 30-day volatility was 31.8%, close to the one-year level of 34.5%.
29Keltner Channel (20, 2×ATR)2,790.62–3,154.82NeutralThe close was inside the channel, so no volatility breakout.
30Beta vs Nifty 50 (1Y daily)1.69NeutralA beta of 1.69 means the stock tended to move more than the Nifty 50 day to day.

E. Volume & money flow

#PointReadingTagCommentary
31Volume vs 20-day averagelast day 1.64× / 5-day 1.10×NeutralThe final session traded 1.64× its 20-day average volume and the last five sessions averaged 1.10× — normal participation.
32Up-day vs down-day volume (20d)ratio 1.56BullishAverage volume on up days was 1.56× that on down days — accumulation-leaning.
33On-Balance Volume (20d)OBV risingBullishOBV rose over the month while price rose — volume confirmed the price move.
34Accumulation/Distribution linerising (20d)BullishThe A/D line rose, meaning closes tended to be in the upper part of daily ranges on meaningful volume.
35Chaikin Money Flow (20)0.18BullishCMF at +0.18 indicated net inflows.
36Money Flow Index (14)79.7BullishMFI, a volume-weighted RSI, was 79.7.
37Liquidity (avg daily turnover)₹627 cr/dayNeutralAbout ₹627 crore changed hands per day on average over 20 sessions — highly liquid.

F. Price levels

#PointReadingTagCommentary
38Support levels (S1/S2/S3)2,875.70 / 2,543.50 / 2,485.77NeutralNearest support (prior swing lows) sat at 2,875.70, 9.3% below the close, then 2,543.50, 2,485.77.
39Resistance levels (R1/R2/R3)none aboveNeutralNo swing-high resistance above within a year — the stock was near its highs.
40Monthly pivot points (for next month)P 3,102.07 | R1 3,191.33 | S1 3,054.33NeutralClassic pivots from July's high/low/close gave a pivot of 3,102.07; the close was above it.
41Fibonacci retracement (6M swing)23.6% 2,820 | 38.2% 2,616 | 50.0% 2,451 | 61.8% 2,287NeutralMeasuring the 6-month rise from 1,753.00 to 3,149.80, the close was nearest the 23.6% retracement at 2,820.16.
4252-week high / lowH 3,149.80 / L 1,753.00BullishThe close was 0.2% below the 52-week high and 79.3% above the 52-week low.
43Unfilled price gaps (6M)1 open; latest gap-up 08 Apr at 1,904.60NeutralThere was 1 unfilled gap(s). The latest, a gap-up on 08 Apr 2026, left an open level at 1,904.60 that price had not revisited.

G. Patterns

#PointReadingTagCommentary
44Price structure / chart patternrising channelBullishRule-based pattern scan: rising channel — successive higher highs and lows. (Classical patterns like head-and-shoulders are judgement calls; we report only what the rules detect.)
45Breakout / breakdown (20-day)range 2,865.20–3,105.00BullishThe close was breakout above the prior 20-day range of 2,865.20–3,105.00 — a range break.
46Latest candlestickOrdinary green candleNeutralOn 01 Jul the candle opened 3,041.00, ranged 3,012.80–3,149.80 and closed 3,143.60: Ordinary green candle. Single candles are weak signals on their own.
47Ichimoku Cloudcloud 2,278.05–2,541.85; Tenkan 3,043.90 / Kijun 2,944.55BullishPrice was above the cloud and the Tenkan line was above the Kijun line — a bullish Ichimoku setup.

H. Relative strength & summary

#PointReadingTagCommentary
48Relative strength vs Nifty 501M +5.4% / 3M +63.6%BullishThe stock outperformed the Nifty 50 by 63.6 points over three months and outperformed by 5.4 points over one month.
49Relative strength vs Nifty 50 (6M)6M +47.2%BullishNo sector index in today's data set, so we show the 6-month comparison instead: 47.2 points ahead of the Nifty 50.
50Technical summary32 bullish · 1 bearish · 13 neutral · 3 cautionBullishAcross the 49 readings the technical picture leaned positive. Levels that mattered: support 2,875.70, resistance n/a. This is a description of the chart on 01 Jul 2026, not a forecast.

Fundamental analysis — 50 points

Uses only results published by 01 Jul 2026: FY26 annual (Apr 2025–Mar 2026), the Jan–Mar 2026 quarter and the Mar 2026 shareholding. ₹ crore, consolidated unless stated. Valuation uses the 01 Jul 2026 close.

A. Valuation

#PointReadingTagCommentary
1P/E (trailing 12 months)42.8×NeutralAt ₹3,143.60 the market valued the company at about ₹4,25,434 crore, or 42.8× the ₹9,950 crore profit of the four quarters to Mar 2026. That is a premium multiple — the market expected growth.
2Price / Book5.26×NeutralMarket cap was 5.26× the Mar 2026 book value (equity + reserves) of ₹80,926 crore.
3Price / Sales4.23×NeutralThe company was valued at 4.23× its trailing-12-month sales of ₹1,00,469 crore.
4EV / EBITDA (approx.)38.0×NeutralEnterprise value (market cap + ₹1,06,622 cr borrowings; cash not netted) was 38.0× trailing operating profit of ₹13,990 crore.
5Earnings yield2.3%NeutralThe inverse of P/E: each ₹100 invested bought about ₹2.3 of annual earnings. Investors often compare this with the ~6–7% yield on 10-year government bonds.
6PEG (P/E ÷ 3-yr profit CAGR)0.71CautionP/E of 42.8 divided by 3-year profit growth of 60.2% a year gives a PEG of 0.71. Below 1 is often read as growth being cheaply priced; above 2 as expensive. Note: the Mar 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,582 crore; the Sep 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,179 crore; the Dec 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹6,288 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
7Dividend yield (trailing 12M)0.04%NeutralDividends with ex-dates in the 12 months to the snapshot totalled ₹1.3 a share, a 0.04% yield on the ₹3,143.60 price.
8Market capitalisation₹4,25,434 crNeutralAt about ₹4.25 lakh crore the company was a large-cap.
9Graham number vs price₹994.59 vs ₹3,143.60NeutralBenjamin Graham's conservative fair-value yardstick √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share) came to ₹994.59; the price was 216% above it. Quality franchises usually trade above this number.

B. Growth

#PointReadingTagCommentary
10Revenue growth FY26 (YoY)+2.6%NeutralRevenue for FY26 was ₹1,00,469 crore, +2.6% versus FY25.
11Q4 FY26 revenue growth (YoY)+20.3%BullishThe Jan–Mar 2026 quarter brought ₹32,439 crore of revenue, +20.3% on the same quarter a year earlier.
12Net profit growth FY26 (YoY)+24.3%CautionFY26 net profit was ₹9,951 crore, +24.3% on FY25's ₹8,005 crore. Note: the Mar 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,582 crore; the Sep 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,179 crore; the Dec 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹6,288 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
13Q4 FY26 profit growth (YoY)-104.2%CautionQuarterly profit was ₹-167 crore versus ₹4,015 crore a year earlier (-104.2%). Note: the Mar 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,582 crore; the Sep 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,179 crore; the Dec 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹6,288 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.
14Revenue CAGR (3 years)-7.6%BearishRevenue compounded at -7.6% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
15Profit CAGR (3 years)60.2%CautionNet profit compounded at 60.2% a year from FY23 to FY26. Note: the Mar 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,582 crore; the Sep 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,179 crore; the Dec 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹6,288 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
16Revenue CAGR (5 years)20.5%CautionOver five years (FY21–FY26) revenue compounded at 20.5% a year. Note: revenue jumped more than 40% in Mar 2023, which usually signals a merger or acquisition — multi-year growth rates are inflated by it.
17EPS growth FY26 (reported)+31.4%CautionReported EPS went from ₹55.02 to ₹72.31 (+31.4%). Differences from profit growth come from changes in share count (bonus, buyback, new issues). Note: the Mar 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,582 crore; the Sep 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹4,179 crore; the Dec 2025 quarter carried unusual other income of ₹6,288 crore — a one-off that distorts year-on-year profit comparisons.

C. Profitability

#PointReadingTagCommentary
18Operating margin FY2614%NeutralOperating profit (EBITDA) was 14% of sales in FY26 versus 15% in FY25.
19Operating margin trend (4 quarters)15% → 16% → 15% → 12%BearishQuarterly margins moved from 15% to 12% over the last four quarters — contracting.
20Net profit margin FY269.9%Neutral₹9.9 of every ₹100 of revenue ended up as net profit in FY26.
21Return on equity FY2615.2%NeutralFY26 profit was 15.2% of average shareholders' equity. Above ~15% is generally considered good; below 10% weak.
22ROCE FY266%BearishReturn on capital employed (debt + equity) was 6% in FY26.
23Return on assets FY263.81%NeutralNet profit was 3.81% of total assets.
24Effective tax rate FY2628%NeutralThe company paid about 28% of pre-tax profit as tax; India's base corporate rate is ~25%.
25Other income share of pre-tax profit86%CautionNon-operating 'other income' of ₹11,688 crore made up 86% of pre-tax profit — a large share, so core earnings were lower than headline profit.

D. Balance sheet

#PointReadingTagCommentary
26Debt / equity1.32BearishBorrowings of ₹1,06,622 crore were 1.32× equity — high leverage.
27Debt / EBITDA7.62×BearishDebt equalled 7.62 years of FY26 operating profit.
28Interest coverage3.2×NeutralEarnings before interest and tax covered interest cost 3.2 times.
29Book value growth+60.8%BullishShareholders' equity grew +60.8% from ₹50,314 crore to ₹80,926 crore in FY26.
30Capital work in progress₹51,753 cr (45% of fixed assets)NeutralProjects under construction (CWIP) were 45% of fixed assets — a big expansion pipeline not yet earning.
31Working capital days-45 daysNeutralWorking capital tied up equalled -45 days of sales (FY25: -59). Negative means suppliers/customers fund operations.
32Cash conversion cycle-13 daysNeutralIt took -13 days to turn inventory and receivables into cash, net of supplier credit.
33Debtor days46 (FY25 36)CautionCustomers took 46 days on average to pay, versus 36 a year earlier — a notable stretch in collections.

E. Cash flow

#PointReadingTagCommentary
34Operating cash flow FY26₹2,357 crNeutralThe business generated ₹2,357 crore of operating cash in FY26 versus ₹4,513 crore in FY25.
35Free cash flow FY26₹-30,993 crBearishAfter capital spending, free cash flow was ₹-30,993 crore.
36Cash conversion (CFO ÷ net profit)0.24×CautionOperating cash flow was 0.24× reported profit — cash lagged profits; worth watching.
37Free-cash-flow yield-7.3%NeutralFY26 free cash flow was -7.3% of the snapshot market cap.
38Free cash flow — 3-year total₹-67,929 crBearishFree cash flow over FY24–FY26 added up to ₹-67,929 crore.
39Capex FY26 (CFO – FCF)₹33,350 crNeutralImplied capital expenditure was about ₹33,350 crore, 33.2% of sales.

F. Dividends & shareholder returns

#PointReadingTagCommentary
40Dividend payout ratio FY262%NeutralThe company paid out about 2% of FY26 profit as dividends.
41Dividend consistency (3 years)5% / 2% / 2%BullishPayout ratios for FY24 / FY25 / FY26 — dividends were paid every year.
42Share capital change (FY25→FY26)+12.2%CautionPaid-up equity capital changed +12.2% (₹115 cr → ₹129 cr). A fall indicates a buyback; a rise indicates new shares were issued.

G. Ownership

#PointReadingTagCommentary
43Promoter holding74.67% (+0.70 pts YoY)NeutralPromoters owned 74.67% at Mar 2026 versus 73.97% a year earlier.
44Foreign institutional holding10.80% (-0.91 pts YoY)NeutralFIIs held 10.80% at Mar 2026, down from 11.71% a year before.
45Domestic institutional holding6.70% (-0.16 pts YoY)NeutralMutual funds, insurers and other DIIs held 6.70%, down from 6.86%.
46Number of shareholders6.6 lakh (+1.4% YoY)NeutralThe shareholder count moved from 6.6 lakh to 6.6 lakh in a year — a rough gauge of retail interest.
47Promoter pledgenone reportedNeutralOur source showed no pledged promoter shares.

H. Quality & summary

#PointReadingTagCommentary
48Financial health checklist (Piotroski-style, 8 tests)3/8BearishPassed: positive profit, positive operating cash flow, leverage fell. Failed: CFO > net profit, operating margin improved, ROA improved, asset turnover improved, no meaningful dilution (<3%).
49Automated screen flags1 strength(s) · 5 weakness(es)NeutralStrengths: Stock is trading at 4.50 times its book value. Weaknesses: Company has low interest coverage ratio; Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -2.70%; Company has a low return on equity of 2.41% over last 3 years; Company might be capitalizing the interest cost; Earnings include an other income of Rs.9,193 Cr. (Flags generated by the data source’s rule screen.)
50Fundamental summary3 bullish · 8 bearish · 28 neutral · 10 cautionBearishOn the numbers published by 01 Jul 2026 the fundamental picture leaned negative. Valuation: P/E 42.8×, P/B 5.26×. This describes the data, not a recommendation.

News in the three months before the snapshot

Company news from 01 Apr 2026 – 01 Jul 2026 that an investor could have known on the snapshot date.

What happened next (01 Jul 2026 → 01 Oct 2026)

Later news

Educational summary. On 01 Jul 2026 the technical picture leaned positive and the fundamental picture leaned negative. Over the next three months the stock moved -10.4% against -6.6% for the Nifty 50. Here the chart's message did not line up neatly with what followed — a reminder that indicators describe the past, not the future. One case proves nothing on its own; the value is in seeing many cases over time. This page does not say whether to buy, sell or hold Adani Enterprises today.

Method designed by Pawan Kumar Sharma, CPA · ACCA · CIA. Numbers are computed by our engine from the sources listed below.

Sources: daily prices — Yahoo Finance history pages; financials and shareholding — Screener.in (fetched 04 Oct 2026); index — Nifty 50 via Yahoo Finance; news — linked articles. Calculations by Manage Our Finance. Report a correction

More case studies today

₹1,848.20close 01 Jul
Ports and logisticsNSE: ADANIPORTSData as of 01 Jul 2026

Adani Ports & SEZ — 100-point case study

Technical
Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -6.0% vs Nifty 50 -6.6%

Technical: positiveFundamental: positiveP/E 33.3×P/B 4.44×RSI 591Y +27.7%
₹8,618.50close 01 Jul
Hospitals and healthcareNSE: APOLLOHOSPData as of 01 Jul 2026

Apollo Hospitals — 100-point case study

Technical
Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -5.6% vs Nifty 50 -6.6%

Technical: positiveFundamental: positiveP/E 61.9×P/B 13.07×RSI 651Y +15.0%
₹2,716.40close 01 Jul
Decorative paintsNSE: ASIANPAINTData as of 01 Jul 2026

Asian Paints — 100-point case study

Technical
Fundamental

What happened next (3 months): -11.4% vs Nifty 50 -6.6%

Technical: positiveFundamental: positiveP/E 59.3×P/B 12.19×RSI 581Y +14.6%